Country export capability

Bulgaria
export capability

A reported view of Bulgaria's export scale, destination network, sector breadth, trade history, and market-access context. Use the indicators together; no single measure describes export readiness on its own.

BGR1995-2024 coverage270 active partner marketsMacro trend resilient
Latest exports$47.8B2024 reported value
Latest imports$52.5B2024 reported value
Trade balance-$4.7BExports minus imports
Export growth-0.6%Latest year-on-year change
Active partners270Latest reported markets

Country export profile overview

Bulgaria export data in one research view

This profile brings together export performance, trade balance, destination markets, HS2 sectors, partner breadth, history, and market-access context for country export research.

Export scale and balance

Start with the latest reported trade position

In 2024, Bulgaria recorded $47.8B in exports and $52.5B in imports. The resulting -$4.7B trade balance gives the latest country-level position a clear context.

Exports changed -0.6% year on year and show a calculated +5.7% three-year CAGR. CAGR is an annualized comparison of reported values, not a forecast.

Markets and sectors

See where export value is concentrated

Germany received $6.9B in reported exports, representing 14.4% of the latest country total. Electrical machinery was the largest displayed HS2 export sector at $4.9B and 10.3% of exports.

The visible page highlights five leading destinations and five leading HS2 sectors, while the complete structured files retain every row supplied for this sample.

History and coverage

Read today's number against the long series

The country series covers 1995 through 2024, with 30 observed annual rows. That longer view helps separate a single-year movement from the broader export trend.

Partner counts, tariff context, concentration, exposure shares, and momentum are supporting indicators calculated from available trade observations. Missing values remain unavailable rather than estimated.

Economy and structure

The context around Bulgaria's export base

Macroeconomic and structural indicators add context to merchandise trade scale. They describe the country environment; they do not predict company performance or future exports.

GDP$113.3B2024 macro context
GDP per capita$17.6KCurrent-dollar GDP
Population6.4MReported population
Labor force3.1KReported labor force
Investment rate25.6%National investment rate
Savings rate23%National savings rate
Trade openness141.3%Exports + imports / GDP
Exports / GDP67.4%Merchandise exports / GDP
Secondary education95.1%Education context
Tertiary education24.1%Education context

Market signals

Where to look more closely next

Route-level risk and emerging-corridor signals for further research. These are calculated indicators, not forecasts.

Destination risk contextAll covered routes
Destination risk context for Bulgaria
DestinationAttentionAttention shareBelow peakApplied tariffPrimary reason
RomaniaROUCritical attention51.7%30.9%13.3%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
TurkeyTURWatch36.4%22.4%8.4%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
GreeceGRCWatch40.8%28.4%4.2%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
SpainESPCritical attention30.1%33.4%4.2%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
ChinaCHNCritical attention22.5%20.6%30.2%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
TunisiaTUNCritical attention53.5%55.7%27%Current trade remains materially below historical peaks
IndonesiaIDNCritical attention90.2%59.3%17.9%Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction
USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSAHigh attention76.5%24.5%2.4%Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction
MoroccoMARCritical attention53.7%30.9%47.7%Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure
NamibiaNAMCritical attention98.8%86.9%Not reportedBuyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure

Full route coverage is retained. High attention means the route deserves closer product and access review.

Market opportunity signals

Product-market combinations worth investigating

All returned rows use buyer demand, exporter position, and calculated addressable-value fields. They are research signals, not forecasts.

Addressable-value signalsAll returned rows
Market opportunity signals for Bulgaria
RankMarket and productBuyer importsAddressable 3-year valueCurrent shareDemand signal
1ChinaHS6 260111 · Iron ores and concentrates: non-agglomerated$111.0B$119.1B0%Accelerating -2.6%
2ChinaHS6 270900 · Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude$291.6B$98.7B0%Declining -6.7%
3ChinaHS6 854231 · Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits$158.0B$93.1B0%Accelerating +10.5%
4IndiaHS6 270900 · Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude$130.1B$73.0B0%Declining -0.5%
5ChinaHS6 854232 · Electronic integrated circuits: memories$80.6B$65.7B0%Accelerating +20.6%
6ChinaHS6 854239 · Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542$81.8B$61.4B0%Growing +4%
7USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsHS6 851712 · Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks$53.9B$53.8B0%Accelerating -8.8%
8USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsHS6 847150 · Digital processing units: other than those of subheadings 8471.41 or 8471.49, whether or not containing in the same housing one or two of the following types of unit: storage units, input units or output units$53.9B$45.6B0%Growing +60.2%

Addressable value is a calculated field. Validate product, buyer, tariff, and route conditions before commercial decisions.

