Pulp: of fibres derived from recovered (waste and scrap) paper or paperboard

In 2024, pulp: of fibres derived from recovered (waste and scrap) paper or paperboard trade exhibited slight decline, with global flows reaching $1,305,265,699 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of +1.0% (five-year: +23.9%). The all-time peak of $1,411,648,115 was recorded in 2022; the current level is 8% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 69% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a predominantly expanding market. Trend momentum is decelerating (-20.5% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies pulp: of fibres derived from recovered (waste and scrap) paper or paperboard as "One-way trade" in the medium price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

The supply side is concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.303). The three largest exporters — Thailand ($617.1M), Malaysia ($350.8M), and Taiwan ($59.3M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at +11.2% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is concentrated (HHI 0.693). The three largest import markets are China ($1.1B), Thailand ($25.5M), and Canada ($20.1M). The largest importing market sources from 24 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -46.08. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is Thailand → China at $616.5M, representing 56.8% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for pulp: of fibres derived from recovered (waste and scrap) paper or paperboard is 3 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. The concentrated supply structure suggests high barriers but also potential opportunity if dominant suppliers face disruption or capacity constraints.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.