Trade anomaly · 2024

ARE to Russian Federation
HS 870410 · Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods

Product: Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods

A reported unusual movement in this exporter-to-importer product history. Use the evidence to investigate what changed; it does not establish the cause or predict future trade.

HS6 870410spike202470.7%
Anomaly z-score2.8Calculated unusualness indicator
Severity70.7%Reported anomaly severity
Market imports$846.3MReported buyer-market value
MomentumNot reportedAnnual change, when reportable

What changed

What unusual movement was detected?

The record is marked as a spike for ARE to Russian Federation in Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods. The indicator identifies unusual movement in the reported trade history; it does not explain why it occurred.

Buyer market

$846.3M in reported imports

The buyer-market value for HS 870410 in 2024 shows the size of the destination market.

Unusualness measure

2.8 z-score

This calculated indicator describes how far the observation is from its comparison baseline.

How to use it

Investigate before acting

Compare history, suppliers, demand, access, tariffs, logistics, and current market information before treating the movement as a commercial opportunity.

Historical context

Read the anomaly against the route history

Historical observations help separate a single unusual year from a longer change in the route. Annual change is year-on-year; 3-year CAGR is the annualised change over three years.

ARE to Russian Federation HS 870410 route history
YearExport valueAnnual change3-year CAGR
2001$487.6-76.7%0%
2002$2.4K399.8%-2.3%
2003$188.0-92.3%-55.2%
2004$351.286.8%-10.4%
2005$28.6K8,044.1%127.3%
2006$3.2K-88.8%157%
2012$208.3-93.5%-16%
2024$8.7MNot reported573.1%

Market and route context

What else should be checked?

These values add scale, competition, demand, and access context. They are not a causal diagnosis, named-buyer evidence, or a sales forecast.

Reported and calculated market and route context
MeasureValueType
Buyer-market imports$846.3MReported
Exporter reported exports$8.7MReported
Exporter market share1%Calculated
Buyer-market annual change+13.5%Calculated
Buyer-market CAGR+8.6%Calculated
Share gap to leading peer+60.5 ppCalculated
Reported suppliers9Reported
Supplier concentration (HHI / 10,000)4,764 / 10,000Calculated
Route volatility (CV)3Calculated
Maximum drawdown99.3%Calculated
Applied tariff6.7%Reported

Frequently asked questions

How to read this trade page

Short definitions for the reported values and calculated indicators shown above.

What does the spike signal mean?

It identifies an unusual movement in the reported trade history for this route. It does not establish the cause or predict what happens next.

Is this a guaranteed market opportunity?

No. Use the indicator as a research prompt, then validate buyers, specifications, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition.

Why can a percentage be unavailable?

Some calculated changes need a valid prior observation or stable denominator. Unavailable values are not treated as zero.

Continue your research

Move from unusual movement to market context.

Review the data details, methodology, and related product and route views before making a commercial decision.

Data source

OECD trade statistics with CEPII context

OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-03). OECD BIMTS is the primary trade series for this view. Supporting bilateral trade context uses CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601) under Etalab 2.0 Open Licence. Yugalinks presents derived views of reported observations and calculated indicators. Data terms: OECD Terms & Conditions.