Copra

In 2024, copra trade exhibited significant decline, with global flows reaching $77,971,163 and a three-year compound annual growth rate of -10.7% (five-year: -1.2%). The all-time peak of $188,089,872 was recorded in 2011; the current level is 59% below that high-water mark.

Over the 30-year observation window (1995–2024), 55% of years recorded positive growth, indicating a mildly upward trajectory with periodic contractions. Trend momentum is decelerating (-6.9% acceleration).

The World Trade Flows Characterization classifies copra as "One-way trade" in the medium price range price segment, providing additional context for market positioning and competitive dynamics.

The supply side is moderately concentrated (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 0.212). The three largest exporters — Indonesia ($30.6M), India ($19.5M), and Papua New Guinea ($14.5M) — collectively dominate supply flows. The leading exporter has grown at -16.5% over the last three years.

On the demand side, importer concentration is moderately concentrated (HHI 0.166). The three largest import markets are Bangladesh ($17.6M), Philippines ($15.3M), and United Arab Emirates ($14.7M). The largest importing market sources from 3 different supplying countries.

The dominant trade corridor is Indonesia → Bangladesh at $17.3M, representing 98.7% of the importer's total demand.

The volatility score for copra is 14 out of 100, classified as low. Trade flows are relatively stable compared to other HS6 products, suggesting mature supply chains and predictable demand.

For market entrants, contracting demand signals caution before committing resources. A moderately concentrated market rewards differentiated positioning and strategic partner selection.

Data confidence is rated "High" based on reporting coverage and consistency across OECD member and partner countries.