Unsaturated chlorinated derivatives of acyclic hydrocarbons: vinyl chloride (chloroethylene)

In 2024, unsaturated chlorinated derivatives of acyclic hydrocarbons: vinyl chloride (chloroethylene) trade exhibited modest growth, with global flows reaching $2,985,132,201 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -14.9% (five-year: -0.1%). The all-time peak of $4,837,794,396 was recorded in 2021; the current level is 38% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 62% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a mildly upward trajectory with periodic contractions. Trend momentum is decelerating (-14.6% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies unsaturated chlorinated derivatives of acyclic hydrocarbons: vinyl chloride (chloroethylene) as "One-way trade" in the medium price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

The supply side is moderately concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.174). The three largest exporters — United States ($1.0B), Japan ($591.4M), and Belgium ($312.6M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at -4.1% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is diversified (HHI 0.094). The three largest import markets are Mexico ($496.5M), China ($424.4M), and India ($321.6M). The largest importing market sources from 21 different supplying countries.

Estimated substitution elasticity: -19.27. Buyers are highly price-sensitive and can switch between suppliers relatively easily.

The dominant trade corridor is United States → Mexico at $490.2M, representing 98.7% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for unsaturated chlorinated derivatives of acyclic hydrocarbons: vinyl chloride (chloroethylene) is 19 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, modest but steady demand provides a reasonable entry window. A moderately concentrated market rewards differentiated positioning and strategic partner selection.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.