Ferrous waste and scrap: of alloy steel (excluding stainless)

In 2024, ferrous waste and scrap: of alloy steel (excluding stainless) trade exhibited significant decline, with global flows reaching $2,302,354,844 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -12.6% (five-year: +2.4%). The all-time peak of $3,634,110,168 was recorded in 2008; the current level is 37% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 48% of years recorded positive growth, indicating significant cyclicality with frequent contractions. Trend momentum is decelerating (-11.8% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies ferrous waste and scrap: of alloy steel (excluding stainless) as "One-way trade" in the medium price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

The supply side is diversified (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.074). The three largest exporters — Canada ($383.8M), United States ($326.7M), and France ($205.6M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at -5.8% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.054). The three largest import markets are United States ($297.4M), Türkiye ($213.5M), and India ($180.0M). The largest importing market sources from 26 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -22.74. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is Canada → United States at $159.0M, representing 53.5% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for ferrous waste and scrap: of alloy steel (excluding stainless) is 11 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. The diversified supply landscape means many competitors but also multiple entry points and buyer relationships to target.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.