Cereals: rye, other than seed

In 2024, cereals: rye, other than seed trade exhibited significant decline, with global flows reaching $310,568,091 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -10.7% (five-year: +4.2%). The all-time peak of $436,201,728 was recorded in 2021; the current level is 29% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 59% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a mildly upward trajectory with periodic contractions. Trend momentum is decelerating (-9.5% acceleration).

The supply side is moderately concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.244). The three largest exporters — Poland ($135.3M), Germany ($76.9M), and Russia ($56.7M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at -11.8% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is moderately concentrated (HHI 0.176). The three largest import markets are Germany ($91.4M), United States ($65.1M), and Spain ($50.9M). The largest importing market sources from 26 different supplying countries.

The dominant trade corridor is Poland → Germany at $79.7M, representing 87.2% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for cereals: rye, other than seed is 11 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. A moderately concentrated market rewards differentiated positioning and strategic partner selection.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.