Cereals: triticale

In 2024, cereals: triticale trade exhibited significant decline, with global flows reaching $194,674,552 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -9.4% (five-year: +9.8%). The all-time peak of $327,729,030 was recorded in 2022; the current level is 41% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 59% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a mildly upward trajectory with periodic contractions. Trend momentum is decelerating (-10.0% acceleration).

The supply side is concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.414). The three largest exporters — Poland ($121.0M), Germany ($23.7M), and Lithuania ($18.5M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at -11.9% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is concentrated (HHI 0.275). The three largest import markets are Germany ($88.0M), Spain ($37.6M), and Netherlands ($33.5M). The largest importing market sources from 21 different supplying countries.

The dominant trade corridor is Poland → Germany at $81.6M, representing 92.7% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for cereals: triticale is 21 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. The concentrated supply structure suggests high barriers but also potential opportunity if dominant suppliers face disruption or capacity constraints.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.