Country export capability

Tajikistan
export capability

A reported view of Tajikistan's export scale, destination network, sector breadth, trade history, and market-access context. Use the indicators together; no single measure describes export readiness on its own.

TJK1995-2024 coverage270 active partner marketsMacro trend resilient
Latest exports$1.3B2024 reported value
Latest imports$5.4B2024 reported value
Trade balance-$4.1BExports minus imports
Export growth-23.6%Latest year-on-year change
Active partners270Latest reported markets

Country export profile overview

Tajikistan export data in one research view

This profile brings together export performance, trade balance, destination markets, HS2 sectors, partner breadth, history, and market-access context for country export research.

Export scale and balance

Start with the latest reported trade position

In 2024, Tajikistan recorded $1.3B in exports and $5.4B in imports. The resulting -$4.1B trade balance gives the latest country-level position a clear context.

Exports changed -23.6% year on year and show a calculated -5.3% three-year CAGR. CAGR is an annualized comparison of reported values, not a forecast.

Markets and sectors

See where export value is concentrated

Switzerland, Liechtenstein received $336.5M in reported exports, representing 25.7% of the latest country total. Precious stones and metals was the largest displayed HS2 export sector at $346.2M and 26.5% of exports.

The visible page highlights five leading destinations and five leading HS2 sectors, while the complete structured files retain every row supplied for this sample.

History and coverage

Read today's number against the long series

The country series covers 1995 through 2024, with 30 observed annual rows. That longer view helps separate a single-year movement from the broader export trend.

Partner counts, tariff context, concentration, exposure shares, and momentum are supporting indicators calculated from available trade observations. Missing values remain unavailable rather than estimated.

Economy and structure

The context around Tajikistan's export base

Macroeconomic and structural indicators add context to merchandise trade scale. They describe the country environment; they do not predict company performance or future exports.

GDP$14.2B2024 macro context
GDP per capita$1.3KCurrent-dollar GDP
Population10.6MReported population
Labor forceNot reportedReported labor force
Investment rateNot reportedNational investment rate
Savings rateNot reportedNational savings rate
Trade opennessNot reportedExports + imports / GDP
Exports / GDPNot reportedMerchandise exports / GDP
Secondary educationNot reportedEducation context
Tertiary educationNot reportedEducation context

Market signals

Where to look more closely next

Route-level risk and emerging-corridor signals for further research. These are calculated indicators, not forecasts.

Destination risk contextAll covered routes
Destination risk context for Tajikistan
DestinationAttentionAttention shareBelow peakApplied tariffPrimary reason
KazakhstanKAZCritical attention96.4%65.9%5.3%Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure
UzbekistanUZBHigh attention93.9%35.7%6.1%Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure
ChinaCHNWatch16.9%38%16.8%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
Switzerland, LiechtensteinCHEHigh attention99.7%53.4%3.1%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
FranceFRAHigh attention99%0%2.4%Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure
BelgiumBELHigh attention100%0%2.4%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
TurkeyTURWatch43%44.8%8.5%Current trade remains materially below historical peaks
ItalyITAHigh attention70.3%50.2%2.4%Current trade remains materially below historical peaks
TaiwanTWNHigh attention100%70.7%Not reportedCurrent trade remains materially below historical peaks
BulgariaBGRHigh attention93.6%59.9%12%Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure

Full route coverage is retained. High attention means the route deserves closer product and access review.

Market opportunity signals

Product-market combinations worth investigating

All returned rows use buyer demand, exporter position, and calculated addressable-value fields. They are research signals, not forecasts.

Addressable-value signalsAll returned rows
Market opportunity signals for Tajikistan
RankMarket and productBuyer importsAddressable 3-year valueCurrent shareDemand signal
1ChinaHS6 260111 · Iron ores and concentrates: non-agglomerated$111.0B$119.1B0%Declining -2.6%
2ChinaHS6 854231 · Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits$158.0B$93.1B0%Accelerating +10.5%
3ChinaHS6 854232 · Electronic integrated circuits: memories$80.6B$65.7B0%Growing +20.6%
4ChinaHS6 710812 · Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)$80.8B$64.6B0.2%Accelerating +2.4%
5ChinaHS6 854239 · Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542$81.8B$61.4B0%Growing +4%
6USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsHS6 851712 · Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks$53.9B$53.8B0%Declining -8.8%
7USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin IslandsHS6 847150 · Digital processing units: other than those of subheadings 8471.41 or 8471.49, whether or not containing in the same housing one or two of the following types of unit: storage units, input units or output units$53.9B$45.6B0%Declining +60.2%
8ChinaHS6 260300 · Copper ores and concentrates$62.6B$35.3B0%Declining +11%

Addressable value is a calculated field. Validate product, buyer, tariff, and route conditions before commercial decisions.

