Paper or paperboard: waste and scrap, of paper or paperboard n.e.c. in heading no. 4707 and of unsorted waste and scrap

In 2024, paper or paperboard: waste and scrap, of paper or paperboard n.e.c. in heading no. 4707 and of unsorted waste and scrap trade exhibited significant decline, with global flows reaching $1,730,398,835 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -13.3% (five-year: -3.8%). The all-time peak of $3,172,222,098 was recorded in 2011; the current level is 45% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 55% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a mildly upward trajectory with periodic contractions. Trend momentum is decelerating (-9.0% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies paper or paperboard: waste and scrap, of paper or paperboard n.e.c. in heading no. 4707 and of unsorted waste and scrap as "One-way trade" in the low price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

The supply side is diversified (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.084). The three largest exporters — United States ($401.7M), United Kingdom ($179.4M), and Germany ($134.2M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at -16.3% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.099). The three largest import markets are India ($410.7M), Germany ($277.6M), and Netherlands ($100.6M). The largest importing market sources from 87 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -13.41. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is United States → India at $96.8M, representing 23.6% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for paper or paperboard: waste and scrap, of paper or paperboard n.e.c. in heading no. 4707 and of unsorted waste and scrap is 21 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. The diversified supply landscape means many competitors but also multiple entry points and buyer relationships to target.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.