Largest opportunity shown
China - Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude
$98.6B is the calculated three-year addressable value in the leading opportunity shown, alongside $291.6B of reported buyer imports.
Export market opportunity guide
Timor-Leste export opportunities
where to look next
Explore Timor-Leste's export markets, products, sectors, and regions. Compare reported trade with calculated opportunity indicators to decide where further research may be useful.
Latest exports$66.7M2024 reported value
3-year opportunity$1.1TCalculated addressable value
Buyer markets270Latest reported markets
Trade agreement partners0Reported agreements
Screened opportunities1,553Demand and history filters
Timor-Leste export opportunities
Where should Timor-Leste look for export growth?
The ranking combines buyer-market size, calculated projections, exporter position, access conditions, and observed history. It is a research starting point, not a guarantee of sales.
Current export position
$66.7M in reported exports
Timor-Leste has 270 active buyer markets in the latest reported trade profile.
How to use the guide
Compare demand with access
Use the addressable value to find scale, then review market share, buyer growth, suppliers, access indicators, and history before acting.
Timor-Leste export market overview
Explore export opportunities by market, product, and sector
This guide brings together reported trade data and calculated indicators to help exporters, advisors, sourcing teams, and market researchers decide where to investigate next.
Timor-Leste trades with buyer markets across every major region. The current profile shows $66.7M in reported exports for 2024, while the opportunity view highlights market and product combinations where buyer demand, growth, and exporter position may justify further research.
Use the tables to compare the size of each buyer market, Timor-Leste's current share, the gap to the peer benchmark, and recent demand growth. The 3-year CAGR shows average annual growth over the period. HS2 sectors group detailed product codes into broad product families.
Start with the largest opportunities, then check the current trade footprint, sector breadth, regional concentration, and market-watch signals. The calculated addressable opportunity is a screening indicator, not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Product-level requirements, tariffs, buyers, logistics, and commercial conditions should be validated before making an export decision.
Current trade footprint
Where Timor-Leste already trades
Reported country, trade-route, and product data adds context around the calculated opportunity ranking.
Leading buyer marketsLatest reported exports
| Buyer market | Exports | Year-on-year | 3-year CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|
| ThailandTHA | $38.7M | +176,592.7% | +41.2% |
| Timor-LesteTLS | $7.2M | -31.5% | +1,344.4% |
| USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | $4.7M | +12% | +3.2% |
| IndonesiaIDN | $3.4M | -63.6% | +17.5% |
| JapanJPN | $1.5M | -89.8% | -74.4% |
| SingaporeSGP | $1.4M | -96.1% | -76.9% |
| PortugalPRT | $1.3M | -19.8% | +53.3% |
| AustraliaAUS | $1.2M | -72.4% | +8.2% |
Reported product sectors2024 exports by sector
| Sector | Exports | Trade balance | Products tracked |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mineral fuelsHS2 27 | $38.7M | -$115.8M | 27 |
| Coffee, tea and spicesHS2 09 | $12.1M | $8.6M | 38 |
| BeveragesHS2 22 | $7.3M | -$21.3M | 24 |
| Electrical machineryHS2 85 | $1.8M | -$73.2M | 255 |
| Oil seeds and oleaginous fruitsHS2 12 | $917.7K | -$365.3K | 38 |
| Iron and steelHS2 72 | $774.0K | -$25.2M | 130 |
| MachineryHS2 84 | $661.9K | -$85.4M | 471 |
| RubberHS2 40 | $571.9K | -$10.2M | 68 |
Top opportunities
Markets and products to review
The top 50 screened opportunities are ranked by calculated three-year addressable value. Reported trade and calculated indicators are labeled separately so the comparison is clear.
