Product intelligence · HS 281420 · 2024 data

Ammonia: in aqueous solution

Global exports of ammonia: in aqueous solution totalled $141,204,273 in 2024, a -12.7% change from the previous year. Traded by 100 countries across 1,528 bilateral corridors, with demand from 187 importing markets. The long-term trend is rapid decline.

Data: OECD BIMTS · Coverage: 19952024 · Updated: 2026-07-17

Global trade

$141.2M

-12.7% YoY

3Y / 5Y CAGR

-19.2%

5Y: -10.8%

Supply structure

Diversified

HHI 0.060

Volatility

Low

Score 30/100

1.

Market movement

In 2024, ammonia: in aqueous solution trade exhibited significant decline, with global flows reaching $141,204,273 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -19.2% (five-year: -10.8%). The all-time peak of $357,784,982 was recorded in 2012; the current level is 61% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (19952024), 48% of years recorded positive growth, indicating significant cyclicality with frequent contractions. Trend momentum is decelerating (-13.9% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies ammonia: in aqueous solution as "One-way trade" in the medium price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

2.

Supply & demand structure

The supply side is diversified (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.060). The three largest exporters — Saudi Arabia ($90.1M), Bahrain ($22.8M), and Algeria ($17.2M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at -90.6% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.046). The three largest import markets are France ($17.3M), United States ($12.7M), and Germany ($10.4M). The largest importing market sources from 22 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -14.83. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is Canada → United States at $9.5M, representing 74.7% of the importer's total demand.

3.

Risk profile & trade outlook

The volatility score for ammonia: in aqueous solution is 30 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are moderately variable, typical for goods with seasonal or cyclical demand patterns.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. The diversified supply landscape means many competitors but also multiple entry points and buyer relationships to target.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.

Historical evidence

Annual trade value 19952024

Peak: $357,784,982 in 2012. Currently 61% below peak.

YearGlobal trade (USD)YoY growth
2015$194,081,676-20.2%
2016$145,193,872-25.2%
2017$140,345,905-3.3%
2018$315,065,337+124.5%
2019$250,522,544-20.5%
2020$237,615,479-5.2%
2021$267,214,376+12.5%
2022$272,987,847+2.2%
2023$161,785,545-40.7%
2024$141,204,273-12.7%

Top exporting countries

Ranked by export value of ammonia: in aqueous solution in 2024.

View all 100 exporters →

Top importing markets

Largest import destinations for ammonia: in aqueous solution.

View all 187 markets →

Leading trade corridors

Largest bilateral export flows for ammonia: in aqueous solution, ranked by value. Click any country to view its full profile.

#ExporterImporterValue 20243Y CAGR
1CanadaUnited States$9.5M-9.1%
2BelgiumFrance$4.9M+2.0%
3SpainFrance$4.7M+62.2%
4GermanyFrance$3.1M-12.4%
5NetherlandsGermany$2.8M-9.0%
6BelgiumUnited States$2.4M-0.9%
7FranceGermany$2.2M+32.5%
8KuwaitUnited States$2.2M

Showing top 8 of 10 corridors with available data for 2024.

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Sources, definitions & methodology

Data source

OECD Bilateral International Merchandise Trade Statistics (BIMTS). Aggregated from 312M+ reported trade records across 200+ countries and 5,300+ HS6 product codes. Coverage: 19952024.

Key indicators

HHI (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index): market concentration, 0 = fully diversified, 1 = single player. CAGR: compound annual growth rate over a stated period. Volatility score: trade value variability, 0–100 scale.

How this page is made

All statistical content on this page is data-driven, composed programmatically from live OECD trade records. No generic AI-generated prose is used. Analytical paragraphs combine real data points with factual interpretation. This page was last refreshed on 2026-07-17.