Telephone sets n.e.c. in item no. 8517.1

In 2024, telephone sets n.e.c. in item no. 8517.1 trade exhibited significant decline, with global flows reaching $2,866,258,847 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -6.1% (five-year: -6.9%). The all-time peak of $5,447,719,069 was recorded in 2008; the current level is 47% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 59% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a mildly upward trajectory with periodic contractions. Trend momentum is steady (-2.5% acceleration).

The supply side is moderately concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.184). The three largest exporters — China ($1.2B), United States ($285.5M), and Thailand ($136.1M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at +1.2% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.080). The three largest import markets are United States ($682.6M), France ($288.0M), and Germany ($142.7M). The largest importing market sources from 81 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -6.73. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is China → United States at $390.2M, representing 57.2% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for telephone sets n.e.c. in item no. 8517.1 is 23 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. A moderately concentrated market rewards differentiated positioning and strategic partner selection.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.