Detailed export portfolioHS4 lines beneath the leading sectorsOpen the detailed four-digit export table for Bulgaria.
All HS4 export lines2024 ranking
Top HS4 export lines for Bulgaria
RankHS4Parent HS2 sectorExportsShareActive HS6
12710HS4 detail codeMineral fuels (27) ↗$2.9B6.1%5
27403HS4 detail codeCopper (74) ↗$1.9B4%7
39306HS4 detail codeArms and ammunition (93) ↗$1.9B4%4
47402HS4 detail codeCopper (74) ↗$1.6B3.4%1
51001HS4 detail codeCereals (10) ↗$1.2B2.6%4
63004HS4 detail codePharmaceutical products (30) ↗$1.2B2.5%12
72716HS4 detail codeMineral fuels (27) ↗$931.7M2%1
89999HS4 detail codeHS2 sector 99 (99) ↗$786.8M1.6%1
98537HS4 detail codeElectrical machinery (85) ↗$646.7M1.4%2
108544HS4 detail codeElectrical machinery (85) ↗$634.5M1.3%8
117409HS4 detail codeCopper (74) ↗$618.8M1.3%8
122711HS4 detail codeMineral fuels (27) ↗$604.7M1.3%7

HS4 values are reported observations. The hierarchy is preserved; no missing descriptions are inferred.

The country export read

Bulgaria combines $47.8B in exports with a broad partner network.

In 2024, Bulgaria recorded $47.8B in reported exports and $52.5B in imports, producing a reported trade deficit of $4.7B. Exports changed -0.6% year on year and +5.7% annualized over three years. Electrical machinery (HS2 85) was the largest displayed export sector by value.

Destination network

Where Bulgaria exports move

All returned destination lanes ranked by latest reported export value. Share is calculated against the country total. Review sources ↗

Latest reported destination lanesAll returned · 2024
Leading export destinations for Bulgaria
RankDestinationLatest exportsShareYear-on-year3-year CAGR
1GermanyDEU$6.9B14.4%+6.9%+3.7%
2RomaniaROU$5.4B11.4%-2.5%+4.8%
3ItalyITA$3.5B7.3%-4.6%+3.5%
4PolandPOL$2.7B5.7%+58.3%+42%
5TurkeyTUR$2.7B5.6%+8.1%+2.8%
6GreeceGRC$2.6B5.4%-7.7%-0.3%
7UkraineUKR$1.4B3%-37.7%+42.7%
8FranceFRA$1.4B3%-0.2%+0.3%
9USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA$1.3B2.7%-9.1%+5.8%
10CzechiaCZE$1.2B2.6%+31.6%+14.6%

Destination values are reported country-to-country observations. Full returned rows remain in the downloads.

Trade history

A long view of export scale

Latest twelve years from the 30-year reported country series. Context, not a forecast.

Reported exports by year

2013
$28.8B
2014
$28.9B
2015
$24.9B
2016
$26.0B
2017
$29.9B
2018
$32.5B
2019
$32.9B
2020
$31.3B
2021
$40.4B
2022
$51.8B
2023
$48.1B
2024
$47.8B

Partner network

Scale is only one part of export capability

Partner breadth, distance, agreements, and tariffs add context to reported exports.

FTA partner markets108Reported count
WTO partner markets169Reported count
EU partner markets28Reported count
Shared-border partners5Country context
Shared-language partners0Country context
Average partner distance6,462 kmCalculated average
Partners with FTA40%Calculated share
Applied tariff context0.1%Calculated average
MFN tariff context0.1%Calculated average
Tariff advantage+0.1 ppPreferential vs MFN

Exposure context

Signals to examine alongside export scale

Calculated or classified route and country context. Not predictions or recommendations.

Attention share36.8%

Covered value under attention

Critical share5.9%

Covered value marked critical

Below historical peak22.8%

Distance below route peaks

FTA-covered exports74.9%

Covered value with FTA context

Weighted tariff context0.1%

Export-weighted tariff

Macro contextMacro trend resilient

Primary attention driver: High trade volatility.