| Rank | Buyer market | Product | Addressable 3-year value | Buyer demand growth | Exporter share | Share gap | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ChinaCHN | HS 270900Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude | $98.6BCalculated indicator | +18.1% | 0% | 20.5% | Declining |
| 2 | ChinaCHN | HS 854231Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits | $93.1BCalculated indicator | +18.1% | 0% | 35.8% | Growing |
| 3 | ChinaCHN | HS 854232Electronic integrated circuits: memories | $65.7BCalculated indicator | +17.4% | 0% | 50.3% | |
| 4 | ChinaCHN | HS 854239Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542 | $61.4BCalculated indicator | +15.9% | 0% | 48.2% | Declining |
| 5 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 851712Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks | $53.8BCalculated indicator | +11.8% | 0% | 71.4% | Declining |
| 6 | Republic of KoreaKOR | HS 270900Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude | $34.3BCalculated indicator | +7.2% | 0.1% | 36.5% | Growing |
| 7 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 847130Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display | $33.3BCalculated indicator | +3.8% | 0% | 69.8% | |
| 8 | SingaporeSGP | HS 854239Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542 | $17.5BCalculated indicator | +4.4% | 0% | 53.4% | |
| 9 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 851762Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus | $16.3BCalculated indicator | +14.1% | 0% | 21.3% | Growing |
| 10 | ThailandTHA | HS 270900Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude | $15.1BCalculated indicator | +8.4% | 0.1% | 41.7% | Declining |
| 11 | IndiaIND | HS 851770Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts | $14.8BCalculated indicator | +18.2% | 0% | 82.3% | |
| 12 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 847330Machines: parts and accessories of automatic data processing, magnetic or optical readers, digital processing units | $14.3BCalculated indicator | +1.2% | 0% | 42.4% | Growing |
| 13 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 950300Tricycles, scooters, pedal cars and similar wheeled toys: dolls' carriages: dolls: other toys: reduced-size (scale) models and similar recreational models, working or not: puzzles of all kinds | $13.8BCalculated indicator | +3.8% | 0% | 77.3% | Declining |
| 14 | MexicoMEX | HS 851712Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks | $13.5BCalculated indicator | +16.9% | 0% | 73.4% | Stable |
| 15 | SingaporeSGP | HS 854231Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits | $13.0BCalculated indicator | +6.4% | 0% | 39.1% | Growing |
| 16 | GermanyDEU | HS 271019Product description unavailable | $12.3BCalculated indicator | +5.8% | 0% | 54.3% | |
| 17 | ChinaCHN | HS 271112Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane | $10.8BCalculated indicator | +16.8% | 0.1% | 52.6% | Growing |
| 18 | AustraliaAUS | HS 271019Product description unavailable | $10.7BCalculated indicator | +13.8% | 0% | 29.2% | Declining |
| 19 | GermanyDEU | HS 851712Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks | $9.7BCalculated indicator | +9.2% | 0% | 52% | Declining |
| 20 | SingaporeSGP | HS 270900Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude | $8.7BCalculated indicator | +5.1% | 0.1% | 27.7% | Stable |
| 21 | MalaysiaMYS | HS 270900Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude | $8.3BCalculated indicator | +16% | 0.1% | 39.4% | Growing |
| 22 | SingaporeSGP | HS 271019Product description unavailable | $7.3BCalculated indicator | +9.1% | 0% | 18.1% | Declining |
| 23 | TaiwanTWN | HS 854239Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542 | $7.3BCalculated indicator | +5.8% | 0% | 22.4% | Stable |
| 24 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 999999Commodities not specified according to kind | $6.8BCalculated indicator | +11.1% | 0% | 80.3% | Growing |
| 25 | United KingdomGBR | HS 851712Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks | $6.7BCalculated indicator | +7.5% | 0% | 57.4% | |
| 26 | MalaysiaMYS | HS 854231Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits | $6.5BCalculated indicator | +5.1% | 0% | 26.3% | Stable |
| 27 | MexicoMEX | HS 854231Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits | $6.0BCalculated indicator | +8.6% | 0% | 26% | Stable |
| 28 | Republic of KoreaKOR | HS 851712Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks | $6.0BCalculated indicator | +10.3% | 0% | 67.6% | |
| 29 | FranceFRA | HS 880330Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803 | $5.9BCalculated indicator | +6% | 0% | 34.7% | Declining |
| 30 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 392690Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39 | $5.9BCalculated indicator | +6.4% | 0% | 40.2% | Declining |
