Cereals: rye, seed

In 2024, cereals: rye, seed trade exhibited significant decline, with global flows reaching $105,328,665 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of +0.8% (five-year: +5.9%). The all-time peak of $182,877,983 was recorded in 1996; the current level is 42% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 45% of years recorded positive growth, indicating significant cyclicality with frequent contractions. Trend momentum is decelerating (-3.6% acceleration).

The supply side is moderately concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.180). The three largest exporters — Poland ($31.3M), Canada ($23.2M), and Germany ($21.1M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at +5.7% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is moderately concentrated (HHI 0.167). The three largest import markets are Germany ($34.5M), United States ($22.5M), and Denmark ($5.2M). The largest importing market sources from 27 different supplying countries.

The dominant trade corridor is Canada → United States at $22.4M, representing 99.2% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for cereals: rye, seed is 7 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. A moderately concentrated market rewards differentiated positioning and strategic partner selection.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.