Momentum score1.3

History-based indicator

Partner concentration558.5

Partner HHI

Product concentration98.8

Product HHI

Country attention level: Watch. Missing fields remain unavailable.

Complete country valuesOpen the full profile evidenceFull history, sectors, HS4, destinations, risk, opportunities, and source fields.

Profile fields

Year2,024
Country Iso3BGR
Exports Usd$47.8B
Imports Usd$52.5B
Trade Balance Usd-$4.7B
Yoy Exports Growth Pct-0.6%
Yoy Imports Growth Pct0%
Exports Cagr 3y Pct5.7%
Imports Cagr 3y Pct5.8%
Export Partner Hhi558.5
Export Product Hhi98.8
Momentum Score1.3
Risk Score3.3
Gdp Million Usd113,343.36 million USD
Gdp Per Capita Usd$17.6K
Population6,441,421
Labor Force3,137.5
Investment Rate Pct25.6%
Savings Rate Pct23%
Secondary Education Pct95.1%
Tertiary Education Pct24.1%
Total Factor Productivity823
Trade Openness Pct141.3%
Exports Gdp Pct67.4%
Num Active Partners270
Num Fta Partners108
Num Wto Partners169
Num Eu Partners28
Num Shared Border Partners5
Num Shared Language Partners0
Avg Partner Distance Km6,462 km
Avg Partner Gdp Million Usd533,678,518.33 million USD
Avg Partner Gdp Per Capita Usd$15.8
Avg Buyer Biz Entry DaysNot reported
Avg Buyer Biz Entry Cost PctNot reported
Pct Partners With Fta40
Pct Partners Shared Language0
Pct Partners Shared Border2
Avg Applied Tariff Pct0.1%
Avg Mfn Tariff Pct0.1%
Avg Preferential Tariff Pct0%
Tariff Advantage Pp+0.1 pp
Avg Distance All Partners Km6,480
Num Border Partners95
Num Colonial Partners25
Avg Substitution Elasticity-10.6
Pct Products High Elasticity75
Pct Products Low Elasticity3
Real Market Potential86,386.8
Foreign Market Potential16,088.6

Exposure fields

Country Iso3BGR
All History Lane Count25,974
Current Lane Count18,532
Critical Lane Count52
High Attention Lane Count1,538
High Volatility Lane Count11,951
Unrecovered Drawdown Lane Count7,361
Declining Demand Lane Count82
Concentrated Market Lane Count5,673
Access Friction Lane Count959
Buyer Macro Weakness Lane Count449
Monitored Exports Current Usd$43.9B
Attention Exports Usd$16.2B
Critical Exports Usd$2.6B
High Volatility Exports Usd$27.9B
Unrecovered Drawdown Exports Usd$8.7B
Non Fta Exports Usd$4.5B
Monitored Attention Share Pct36.8%
Monitored Critical Share Pct5.9%
Fta Covered Exports Share Pct74.9%
Export Weighted Volatility Cv1.3
Export Weighted Below Peak Pct22.8%
Export Weighted Distance Km2,010 km
Export Weighted Tariff Pct0.1%
Latest Data Year2,024
First Data Year1,995
Country Years Count30
Total Exports Latest Usd$47.8B
Total Imports Latest Usd$52.5B
Trade Balance Latest Usd-$4.7B
Exports Yoy Latest Pct-0.6%
Exports Cagr 3y Latest Pct5.7%
Gdp Latest Million Usd113,343.36 million USD
Gdp Per Capita Latest Usd$17.6K
Population Latest6,441,421
Investment Rate Latest Pct25.6%
Savings Rate Latest Pct23%
Trade Openness Latest Pct141.3%
Exports Gdp Latest Pct67.4%
Active Partners Latest270
Fta Partners Latest108
Foreign Market Potential Latest16,088.6
Gdp 5y Cagr Pct10.6%
Gdp Per Capita 5y Cagr Pct11.2%
Population 5y Cagr Pct-0.5%
Partner Hhi Latest558.5
Partner Top1 Share Latest Pct14.4%
Partner Top3 Share Latest Pct33.1%
Partner Hhi All Avg587.9
Partner Hhi All Max696.2
Product Hhi Latest98.8
Product Top1 Share Latest Pct4%
Product Top3 Share Latest Pct11.2%
Product Hhi All Avg104.7
Product Hhi All Max175.9
Total Exports Attention Share Pct33.8%
Total Exports Critical Share Pct5.5%
Attention LevelWatch
Primary Risk DriverHigh trade volatility
Macro Resilience LabelMacro trend resilient

