Importer opportunity guide

Kenya import opportunities
where to source next

Explore Kenya's import market by product, supplier concentration, demand growth, and sourcing gaps. Use reported market size and calculated indicators to decide where deeper supplier research may be useful.

KEN50 opportunities screened2024 trade year$24.3B imports
Latest imports$24.3B2024 reported value
Import CAGR+3.0%Three-year reported change
GDP$120.3BLatest reported value
GDP per capita$2.1KLatest reported value
Trade openness44.0%Reported share of GDP

Kenya import opportunities

What makes this an attractive import market?

Compare market size and growth with supplier concentration. A large market may still need product, quality, tariff, logistics, and buyer validation.

Largest market shown

Not reported

$1.9B of latest reported imports and $1.4B of calculated three-year opportunity.

Current import base

$24.3B in imports

Kenya recorded $24.3B in imports in 2024, with a three-year change of +3.0%.

How to use the guide

Compare demand with supply

Start with the highest-value products, then review supplier concentration and market conditions before choosing a sourcing route.

Import market overview

Find products where demand and sourcing options meet

This page separates reported import observations from calculated indicators so market size is not mistaken for a guaranteed sourcing opportunity.

Kenya imports products from suppliers across major trade regions. The current profile reports $24.3B of imports in 2024, while the opportunity view highlights product and supplier combinations where market demand and supply context may justify further research.

Use the opportunity table to compare product market size, demand growth, supplier counts, concentration, and projected imports. High concentration can indicate reliance on a small supplier base; it can also reflect specialized products that require careful validation.

Top import opportunities

Products and supplier context to review

The top 50 screened products are ranked by calculated three-year opportunity. Reported market values and calculated indicators are labeled separately.

