Vinyl chloride, other halogenated olefin polymers: vinylidene chloride polymers, in primary forms

In 2024, vinyl chloride, other halogenated olefin polymers: vinylidene chloride polymers, in primary forms trade exhibited slight decline, with global flows reaching $325,606,647 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of +7.5% (five-year: +11.7%). The all-time peak of $337,229,197 was recorded in 2023; the current level is 3% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 62% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a mildly upward trajectory with periodic contractions. Trend momentum is strengthening (+3.2% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies vinyl chloride, other halogenated olefin polymers: vinylidene chloride polymers, in primary forms as "One-way trade" in the medium price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

The supply side is concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.507). The three largest exporters — France ($227.2M), Japan ($45.4M), and China ($29.3M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at +10.4% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.092). The three largest import markets are Belgium ($61.4M), India ($37.0M), and Switzerland ($34.1M). The largest importing market sources from 9 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -12.50. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is France → Belgium at $57.4M, representing 93.5% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for vinyl chloride, other halogenated olefin polymers: vinylidene chloride polymers, in primary forms is 4 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. The concentrated supply structure suggests high barriers but also potential opportunity if dominant suppliers face disruption or capacity constraints.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.