Annual country history

YearExportsImportsTrade balanceExports YoYExports CAGR 3Y
1995$4.6B$5.6B-$955.6MNot reportedNot reported
1996$4.4B$5.0B-$527.8M-4.1%Not reported
1997$4.6B$4.5B$71.7M+3.7%Not reported
1998$4.1B$4.7B-$611.5M-10.6%-3.8%
1999$3.8B$5.0B-$1.3B-8%-5.2%
2000$4.5B$5.9B-$1.4B+19.3%-0.6%
2001$5.0B$6.6B-$1.6B+10.9%+6.7%
2002$5.6B$7.2B-$1.5B+13%+14.3%
2003$7.2B$9.7B-$2.5B+26.9%+16.7%
2004$9.6B$14.6B-$5.0B+33.4%+24.2%
2005$11.4B$16.2B-$4.9B+18.9%+26.3%
2006$15.1B$21.5B-$6.4B+33%+28.3%
2007$18.0B$27.6B-$9.6B+19.1%+23.5%
2008$21.8B$34.5B-$12.8B+21%+24.2%
2009$16.1B$22.4B-$6.2B-25.8%+2.2%
2010$19.9B$24.8B-$4.9B+23.5%+3.5%
2011$27.2B$31.6B-$4.4B+36.5%+7.7%
2012$26.3B$32.1B-$5.8B-3.4%+17.6%
2013$28.8B$32.2B-$3.4B+9.6%+13%
2014$28.9B$33.0B-$4.0B+0.5%+2.1%
2015$24.9B$28.9B-$4.0B-14.1%-1.8%
2016$26.0B$28.8B-$2.8B+4.5%-3.4%
2017$29.9B$33.7B-$3.8B+15.1%+1.1%
2018$32.5B$37.2B-$4.7B+8.6%+9.3%
2019$32.9B$36.3B-$3.5B+1.3%+8.2%
2020$31.3B$33.6B-$2.3B-4.9%+1.5%
2021$40.4B$44.3B-$3.9B+29.3%+7.6%
2022$51.8B$55.4B-$3.6B+28.3%+16.4%
2023$48.1B$52.4B-$4.4B-7.3%+15.4%
2024$47.8B$52.5B-$4.7B-0.6%+5.7%

Top export sectors

RankHS2SectorExportsShareExport partnersActive HS6
185Electrical machinery$4.9B10.3%176261
274Copper$4.8B10%10649
327Mineral fuels$4.7B9.9%10143
484Machinery$3.4B7.1%178511
593Arms and ammunition$2.3B4.8%5118
610Cereals$1.7B3.6%8026
787Vehicles$1.5B3.1%15487
839Plastics$1.4B3%150129
930Pharmaceutical products$1.3B2.8%16739
1090Optical and medical instruments$1.2B2.6%160142

Detailed HS4 export lines

RankHS4Parent HS2ExportsShareActive HS6
12710Mineral fuels (27)$2.9B6.1%5
27403Copper (74)$1.9B4%7
39306Arms and ammunition (93)$1.9B4%4
47402Copper (74)$1.6B3.4%1
51001Cereals (10)$1.2B2.6%4
63004Pharmaceutical products (30)$1.2B2.5%12
72716Mineral fuels (27)$931.7M2%1
89999HS2 sector 99 (99)$786.8M1.6%1
98537Electrical machinery (85)$646.7M1.4%2
108544Electrical machinery (85)$634.5M1.3%8
117409Copper (74)$618.8M1.3%8
122711Mineral fuels (27)$604.7M1.3%7

Top export destinations

RankDestinationISO3ExportsShareYoYCAGR 3Y
1GermanyDEU$6.9B14.4%+6.9%+3.7%
2RomaniaROU$5.4B11.4%-2.5%+4.8%
3ItalyITA$3.5B7.3%-4.6%+3.5%
4PolandPOL$2.7B5.7%+58.3%+42%
5TurkeyTUR$2.7B5.6%+8.1%+2.8%
6GreeceGRC$2.6B5.4%-7.7%-0.3%
7UkraineUKR$1.4B3%-37.7%+42.7%
8FranceFRA$1.4B3%-0.2%+0.3%
9USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA$1.3B2.7%-9.1%+5.8%
10CzechiaCZE$1.2B2.6%+31.6%+14.6%