RankProductMarket sizeDemand growthSuppliersConcentrationTop supplierProjected imports
1HS 271012Product description unavailable$1.9BLatest imports+10.4%343229AREDeclining$2.6B
2HS 151190Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified$534.5MLatest imports+13.3%118135MYSDeclining$776.9M
3HS 271019Product description unavailable$1.9BLatest imports+7.8%721929AREDeclining$2.4B
4HS 151110Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified$566.8MLatest imports+9.6%77386MYSDeclining$745.3M
5HS 100199Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed$569.2MLatest imports+7.8%126468RUSDeclining$712.7M
6HS 710812Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)$225.6MLatest imports+38.9%210000AREDeclining$440.7M
7HS 851712Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks$256.9MLatest imports+17.4%857097CHNDeclining$415.2M
8HS 271113Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes$253.8MLatest imports+22.4%135489USADeclining$465.7M
9HS 300490Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale$399.2MLatest imports+9.4%903699INDDeclining$522.2M
10HS 100630Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed$478.1MLatest imports+6.1%233863PAKDeclining$571.6M
11HS 720839Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm$442.9MLatest imports+9.4%74630CHNDeclining$579.2M
12HS 290110Acyclic hydrocarbons: saturated$122.7MLatest imports+33.9%149517USASlowing$239.7M
13HS 640299Footwear: n.e.s. in heading no. 6402, (other than just covering the ankle), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics$152.7MLatest imports+15.4%499375CHNDeclining$234.5M
14HS 871410Motorcycles (including mopeds): parts and accessories$98.5MLatest imports+24.7%378809CHNDeclining$190.7M
15HS 870323Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc$176.8MLatest imports+4.9%387107JPNDeclining$204.1M
16HS 390761Poly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity of 78ml/g or higher$105.0MLatest imports+17.2%158504CHNDeclining$169.1M
17HS 420212Cases and containers: trunks, suit-cases, vanity-cases, executive-cases, brief-cases, school satchels and similar containers, with outer surface of plastics or of textile materials$100.6MLatest imports+15.0%509830CHNDeclining$153.0M
18HS 270119Coal: (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated$97.0MLatest imports+29.0%55943ZAFSlowing$189.5M
19HS 271600Electrical energy$104.4MLatest imports+15.7%36705ETHDeclining$161.8M
20HS 711319Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof$79.8MLatest imports+16.6%279975AREDeclining$126.4M
21HS 401120Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorries$115.1MLatest imports+8.4%307177CHNDeclining$146.6M
22HS 940540Lamps and light fittings: electric, n.e.s. in heading no. 9405$83.9MLatest imports+15.7%628850CHNStable$130.0M
23HS 630900Clothing: worn, and other worn articles$201.7MLatest imports+7.8%1222793CHNDeclining$252.6M
24HS 620462Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)$61.9MLatest imports+26.6%399644CHNDeclining$120.8M
25HS 871000Tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles: motorised, whether or not fitted with weapons, and parts of such vehicles$102.9MLatest imports+31.6%44794ZAFSlowing$201.0M
26HS 330210Odoriferous substances and mixtures: of a kind used in the food or drink industries$101.5MLatest imports+14.0%465200SWZDeclining$150.3M
27HS 870340Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power$57.8MLatest imports+27.6%138658JPNDeclining$113.0M
28HS 310530Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)$121.9MLatest imports+10.1%65406SAUDeclining$162.5M
29HS 851762Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus$152.7MLatest imports+13.0%722552CHNDeclining$220.4M
30HS 880240Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg$98.6MLatest imports+6.5%106856USADeclining$119.2M
31HS 740811Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 6mm$67.0MLatest imports+15.2%98922AREDeclining$102.4M
32HS 690490Ceramic flooring blocks, supports or filler tiles and the like (excluding building bricks)$49.3MLatest imports+29.5%109887CHNSlowing$96.4M
33HS 870120Tractors: road, for semi-trailers$103.6MLatest imports+10.3%244985CHNDeclining$138.8M
34HS 271112Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane$61.5MLatest imports+19.7%48202USADeclining$105.3M
35HS 390210Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms$166.4MLatest imports+13.2%302824SAUDeclining$241.5M
36HS 870333Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc$101.0MLatest imports+9.1%315325JPNDeclining$131.1M
37HS 540752Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of textured polyester filaments, dyed$68.6MLatest imports+17.8%206951CHNDeclining$112.2M
38HS 240220Cigarettes: containing tobacco$65.8MLatest imports+14.5%438185AREDeclining$98.7M
39HS 940390Furniture: parts$57.2MLatest imports+16.5%459053CHNDeclining$90.4M
40HS 870322Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc$79.4MLatest imports+4.3%278779JPNSlowing$90.2M
41HS 310520Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium$79.5MLatest imports+5.4%227665RUSDeclining$93.1M
42HS 600632Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04, of synthetic fibres, dyed$72.0MLatest imports+39.6%194523CHNDeclining$140.6M
43HS 841191Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers$60.8MLatest imports+14.7%207134AREDeclining$91.6M
44HS 852872Reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus: incorporating a colour video display or screen$76.8MLatest imports+13.0%805369CHNSlowing$110.7M
45HS 040120Dairy produce: milk and cream, not concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, of a fat content exceeding 1% but not exceeding 6% (by weight)$38.4MLatest imports+27.7%69910UGADeclining$75.1M
46HS 850760Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)$47.2MLatest imports+24.8%426265CHNSlowing$91.7M
47HS 860699Railway or tramway goods vans and wagons: n.e.s. in heading no. 8606, not self-propelled$38.1MLatest imports+51.7%29992CHNStable$74.5M
48HS 270112Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated$40.2MLatest imports+45.3%38130ZAFDeclining$78.5M
49HS 390120Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more$119.3MLatest imports+6.3%302785SAUDeclining$143.4M
50HS 300220Vaccines: for human medicine$114.4MLatest imports+13.9%212537INDDeclining$169.0M

Showing the five highest-ranked products on mobile. View the complete import opportunity data.