| 31 | JapanJPN | HS 271112Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane | $5.9BCalculated indicator | +4.8% | 0% | 73.2% | Slowing |
| 32 | ThailandTHA | HS 854239Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542 | $5.7BCalculated indicator | +5.7% | 0% | 42.8% | |
| 33 | GermanyDEU | HS 271012Product description unavailable | $5.6BCalculated indicator | +5.8% | 0% | 64.7% | |
| 34 | MalaysiaMYS | HS 271019Product description unavailable | $5.6BCalculated indicator | +10.6% | 0% | 30% | Declining |
| 35 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 841191Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers | $5.1BCalculated indicator | +7.2% | 0% | 20.6% | |
| 36 | MexicoMEX | HS 850760Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square) | $4.8BCalculated indicator | +20.1% | 0% | 54.4% | Growing |
| 37 | ChinaCHN | HS 853224Electrical capacitors: fixed, ceramic dielectric, multilayer | $4.7BCalculated indicator | +21.4% | 0% | 45.9% | Declining |
| 38 | MexicoMEX | HS 852351Semiconductor media: solid-state non-volatile storage devices, whether or not recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37 | $4.6BCalculated indicator | +16.2% | 0% | 59.2% | Growing |
| 39 | SingaporeSGP | HS 880330Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803 | $4.6BCalculated indicator | +7.9% | 0% | 71.9% | |
| 40 | MexicoMEX | HS 851762Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus | $4.5BCalculated indicator | +18.4% | 0% | 36% | Stable |
| 41 | RussiaRUS | HS 841191Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers | $4.5BCalculated indicator | +23.6% | 0% | 96.1% | Declining |
| 42 | RussiaRUS | HS 851712Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks | $4.5BCalculated indicator | +15.5% | 0% | 73% | Declining |
| 43 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 854239Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542 | $4.0BCalculated indicator | -1.6% | 0% | 39.4% | Slowing |
| 44 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 854231Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits | $3.9BCalculated indicator | -0.8% | 0% | 25.3% | |
| 45 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 847170Data processing machines: storage units | $3.7BCalculated indicator | -2% | 0% | 47.3% | Growing |
| 46 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 940490Bedding and similar furnishing articles: n.e.c. in heading no. 9404 (e.g. quilts, eiderdowns, cushions, pouffes and pillows) | $3.6BCalculated indicator | +10% | 0% | 73.7% | |
| 47 | CanadaCAN | HS 880330Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803 | $3.6BCalculated indicator | +6.3% | 0% | 57.7% | Declining |
| 48 | MalaysiaMYS | HS 854290Parts of electronic integrated circuits | $3.6BCalculated indicator | +4.4% | 0% | 43.4% | Declining |
| 49 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | HS 850440Electrical static converters | $3.6BCalculated indicator | +7.5% | 0% | 16.9% | |
| 50 | IndonesiaIDN | HS 851712Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks | $3.5BCalculated indicator | +18.4% | 0% | 59.6% |
Showing the five highest-ranked opportunities on mobile. View the complete opportunity data.
How to use this guide
Read the opportunity ranking beside current trade
A large calculated opportunity is more useful when it is compared with the exporter's current markets, product breadth, and trade-route exposure.
Product breadth
270 active buyer markets
The country profile reports 270 active markets and 0 trade-agreement partners in the latest available year.
Current trade base
$66.7M latest exports
Compare the current export base with the addressable opportunity rather than treating the projection as reported trade.
Market coverage
10 leading buyer markets
Reported trade-route and sector data provide a factual starting point for prioritizing deeper market research.
Export opportunity by sector
Which product sectors have the most room?
HS2 chapters show where screened market and product opportunities are concentrated by product family.
| Sector | Opportunities | Addressable 3-year value | Buyer imports |
|---|---|---|---|
| Electrical machineryHS2 85 | 431 | $564.2B | $950.2B |
| Mineral fuelsHS2 27 | 11 | $186.1B | $466.4B |
| MachineryHS2 84 | 187 | $115.6B | $218.6B |
| Other or unclassified productsOther or unclassified products | 8 | $42.0B | $96.7B |
| Toys and sports equipmentHS2 95 | 21 | $22.0B | $27.1B |
| VehiclesHS2 87 | 99 | $21.2B | $40.8B |
| AircraftHS2 88 | 15 | $17.2B | $28.4B |
| Furniture and lightingHS2 94 | 38 | $16.0B | $24.1B |
| PlasticsHS2 39 | 49 | $15.4B | $31.3B |
| Coffee, tea and spicesHS2 09 | 75 | $14.1B | $31.4B |
Buyer markets by region
Where is opportunity concentrated?