Destination risk context

RankDestinationAttentionAttention shareBelow peakApplied tariffPrimary reason
1Romania (ROU)Critical attention51.7%30.9%13.3%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
2Turkey (TUR)Watch36.4%22.4%8.4%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
3Greece (GRC)Watch40.8%28.4%4.2%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
4Spain (ESP)Critical attention30.1%33.4%4.2%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
5China (CHN)Critical attention22.5%20.6%30.2%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
6Tunisia (TUN)Critical attention53.5%55.7%27%Current trade remains materially below historical peaks
7Indonesia (IDN)Critical attention90.2%59.3%17.9%Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction
8USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA)High attention76.5%24.5%2.4%Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction
9Morocco (MAR)Critical attention53.7%30.9%47.7%Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure
10Namibia (NAM)Critical attention98.8%86.9%Not reportedBuyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure

Emerging corridor signals

RankDestinationHS6SignalMarket importsCurrent shareStrength
1Armenia (ARM)030616new$1.4M16.2%100
2Australia (AUS)852862new$51.5M1.5%100
3United Arab Emirates (ARE)291241new$1.7M13.7%100
4Argentina (ARG)560600new$2.2M4.7%100
5Angola (AGO)310230new$8.3M13.5%100
6Albania (ALB)870530new$492.3K91.5%100
7United Arab Emirates (ARE)711292new$3.6M5.1%100
8Armenia (ARM)870350new$5.9M2.2%100
9United Arab Emirates (ARE)281810new$11.5M1.2%100
10Armenia (ARM)870370new$860.8K36%100

Market opportunity signals

RankMarketHS6Buyer importsAddressable 3-year valueCurrent shareSignal
1China (CHN)260111$111.0B$119.1B0%Accelerating (-2.6%)
2China (CHN)270900$291.6B$98.7B0%Declining (-6.7%)
3China (CHN)854231$158.0B$93.1B0%Accelerating (+10.5%)
4India (IND)270900$130.1B$73.0B0%Declining (-0.5%)
5China (CHN)854232$80.6B$65.7B0%Accelerating (+20.6%)
6China (CHN)854239$81.8B$61.4B0%Growing (+4%)
7USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA)851712$53.9B$53.8B0%Accelerating (-8.8%)
8USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA)847150$53.9B$45.6B0%Growing (+60.2%)

How to read this page

Separate reported scale from calculated context.

Reported exports, imports, trade balance, sector rows, destination rows, and annual history describe merchandise trade observations for the stated country and year.

CAGR, shares, concentration measures, tariff context, exposure shares, and momentum are calculated indicators built from the available observations. They help organize research but are not additional reported trade or forecasts.

Coverage runs from 1995 through 2024 for this profile. Missing values are shown as Not reported. Read the full methodology ↗

Reported observations

OECD BIMTS merchandise trade values are the primary series for this view.

Calculated indicators

Growth, share, HHI, tariff, and exposure fields are derived from available reported values.

Coverage limits

Unavailable values remain unavailable. No company sales, shipment records, or forecasts are implied.

Questions about this profile

Bulgaria export capability, in context

Short answers for readers comparing country export scale, partner breadth, and calculated trade indicators.

What does the Bulgaria export profile measure?

It combines reported exports, imports, history, destinations, HS2 sectors, partner context, and calculated indicators for Bulgaria.

What is the latest reported export value for Bulgaria?

Bulgaria recorded $47.8B in reported exports in 2024.

Which markets receive the most exports from Bulgaria?

Germany leads by reported export value at $6.9B in 2024. Five destination lanes are highlighted.

Which sectors lead Bulgaria's exports?

Electrical machinery leads by reported value at $4.9B. Five HS2 chapters are highlighted.

How many years of Bulgaria trade history are available?

This sample contains 30 observed annual rows covering 1995 through 2024. Missing observations are not estimated.

Are the growth and exposure values forecasts?

No. They are calculated or classified from reported observations, not forecasts or market-access guarantees.

Continue your research

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Data source

OECD trade statistics with CEPII context

OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-28). OECD BIMTS is the primary trade series for this view. Supporting bilateral trade context uses CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601) under Etalab 2.0 Open Licence. Yugalinks presents derived views of reported observations and calculated indicators. Data terms: OECD Terms & Conditions.