Product intelligence · HS 845510 · 2024 data

Metal-rolling mills: tube mills

Global exports of metal-rolling mills: tube mills totalled $332,532,438 in 2024, a +27.7% change from the previous year. Traded by 96 countries across 535 bilateral corridors, with demand from 149 importing markets. The long-term trend is rapid growth.

Data: OECD BIMTS · Coverage: 19952024 · Updated: 2026-07-17

Global trade

$332.5M

+27.7% YoY

3Y / 5Y CAGR

+20.7%

5Y: +8.7%

Supply structure

Moderately concentrated

HHI 0.193

Volatility

Low

Score 13/100

1.

Market movement

In 2024, metal-rolling mills: tube mills trade exhibited strong growth, with global flows reaching $332,532,438 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of +20.7% (five-year: +8.7%). The all-time peak of $457,433,883 was recorded in 2009; the current level is 27% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (19952024), 52% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a mildly upward trajectory with periodic contractions. Trend momentum is strengthening (+20.3% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies metal-rolling mills: tube mills as "One-way trade" in the medium price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

2.

Supply & demand structure

The supply side is moderately concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.193). The three largest exporters — China ($126.9M), Italy ($78.6M), and Germany ($71.3M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at +31.4% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.097). The three largest import markets are India ($78.3M), United States ($50.5M), and United Arab Emirates ($24.8M). The largest importing market sources from 17 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -4.71. Buyers have moderate flexibility to shift sourcing, but face some switching costs.

The dominant trade corridor is China → India at $42.1M, representing 53.7% of the importer's total demand.

3.

Risk profile & trade outlook

The volatility score for metal-rolling mills: tube mills is 13 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, strong demand tailwinds create a favourable entry environment. A moderately concentrated market rewards differentiated positioning and strategic partner selection.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.

Historical evidence

Annual trade value 19952024

Peak: $457,433,883 in 2009. Currently 27% below peak.

YearGlobal trade (USD)YoY growth
2015$288,956,192-9.1%
2016$237,863,053-17.7%
2017$175,835,436-26.1%
2018$171,371,269-2.5%
2019$218,656,409+27.6%
2020$198,487,481-9.2%
2021$189,033,997-4.8%
2022$248,887,405+31.7%
2023$260,319,458+4.6%
2024$332,532,438+27.7%

Top exporting countries

Ranked by export value of metal-rolling mills: tube mills in 2024.

View all 96 exporters →

Top importing markets

Largest import destinations for metal-rolling mills: tube mills.

View all 149 markets →

Leading trade corridors

Largest bilateral export flows for metal-rolling mills: tube mills, ranked by value. Click any country to view its full profile.

#ExporterImporterValue 20243Y CAGR
1ChinaIndia$42.1M+74.2%
2ItalyUnited States$17.5M+3.3%
3South KoreaUnited States$15.0M+45.5%
4ChinaRussia$14.7M+31.7%
5ChinaUnited Arab Emirates$11.4M+111.0%
6GermanyMexico$11.1M+245.6%
7GermanyIndia$10.2M+2749.2%
8RussiaIndia$9.1M+99.4%

Showing top 8 of 10 corridors with available data for 2024.

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Sources, definitions & methodology

Data source

OECD Bilateral International Merchandise Trade Statistics (BIMTS). Aggregated from 312M+ reported trade records across 200+ countries and 5,300+ HS6 product codes. Coverage: 19952024.

Key indicators

HHI (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index): market concentration, 0 = fully diversified, 1 = single player. CAGR: compound annual growth rate over a stated period. Volatility score: trade value variability, 0–100 scale.

How this page is made

All statistical content on this page is data-driven, composed programmatically from live OECD trade records. No generic AI-generated prose is used. Analytical paragraphs combine real data points with factual interpretation. This page was last refreshed on 2026-07-17.