Kraft paper and paperboard: uncoated, weight more than 150g/m2 but less than 225g/m2, in rolls or sheets, n.e.s. in item no. 4804.4, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803

In 2024, kraft paper and paperboard: uncoated, weight more than 150g/m2 but less than 225g/m2, in rolls or sheets, n.e.s. in item no. 4804.4, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803 trade exhibited significant decline, with global flows reaching $92,022,349 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of +4.2% (five-year: +0.7%). The all-time peak of $115,024,141 was recorded in 2006; the current level is 20% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 48% of years recorded positive growth, indicating significant cyclicality with frequent contractions. Trend momentum is strengthening (+5.1% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies kraft paper and paperboard: uncoated, weight more than 150g/m2 but less than 225g/m2, in rolls or sheets, n.e.s. in item no. 4804.4, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803 as "One-way trade" in the low price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

The supply side is moderately concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.152). The three largest exporters — United States ($35.4M), Sweden ($14.4M), and Finland ($7.6M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at +2.3% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.108). The three largest import markets are Canada ($23.2M), Vietnam ($12.9M), and Spain ($8.4M). The largest importing market sources from 11 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -10.31. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is United States → Canada at $23.0M, representing 98.9% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for kraft paper and paperboard: uncoated, weight more than 150g/m2 but less than 225g/m2, in rolls or sheets, n.e.s. in item no. 4804.4, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803 is 8 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. A moderately concentrated market rewards differentiated positioning and strategic partner selection.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.