Juice: grapefruit, of a Brix value exceeding 20, unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter

In 2024, juice: grapefruit, of a brix value exceeding 20, unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter trade exhibited strong growth, with global flows reaching $162,854,505 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of +2.5% (five-year: -3.5%). The all-time peak of $232,217,173 was recorded in 2012; the current level is 30% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 48% of years recorded positive growth, indicating significant cyclicality with frequent contractions. Trend momentum is strengthening (+3.6% acceleration).

The supply side is moderately concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.192). The three largest exporters — Israel ($53.3M), South Africa ($39.8M), and Netherlands ($23.8M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at +12.9% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.077). The three largest import markets are Japan ($29.5M), China ($16.6M), and Netherlands ($16.3M). The largest importing market sources from 13 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -4.74. Buyers have moderate flexibility to shift sourcing, but face some switching costs.

The dominant trade corridor is Israel → Japan at $21.3M, representing 72.3% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for juice: grapefruit, of a brix value exceeding 20, unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter is 6 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, strong demand tailwinds create a favourable entry environment. A moderately concentrated market rewards differentiated positioning and strategic partner selection.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.