Acyclic hydrocarbons: unsaturated, butene (butylene) and isomers thereof

In 2024, acyclic hydrocarbons: unsaturated, butene (butylene) and isomers thereof trade exhibited slight decline, with global flows reaching $719,594,961 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -4.5% (five-year: +0.4%). The all-time peak of $1,441,538,629 was recorded in 2011; the current level is 50% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 59% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a mildly upward trajectory with periodic contractions. Trend momentum is steady (-1.0% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies acyclic hydrocarbons: unsaturated, butene (butylene) and isomers thereof as "One-way trade" in the medium price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

The supply side is moderately concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.204). The three largest exporters — Belgium ($228.5M), United States ($222.1M), and South Korea ($76.9M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at +7.6% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.133). The three largest import markets are Canada ($206.3M), Saudi Arabia ($119.4M), and Belgium ($52.7M). The largest importing market sources from 4 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -118.45. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is United States → Canada at $206.3M, representing 100.0% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for acyclic hydrocarbons: unsaturated, butene (butylene) and isomers thereof is 17 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. A moderately concentrated market rewards differentiated positioning and strategic partner selection.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.