Product intelligence · HS 480920 · 2024 data

Paper: self-copy paper, whether or not printed, in rolls exceeding 36cm wide or in rectangular sheets with at least one side exceeding 36cm in unfolded state

Global exports of paper: self-copy paper, whether or not printed, in rolls exceeding 36cm wide or in rectangular sheets with at least one side exceeding 36cm in unfolded state totalled $390,802,419 in 2024, a -8.5% change from the previous year. Traded by 103 countries across 1,709 bilateral corridors, with demand from 195 importing markets. The long-term trend is declining.

Data: OECD BIMTS · Coverage: 19952024 · Updated: 2026-07-17

Global trade

$390.8M

-8.5% YoY

3Y / 5Y CAGR

-4.7%

5Y: -5.5%

Supply structure

Moderately concentrated

HHI 0.160

Volatility

Low

Score 8/100

1.

Market movement

In 2024, paper: self-copy paper, whether or not printed, in rolls exceeding 36cm wide or in rectangular sheets with at least one side exceeding 36cm in unfolded state trade exhibited significant decline, with global flows reaching $390,802,419 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -4.7% (five-year: -5.5%). The all-time peak of $1,032,712,844 was recorded in 2007; the current level is 62% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (19952024), 41% of years recorded positive growth, indicating significant cyclicality with frequent contractions. Trend momentum is steady (+1.4% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies paper: self-copy paper, whether or not printed, in rolls exceeding 36cm wide or in rectangular sheets with at least one side exceeding 36cm in unfolded state as "Two-way vertical trade" in the low price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

2.

Supply & demand structure

The supply side is moderately concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.160). The three largest exporters — Indonesia ($95.5M), Germany ($92.7M), and China ($76.5M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at +10.7% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.021). The three largest import markets are France ($22.1M), Mexico ($21.7M), and Italy ($14.2M). The largest importing market sources from 33 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -6.71. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is Germany → France at $12.7M, representing 57.6% of the importer's total demand.

3.

Risk profile & trade outlook

The volatility score for paper: self-copy paper, whether or not printed, in rolls exceeding 36cm wide or in rectangular sheets with at least one side exceeding 36cm in unfolded state is 8 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. A moderately concentrated market rewards differentiated positioning and strategic partner selection.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.

Historical evidence

Annual trade value 19952024

Peak: $1,032,712,844 in 2007. Currently 62% below peak.

YearGlobal trade (USD)YoY growth
2015$640,623,733-12.6%
2016$586,478,857-8.5%
2017$585,014,766-0.2%
2018$602,662,129+3.0%
2019$519,580,135-13.8%
2020$392,852,416-24.4%
2021$450,950,801+14.8%
2022$471,821,531+4.6%
2023$427,213,164-9.5%
2024$390,802,419-8.5%

Top exporting countries

Ranked by export value of paper: self-copy paper, whether or not printed, in rolls exceeding 36cm wide or in rectangular sheets with at least one side exceeding 36cm in unfolded state in 2024.

View all 103 exporters →

Top importing markets

Largest import destinations for paper: self-copy paper, whether or not printed, in rolls exceeding 36cm wide or in rectangular sheets with at least one side exceeding 36cm in unfolded state.

View all 195 markets →

Leading trade corridors

Largest bilateral export flows for paper: self-copy paper, whether or not printed, in rolls exceeding 36cm wide or in rectangular sheets with at least one side exceeding 36cm in unfolded state, ranked by value. Click any country to view its full profile.

#ExporterImporterValue 20243Y CAGR
1GermanyFrance$12.7M-7.8%
2SpainItaly$9.1M+7.1%
3IndonesiaUnited Arab Emirates$8.6M-0.6%
4ChinaPhilippines$8.2M-4.2%
5GermanyUnited Kingdom$7.9M-16.3%
6GermanyPoland$7.0M-25.9%
7GermanyMexico$6.4M-5.1%
8IndonesiaMalaysia$6.2M+12.6%

Showing top 8 of 10 corridors with available data for 2024.

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Sources, definitions & methodology

Data source

OECD Bilateral International Merchandise Trade Statistics (BIMTS). Aggregated from 312M+ reported trade records across 200+ countries and 5,300+ HS6 product codes. Coverage: 19952024.

Key indicators

HHI (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index): market concentration, 0 = fully diversified, 1 = single player. CAGR: compound annual growth rate over a stated period. Volatility score: trade value variability, 0–100 scale.

How this page is made

All statistical content on this page is data-driven, composed programmatically from live OECD trade records. No generic AI-generated prose is used. Analytical paragraphs combine real data points with factual interpretation. This page was last refreshed on 2026-07-17.