Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium

In 2024, fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium trade exhibited modest growth, with global flows reaching $8,043,993,721 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -2.9% (five-year: +4.0%). The all-time peak of $10,583,071,377 was recorded in 2022; the current level is 24% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 62% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a mildly upward trajectory with periodic contractions. Trend momentum is decelerating (-4.6% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium as "One-way trade" in the low price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

The supply side is diversified (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.099). The three largest exporters — Russia ($2.2B), Norway ($799.5M), and Belgium ($648.0M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at -0.9% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.027). The three largest import markets are India ($589.9M), China ($562.6M), and Brazil ($473.9M). The largest importing market sources from 31 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -16.99. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is Russia → India at $534.2M, representing 90.6% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium is 14 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, modest but steady demand provides a reasonable entry window. The diversified supply landscape means many competitors but also multiple entry points and buyer relationships to target.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.