China (CHN) to United States (USA) dairy produce: derived from milk, butter (HS6 040510)
A country-to-country view of reported dairy produce: derived from milk, butter trade, combining buyer demand, exporter position, market structure, access conditions, and observed lane history.
Exporter China (CHN)Importer United States (USA)HS6 040510One-way tradeCoverage 2021-2024Accelerating
3-year buyer projection
$1.4BCalculated from reported demand
Exporter growth
+20.5%Full available history
Suppliers in market
59Latest reported count
Observed history
4 yearsLast year: 2024
Reported observations
What this dairy produce: derived from milk, butter lane shows for HS 040510
Core values for China (CHN) → United States (USA) in HS 040510.
Buyer market
Latest imports$735.1M
Five-year projection$2.1B
Buyer CAGR+23.4%
Latest annual change+48.8%
Exporter position
Latest exports$41.1K
Market share0%
Share change+0 pp
Best observed share72.2%
Market structure
Reported suppliers59
Concentration index5,527
Share gap+72.2 pp
SignalAccelerating
Detailed evidence
Complete lane evidence
Reported values, calculated indicators, and country-pair context for this route.
Measure
Value
What it describes
Buyer imports
$735.1M
United States (USA)'s latest reported imports
Exporter exports
$41.1K
China (CHN)'s exports to United States (USA)
Exporter market share
0%
Exporter share of the reported buyer market
Buyer five-year CAGR
+23.4%
Annualized change in buyer imports
Exporter full-history CAGR
+20.5%
Annualized change in exporter exports
Three-year buyer projection
$1.4B
Calculated projection from reported demand
Five-year buyer projection
$2.1B
Calculated projection from reported demand
Average buyer imports
$127.3M
Average reported importer value
Peak buyer imports
$735.1M
Highest reported importer value
Average exporter exports
$31.4K
Average reported lane exports
Peak exporter exports
$59.9K
Highest reported lane exports
Share change
+0 pp
Latest one-year change in exporter share
Reported suppliers
59
Supplier countries observed in the latest period
Buyer GDP
$23.0T
Latest buyer-country GDP estimate
Buyer GDP per person
$69.3K
Latest buyer-country GDP per person
Buyer population
331,893.7 thousand
Latest buyer-country population estimate
Buyer investment rate
21.9%
Reported buyer-country investment rate
Buyer secondary education
98.3%
Reported secondary education coverage
Distance
10,994 km
Approximate country-pair distance
Business entry time
4.2 days
Reported days to start a business
Shared legal system
No
Country-pair institutional relationship
Reported FTA
No
Reported trade-agreement indicator
WTO member
Yes
Buyer-country WTO membership indicator
Lane volatility
0.7
Variation indicator across observed lane values
Maximum drawdown
61.8%
Largest observed decline from a prior peak
Observed history
4 years
Coverage through 2024
Research reading
Dairy produce: derived from milk, butter demand and the China (CHN) to United States (USA) lane
United States (USA) reported $735.1M of dairy produce: derived from milk, butter imports in 2024. China (CHN) accounted for 0% of the observed market and reported $41.1K in exports on this lane.
The latest annual values eased slightly, while the longer available history shows +23.4% buyer growth and +20.5% exporter growth. The page separates reported values from projections and indicators.
Product classification
What does HS 040510 include?
HS 040510 covers Dairy produce: derived from milk, butter. This page studies the six-digit Harmonized System classification rather than a company, brand, retail category, or individual shipment.
The classification sits in HS chapter 4 and heading 405. The recorded trade type is one-way trade, with a medium price range classification in the available product reference data.
How to interpret this page
Compare demand, position, and history together
This HS 040510 trade opportunity page brings together the buyer market in United States (USA), the exporter position of China (CHN), and the observed conditions of their trade lane. A large buyer market does not by itself show that every exporter has equal access, and a positive growth rate does not remove the need to examine volatility and historical coverage.
Use the reported imports and exports to understand scale, market share to understand position, projections to understand the calculated forward view, and lane history to understand how much evidence supports the comparison.
Frequently asked questions
Questions about China (CHN) to United States (USA) dairy produce: derived from milk, butter trade
What is the HS code for this product?
This page covers HS 040510, the six-digit product classification shown in the trade records.
How large is the United States (USA) market?
The page reports the latest buyer imports, historical averages, peaks, growth, and calculated projections for dairy produce: derived from milk, butter.
How strong is China (CHN) in this market?
Exporter performance is shown through lane exports, market share, share change, growth, and the number of reported suppliers.
What should be checked before entering this market?
Review market scale, competition, access indicators, volatility, drawdown, and the available history together rather than relying on one signal.
Trade values describe reported merchandise trade for the stated HS6 classification. They are not company-level sales or shipment records.
Calculated indicators
Growth, projections, concentration, volatility, and share-gap figures are calculated from the reported observations and should be interpreted with their coverage period.
Coverage
This sample covers 4 observed years through 2024. Missing values are shown as not reported rather than estimated.
