Product intelligence · HS 848310 · 2024 data

Transmission shafts (including cam shafts and crank shafts) and cranks

Global exports of transmission shafts (including cam shafts and crank shafts) and cranks totalled $14,350,017,515 in 2024, a +0.7% change from the previous year. Traded by 181 countries across 7,693 bilateral corridors, with demand from 197 importing markets. The long-term trend is growing.

Data: OECD BIMTS · Coverage: 19952024 · Updated: 2026-07-17

Global trade

$14.4B

+0.7% YoY

3Y / 5Y CAGR

+6.0%

5Y: +4.1%

Supply structure

Diversified

HHI 0.095

Volatility

Low

Score 5/100

1.

Market movement

In 2024, transmission shafts (including cam shafts and crank shafts) and cranks trade exhibited modest growth, with global flows reaching $14,350,017,515 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of +6.0% (five-year: +4.1%). The all-time peak of $14,350,017,515 was recorded in 2024.

Over the 30-year observation window (19952024), 76% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a predominantly expanding market. Trend momentum is strengthening (+3.2% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies transmission shafts (including cam shafts and crank shafts) and cranks as "Two-way horizontal trade" in the medium price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

2.

Supply & demand structure

The supply side is diversified (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.095). The three largest exporters — Germany ($2.7B), United States ($2.2B), and China ($2.0B) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at +1.7% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.057). The three largest import markets are United States ($2.4B), Germany ($1.1B), and Mexico ($938.4M). The largest importing market sources from 101 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -4.36. Buyers have moderate flexibility to shift sourcing, but face some switching costs.

The dominant trade corridor is United States → Canada at $463.1M, representing 61.5% of the importer's total demand.

3.

Risk profile & trade outlook

The volatility score for transmission shafts (including cam shafts and crank shafts) and cranks is 5 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, modest but steady demand provides a reasonable entry window. The diversified supply landscape means many competitors but also multiple entry points and buyer relationships to target.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.

Historical evidence

Annual trade value 19952024

Peak: $14,350,017,515 in 2024.

YearGlobal trade (USD)YoY growth
2015$10,108,359,642-7.7%
2016$10,054,234,183-0.5%
2017$10,736,743,311+6.8%
2018$11,991,411,936+11.7%
2019$11,738,684,813-2.1%
2020$10,096,573,839-14.0%
2021$12,064,116,151+19.5%
2022$12,912,838,875+7.0%
2023$14,253,717,726+10.4%
2024$14,350,017,515+0.7%

Top exporting countries

Ranked by export value of transmission shafts (including cam shafts and crank shafts) and cranks in 2024.

View all 181 exporters →

Top importing markets

Largest import destinations for transmission shafts (including cam shafts and crank shafts) and cranks.

View all 197 markets →

Leading trade corridors

Largest bilateral export flows for transmission shafts (including cam shafts and crank shafts) and cranks, ranked by value. Click any country to view its full profile.

#ExporterImporterValue 20243Y CAGR
1United StatesCanada$463.1M+8.7%
2United StatesMexico$377.2M+3.2%
3GermanyUnited States$324.0M+7.3%
4MexicoUnited States$316.1M+5.1%
5CanadaUnited States$285.6M+16.9%
6GermanyPoland$284.5M+12.8%
7JapanUnited States$280.6M-5.0%
8ChinaUnited States$243.3M-4.2%

Showing top 8 of 10 corridors with available data for 2024.

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Sources, definitions & methodology

Data source

OECD Bilateral International Merchandise Trade Statistics (BIMTS). Aggregated from 312M+ reported trade records across 200+ countries and 5,300+ HS6 product codes. Coverage: 19952024.

Key indicators

HHI (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index): market concentration, 0 = fully diversified, 1 = single player. CAGR: compound annual growth rate over a stated period. Volatility score: trade value variability, 0–100 scale.

How this page is made

All statistical content on this page is data-driven, composed programmatically from live OECD trade records. No generic AI-generated prose is used. Analytical paragraphs combine real data points with factual interpretation. This page was last refreshed on 2026-07-17.