Acyclic hydrocarbons: unsaturated, ethylene

In 2024, acyclic hydrocarbons: unsaturated, ethylene trade exhibited modest growth, with global flows reaching $6,160,565,593 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -2.1% (five-year: -1.6%). The all-time peak of $8,341,081,368 was recorded in 2018; the current level is 26% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 62% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a mildly upward trajectory with periodic contractions. Trend momentum is steady (+0.4% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies acyclic hydrocarbons: unsaturated, ethylene as "Two-way horizontal trade" in the medium price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

The supply side is diversified (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.122). The three largest exporters — South Korea ($1.6B), Netherlands ($1.0B), and United States ($668.2M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at +9.7% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is moderately concentrated (HHI 0.179). The three largest import markets are China ($1.8B), Belgium ($1.5B), and Indonesia ($789.8M). The largest importing market sources from 14 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -118.45. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is South Korea → China at $1.3B, representing 71.0% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for acyclic hydrocarbons: unsaturated, ethylene is 11 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, modest but steady demand provides a reasonable entry window. The diversified supply landscape means many competitors but also multiple entry points and buyer relationships to target.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.