Trade position
Germany exports $143.1K to KEN
The exporter has a 1.2% reported share of importer-market imports in 2024 for HS 481190.
HS 481190 · vehicle parts and accessories · lane risk
Germany to KEN
HS 481190 paper, paperboard, cellulose wadding and webs of soft cellulose fibres
A focused macro trade lane profile for HS 481190 vehicle parts and accessories, covering recovery, volatility, drawdown, import demand, competition, tariffs, and market access.
Lane volatility0.6Variable
Maximum drawdown82.4%Still more than 50% below historical peak
Importer-market imports$11.8MLatest reported market size
Exporter market share1.2%Share of importer-market imports
Reported suppliers31Latest observed source-country count
HS 481190 lane research brief
HS 481190 vehicle parts trade overview
Reported observations and calculated indicators show where this paper, paperboard, cellulose wadding and webs of soft cellulose fibres lane deserves deeper commercial research. They are not a guarantee of sales or a legal market-access opinion.
Import-market context
HS 481190 import demand: import demand stable or growing
KEN imports were $11.8M in the latest reported year, with a +13.6% year-on-year change.
Access and competition
Vehicle parts market access: Standard market access
Concentrated importer market with 31 reported source countries. Review the full lane analysis before acting.
Macro trade context
HS 481190 importer-market and route context
This section describes country-level trade, macroeconomic, route, and access indicators. It does not represent named buyers, purchase orders, or a company-level demand forecast.
KEN importer market
Latest imports$11.8MReported HS 481190 importer-market imports
Five-year import CAGR+10.3%Calculated change in reported imports
GDP per capita$2.0KLatest available macro indicator
Population estimate54,986kLatest available population estimate
Macro classificationimporter macro trend resilientCalculated country-level context
Route and access indicators
HS classificationChapter 48 · heading 4811Vehicle parts and accessories classification
Reported trade typeOne-way tradeObserved lane pattern
Average applied tariff27.6%Reported tariff indicator
Preferential tariff0%Reported preferential indicator
Distance and entry context6,510 km · 23 daysRoute distance and country-level entry indicator
HS 481190 reported and calculated indicators
HS 481190 vehicle parts trade evidence
Values are labeled as reported or calculated so this macro trade lane can be researched without implying named buyers or confirmed orders.
Germany to KEN · HS 481190 lane evidence30 years through 2024 · reported vs calculated
| HS 481190 measure | Value | Type | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Importer-market imports | $11.8M | Reported | KEN latest reported imports |
| Exporter exports | $143.1K | Reported | Germany latest reported exports to KEN |
| Historical peak exports | $813.3K | Reported | Highest reported lane exports |
| Current below peak | 82.4% | Calculated | Difference from historical peak |
| Historical-average comparison | -65.2% | Calculated | Current value compared with historical average |
| Import-demand change | +13.6% | Calculated | Latest annual change in importer-market imports |
| Importer-market five-year projection | $19.2M | Calculated | Calculated import-market projection |
| Exporter market share | 1.2% | Calculated | Exporter share of reported importer-market imports |
| Addressable three-year value | $8.9M | Calculated | Calculated addressable trade projection |
| Reported source countries | 31 | Reported | Latest observed exporter-country count |
| Applied tariff | 27.6% | Reported | Average applied tariff indicator |
| Preferential tariff | 0% | Reported | Average preferential tariff indicator |
| Tariff advantage | +0 pp | Calculated | Difference between relevant tariff indicators |
| Lane volatility | 0.6 | Calculated | Variation across observed values |
| Maximum drawdown | 82.4% | Calculated | Largest fall from a prior peak |
| Risk drivers | unrecovered_drawdown, concentrated_buyer_market, dominant_supplier | Calculated | Recorded calculated driver categories |
| Macro resilience | importer macro trend resilient | Calculated | Importer-country macro classification |
| Observed history | 30 years | Reported | Coverage through 2024 |
How to read this table: Reported values describe the underlying trade or country observation. Calculated values are indicators derived from reported observations and should be used for research, not as guarantees.
HS 481190 market watch
HS 481190 market access and risk signals
These signals prioritize questions for the interactive corridor analysis and your own importer-market, tariff, standards, logistics, and pricing checks.
Observed HS 481190 lane signals
VolatilityVariation across observed lane values
VariableRecoveryDistance from the historical peak
82.4%Import demandLatest importer-market change
+13.6%AccessReported market-access indicator
Standard market accessNext research step
Compare the HS 481190 lane with the full corridor analysis.
Inspect product mix, exporter-country concentration, market access, pricing evidence, opportunity indicators, anomalies, and available years in the interactive view.
HS6 lane risk FAQ
How to use this HS lane profile
Short definitions for interpreting HS6 vehicle parts trade evidence correctly.
What does Germany to KEN lane risk mean?
It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane.
Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?
No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and commercial conditions before acting.
How should this lane-risk page be used?
Use it to identify questions for deeper product and importer-market research, then compare the lane with current trade, access conditions, source countries, and alternative markets.
Yugalinks lane analysis
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Explore the interactive corridor analysis for Germany to KEN and HS 481190.
Data source
OECD trade statistics with CEPII context
OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-31). OECD BIMTS is the primary trade series for this view. Supporting bilateral trade context uses CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601) under Etalab 2.0 Open Licence. Yugalinks presents derived views of reported observations and calculated indicators. Data terms: OECD Terms & Conditions.