Growth rate
((current − prior) / prior) × 100Only for comparable periods with a valid, non-zero prior value.
Analytical workbench
Open the calculation before trusting the score
Yugalinks turns structured global trade records into comparable metrics and research signals. Definitions, periods, inputs and missing-data rules matter as much as the resulting number.
Opportunity score / worked model
Demand
35%
+
Growth
25%
+
Competition
20%
Access
10%
+
Confidence
10%
=
78 / 100
Illustrative weighting. Every production score should expose its active inputs, period and confidence.
Formula bench
Three common calculations
Examples show the analytical form, not a promise that every workflow uses the metric identically. The active result should expose its dimensions and source.
Market share
selected supplier value / defined market valueThe denominator depends on product, flow, supplier set and year.
Concentration
Σ supplier share²Higher values indicate supply concentrated among fewer suppliers; interpretation remains contextual.
Metric glossary
Terms in working order
Signals guide investigation. They should not be presented as official statistics unless the cited source defines them that way.
- Trade value
- Reported monetary value for a defined reporter, partner, product, flow and year.
- Momentum
- A directional signal combining recent movement and consistency; not an official statistic.
- Underpenetration
- A comparative research signal that may indicate room to investigate, not guaranteed demand.
- Confidence
- An assessment of input availability and stability, not certainty that an outcome will occur.
- Opportunity score
- A prioritisation aid assembled from visible factors; it does not predict commercial success.
- Risk indicator
- A prompt to inspect contraction, dependency or volatility, not a forecast of failure.
Score blueprint
A ranking is a transparent assembly of inputs
The blueprint above is illustrative. Production weighting should identify active factors, normalization, period and confidence. A high score means “investigate this evidence next”, not “enter this market”.
Transformations: country and partner alignment, HS mapping, period alignment and flow harmonisation improve usability without removing source limits.
Missing values: missing, zero, suppressed, estimated and aggregated observations must not be silently collapsed.
AI: explanation uses available filters and calculated outputs; it does not invent a separate methodology.
Want to see how explanations stay attached to evidence?
Read the AI model card