Regions group buyer markets to make the country's export opportunity landscape easier to compare.
East Asia
$426.1B calculated opportunity
100 screened opportunities across 6 buyer markets. Reported buyer imports total $825.9B.
Leading markets: China, Republic of Korea, Japan, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
North America
$314.4B calculated opportunity
292 screened opportunities across 3 buyer markets. Reported buyer imports total $555.7B.
Leading markets: USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands, Mexico, Canada
Southeast Asia
$153.0B calculated opportunity
314 screened opportunities across 8 buyer markets. Reported buyer imports total $313.8B.
Leading markets: Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Viet Nam
Europe
$113.0B calculated opportunity
293 screened opportunities across 22 buyer markets. Reported buyer imports total $228.3B.
Leading markets: Germany, United Kingdom, France, Russia, Poland
Oceania
$59.2B calculated opportunity
282 screened opportunities across 6 buyer markets. Reported buyer imports total $105.0B.
Leading markets: Australia, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea, Vanuatu, Solomon Islands
South Asia
$20.0B calculated opportunity
46 screened opportunities across 5 buyer markets. Reported buyer imports total $22.2B.
Leading markets: India, Pakistan, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh
Africa
$3.7B calculated opportunity
134 screened opportunities across 15 buyer markets. Reported buyer imports total $6.7B.
Leading markets: South Africa, Angola, Senegal, Ghana, Niger
Middle East
$1.1B calculated opportunity
13 screened opportunities across 8 buyer markets. Reported buyer imports total $1.7B.
Leading markets: Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Former Arab Republic of Yemen, Syrian Arab Republic
Market watch
What could change the opportunity?
Current trade-route risk and new-market observations are shown separately from the historical opportunity ranking.
Markets to watchCurrent trade-route context
| Buyer market | Trade | Attention | Main factor |
|---|---|---|---|
| ThailandTHA | $38.7M | Critical attention | Current trade remains materially below historical peaks |
| IndonesiaIDN | $1.6M | High attention | Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure |
| PortugalPRT | $1.3M | Stable | Current trade remains materially below historical peaks |
| SingaporeSGP | $1.3M | Stable | Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure |
| AustraliaAUS | $942.2K | Stable | Current trade remains materially below historical peaks |
| USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsUSA | $879.5K | Stable | Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure |
New market signals
8 current observations
These observations identify recent product-market relationships that may deserve a closer look.
BulgariaHS 842230 · new
100China, Hong Kong Special Administrative RegionHS 030819 · new
100China, Hong Kong Special Administrative RegionHS 854231 · new
100IndiaHS 854370 · new
100USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsHS 732410 · new
100USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsHS 940540 · new
100How to read the numbers
Keep reported values separate from projections
This guide supports market research. It does not replace commercial validation, buyer conversations, or product-level due diligence.
Addressable opportunity
A calculated screening indicator based on buyer demand and exporter position. It is not a reported order value, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry.
Market share and gap
Share describes the exporter's position in the reported buyer market. The gap indicates room relative to the peer benchmark in the available data.
Screening and coverage
Opportunities shown here exceed $50.0K in latest buyer imports and have at least 3 observed trade years.
Frequently asked questions
Using the Timor-Leste export opportunity guide
Definitions and practical guidance for interpreting the market, product, and sector comparisons.
What are the top export opportunities?
The leading opportunities are buyer-market and product combinations with the highest calculated three-year addressable value in the screened results. Review reported buyer imports, Timor-Leste's current share, demand growth, and market conditions before prioritizing one.
What does addressable opportunity mean?
It is a calculated indicator that compares buyer demand context with exporter position and available market signals. It helps prioritize research; it is not a confirmed order, forecast, or promise of sales.
How should exporters use this page?
Begin with a market and product that fits your capability, compare the current trade footprint and market-watch factors, then validate tariffs, buyers, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition at product level.
Data source
OECD trade statistics with CEPII context
OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-30). OECD BIMTS is the primary trade series for this view. Supporting bilateral trade context uses CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601) under Etalab 2.0 Open Licence. Yugalinks presents derived views of reported observations and calculated indicators. Data terms: OECD Terms & Conditions.