Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of uncombed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 192.31 but not less than 125 decitex (exceeding 52 but not exceeding 80 metric number), not for retail sale

In 2024, cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of uncombed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 192.31 but not less than 125 decitex (exceeding 52 but not exceeding 80 metric number), not for retail sale trade exhibited significant decline, with global flows reaching $568,698,952 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -18.6% (five-year: -6.9%). The all-time peak of $1,343,794,298 was recorded in 2014; the current level is 58% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 48% of years recorded positive growth, indicating significant cyclicality with frequent contractions. Trend momentum is decelerating (-10.4% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of uncombed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 192.31 but not less than 125 decitex (exceeding 52 but not exceeding 80 metric number), not for retail sale as "One-way trade" in the medium price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

The supply side is concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.313). The three largest exporters — Vietnam ($245.6M), Uzbekistan ($218.0M), and India ($56.2M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at -5.6% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is concentrated (HHI 0.574). The three largest import markets are China ($427.5M), Bangladesh ($42.8M), and Pakistan ($23.6M). The largest importing market sources from 12 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -28.47. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is Vietnam → China at $208.2M, representing 48.7% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of uncombed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 192.31 but not less than 125 decitex (exceeding 52 but not exceeding 80 metric number), not for retail sale is 12 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. The concentrated supply structure suggests high barriers but also potential opportunity if dominant suppliers face disruption or capacity constraints.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.