Product intelligence · HS 390230 · 2024 data

Propylene, other olefin polymers: propylene copolymers in primary forms

Global exports of propylene, other olefin polymers: propylene copolymers in primary forms totalled $14,328,732,643 in 2024, a +4.5% change from the previous year. Traded by 127 countries across 3,025 bilateral corridors, with demand from 173 importing markets. The long-term trend is declining.

Data: OECD BIMTS · Coverage: 19952024 · Updated: 2026-07-17

Global trade

$14.3B

+4.5% YoY

3Y / 5Y CAGR

-6.9%

5Y: +0.7%

Supply structure

Diversified

HHI 0.069

Volatility

Low

Score 9/100

1.

Market movement

In 2024, propylene, other olefin polymers: propylene copolymers in primary forms trade exhibited modest growth, with global flows reaching $14,328,732,643 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -6.9% (five-year: +0.7%). The all-time peak of $17,732,936,877 was recorded in 2021; the current level is 19% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (19952024), 69% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a predominantly expanding market. Trend momentum is decelerating (-6.3% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies propylene, other olefin polymers: propylene copolymers in primary forms as "One-way trade" in the low price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

2.

Supply & demand structure

The supply side is diversified (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.069). The three largest exporters — South Korea ($1.7B), Singapore ($1.6B), and United States ($1.5B) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at -7.2% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.040). The three largest import markets are China ($1.5B), Germany ($1.1B), and Mexico ($880.6M). The largest importing market sources from 62 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -19.78. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is United States → Mexico at $702.7M, representing 79.8% of the importer's total demand.

3.

Risk profile & trade outlook

The volatility score for propylene, other olefin polymers: propylene copolymers in primary forms is 9 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, modest but steady demand provides a reasonable entry window. The diversified supply landscape means many competitors but also multiple entry points and buyer relationships to target.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.

Historical evidence

Annual trade value 19952024

Peak: $17,732,936,877 in 2021. Currently 19% below peak.

YearGlobal trade (USD)YoY growth
2015$12,237,875,533-19.0%
2016$11,841,127,773-3.2%
2017$13,363,826,039+12.9%
2018$15,104,450,664+13.0%
2019$13,805,791,004-8.6%
2020$12,254,746,353-11.2%
2021$17,732,936,877+44.7%
2022$16,809,442,788-5.2%
2023$13,711,016,870-18.4%
2024$14,328,732,643+4.5%

Top exporting countries

Ranked by export value of propylene, other olefin polymers: propylene copolymers in primary forms in 2024.

View all 127 exporters →

Top importing markets

Largest import destinations for propylene, other olefin polymers: propylene copolymers in primary forms.

View all 173 markets →

Leading trade corridors

Largest bilateral export flows for propylene, other olefin polymers: propylene copolymers in primary forms, ranked by value. Click any country to view its full profile.

#ExporterImporterValue 20243Y CAGR
1United StatesMexico$702.7M-1.8%
2SingaporeChina$514.7M-8.6%
3United StatesCanada$466.3M-9.5%
4BelgiumGermany$326.3M-5.0%
5NetherlandsGermany$259.1M-10.2%
6South KoreaChina$238.4M-17.3%
7SingaporeIndonesia$210.8M-7.9%
8SingaporeIndia$190.8M+2.1%

Showing top 8 of 10 corridors with available data for 2024.

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Sources, definitions & methodology

Data source

OECD Bilateral International Merchandise Trade Statistics (BIMTS). Aggregated from 312M+ reported trade records across 200+ countries and 5,300+ HS6 product codes. Coverage: 19952024.

Key indicators

HHI (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index): market concentration, 0 = fully diversified, 1 = single player. CAGR: compound annual growth rate over a stated period. Volatility score: trade value variability, 0–100 scale.

How this page is made

All statistical content on this page is data-driven, composed programmatically from live OECD trade records. No generic AI-generated prose is used. Analytical paragraphs combine real data points with factual interpretation. This page was last refreshed on 2026-07-17.