Paper or paperboard: waste and scrap, of unbleached kraft paper or paperboard or of corrugated paper or paperboard

In 2024, paper or paperboard: waste and scrap, of unbleached kraft paper or paperboard or of corrugated paper or paperboard trade exhibited strong growth, with global flows reaching $4,573,750,600 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -5.8% (five-year: +6.0%). The all-time peak of $5,471,285,916 was recorded in 2021; the current level is 16% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 52% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a mildly upward trajectory with periodic contractions. Trend momentum is decelerating (-6.0% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies paper or paperboard: waste and scrap, of unbleached kraft paper or paperboard or of corrugated paper or paperboard as "One-way trade" in the medium price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

The supply side is diversified (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.147). The three largest exporters — United States ($1.6B), United Kingdom ($452.8M), and Japan ($236.2M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at -4.8% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.073). The three largest import markets are Vietnam ($623.4M), Malaysia ($558.9M), and India ($504.7M). The largest importing market sources from 56 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -26.33. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is United States → Malaysia at $330.0M, representing 59.0% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for paper or paperboard: waste and scrap, of unbleached kraft paper or paperboard or of corrugated paper or paperboard is 11 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, strong demand tailwinds create a favourable entry environment. The diversified supply landscape means many competitors but also multiple entry points and buyer relationships to target.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.