Product sectors

Which sectors carry the most demand?

HS2 sectors group the screened products into broader families for an easier first comparison.

SectorProductsMarket sizeOpportunityAverage growth
HS2 sector 00HS2 002$3.8B$2.0B+9.1%
Animal and vegetable fatsHS2 152$1.1B$1.3B+11.4%
CerealsHS2 102$1.0B$857.1M+7.0%
VehiclesHS2 877$720.0M$842.5M+16.1%
Mineral fuelsHS2 275$556.9M$767.2M+26.4%
Electrical equipmentHS2 854$533.6M$593.0M+17.0%
Precious stones and metalsHS2 712$305.4M$566.9M+27.7%
Pharmaceutical productsHS2 302$513.6M$380.3M+11.6%
PlasticsHS2 393$390.6M$320.1M+12.3%
Iron and steelHS2 721$442.9M$278.7M+9.4%
Organic chemicalsHS2 291$122.7M$233.8M+33.9%
FootwearHS2 641$152.7M$227.0M+15.4%

Supply gaps

Where supplier concentration deserves attention

The concentration index helps identify products where reported imports rely more heavily on a smaller supplier base. It is a screening signal, not a recommendation by itself.

ProductMarket sizeSuppliersConcentrationTop supplierShare gap
HS 710812Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)$225.6M210000ARE100.0%
HS 860699Railway or tramway goods vans and wagons: n.e.s. in heading no. 8606, not self-propelled$38.1M29992CHN96.2%
HS 711319Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof$79.8M279975ARE99.9%
HS 040120Dairy produce: milk and cream, not concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, of a fat content exceeding 1% but not exceeding 6% (by weight)$38.4M69910UGA99.6%
HS 690490Ceramic flooring blocks, supports or filler tiles and the like (excluding building bricks)$49.3M109887CHN99.4%
HS 420212Cases and containers: trunks, suit-cases, vanity-cases, executive-cases, brief-cases, school satchels and similar containers, with outer surface of plastics or of textile materials$100.6M509830CHN99.1%
HS 620462Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)$61.9M399644CHN98.2%
HS 290110Acyclic hydrocarbons: saturated$122.7M149517USA97.5%

Supplier landscape

Which supplier markets appear most often?

These supplier names come from the leading peer signal in the screened opportunity rows and should be validated at product level.

ARE

United Arab Emirates

7 screened products

$2.9BCalculated opportunity across these rows

CHN

China

19 screened products

$2.6BCalculated opportunity across these rows

MYS

Malaysia

2 screened products

$1.3BCalculated opportunity across these rows

USA

USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands

4 screened products

$764.3MCalculated opportunity across these rows

RUS

Russia

2 screened products

$648.7MCalculated opportunity across these rows

JPN

Japan

4 screened products

$455.2MCalculated opportunity across these rows

IND

India

2 screened products

$380.3MCalculated opportunity across these rows

ZAF

South Africa

3 screened products

$319.4MCalculated opportunity across these rows

Frequently asked questions

Using the Kenya import opportunity index

Definitions and practical guidance for interpreting market size, growth, suppliers, and concentration.

What are the import opportunities?

They are product and supplier combinations in Kenya's screened import market with substantial reported demand and calculated opportunity indicators. They are research priorities, not guaranteed savings or supply contracts.

What does supplier concentration mean?

The concentration index indicates how much reported imports rely on a smaller supplier base. A high value can suggest supply dependence, but it can also reflect specialized products or limited reporting.

How should sourcing teams use this page?

Start with products that fit your specification and volume needs, then validate suppliers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and continuity for Kenya.

Data source

OECD trade statistics with CEPII context

OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-30). OECD BIMTS is the primary trade series for this view. Supporting bilateral trade context uses CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601) under Etalab 2.0 Open Licence. Yugalinks presents derived views of reported observations and calculated indicators. Data terms: OECD Terms & Conditions.