Detailed export portfolioHS4 lines beneath the leading sectorsOpen the detailed four-digit export table for Tajikistan.
All HS4 export lines2024 ranking
Top HS4 export lines for Tajikistan
RankHS4Parent HS2 sectorExportsShareActive HS6
17108HS4 detail codePrecious stones and metals (71) ↗$340.0M26%1
28110HS4 detail codeOther base metals (81) ↗$276.9M21.2%2
37601HS4 detail codeAluminium (76) ↗$160.5M12.3%2
42616HS4 detail codeOres, slag and ash (26) ↗$112.4M8.6%2
55201HS4 detail codeCotton (52) ↗$71.7M5.5%1
62607HS4 detail codeOres, slag and ash (26) ↗$48.0M3.7%1
72608HS4 detail codeOres, slag and ash (26) ↗$47.7M3.6%1
87403HS4 detail codeCopper (74) ↗$30.4M2.3%2
93808HS4 detail codeMiscellaneous chemical products (38) ↗$23.3M1.8%9
102701HS4 detail codeMineral fuels (27) ↗$19.6M1.5%2
112617HS4 detail codeOres, slag and ash (26) ↗$15.4M1.2%1
127604HS4 detail codeAluminium (76) ↗$14.0M1.1%3

HS4 values are reported observations. The hierarchy is preserved; no missing descriptions are inferred.

The country export read

Tajikistan combines $1.3B in exports with a broad partner network.

In 2024, Tajikistan recorded $1.3B in reported exports and $5.4B in imports, producing a reported trade deficit of $4.1B. Exports changed -23.6% year on year and -5.3% annualized over three years. Precious stones and metals (HS2 71) was the largest displayed export sector by value.

Destination network

Where Tajikistan exports move

All returned destination lanes ranked by latest reported export value. Share is calculated against the country total. Review sources ↗

Latest reported destination lanesAll returned · 2024
Leading export destinations for Tajikistan
RankDestinationLatest exportsShareYear-on-year3-year CAGR
1Switzerland, LiechtensteinCHE$336.5M25.7%-22.8%+28.3%
2ChinaCHN$191.8M14.7%-12%+9.1%
3TurkeyTUR$178.1M13.6%+35.8%-4.2%
4FranceFRA$109.7M8.4%+82.2%+24.3%
5KazakhstanKAZ$107.4M8.2%-57.9%-32.3%
6BelgiumBEL$107.2M8.2%+223.6%+43%
7UzbekistanUZB$95.9M7.3%-31%-4.6%
8ItalyITA$49.1M3.8%+12.4%+1.5%
9Iran (Islamic Republic of)IRN$41.4M3.2%-56.1%+4.2%
10TaiwanTWN$21.2M1.6%+729.5%+26.6%

Destination values are reported country-to-country observations. Full returned rows remain in the downloads.

Trade history

A long view of export scale

Latest twelve years from the 30-year reported country series. Context, not a forecast.

Reported exports by year

2013
$1.2B
2014
$1.0B
2015
$1.0B
2016
$942.2M
2017
$1.2B
2018
$1.4B
2019
$1.2B
2020
$1.5B
2021
$1.5B
2022
$2.2B
2023
$1.7B
2024
$1.3B

Partner network

Scale is only one part of export capability

Partner breadth, distance, agreements, and tariffs add context to reported exports.

FTA partner markets10Reported count
WTO partner markets169Reported count
EU partner markets28Reported count
Shared-border partners4Country context
Shared-language partners0Country context
Average partner distance7,406 kmCalculated average
Partners with FTA3.7%Calculated share
Applied tariff context0.1%Calculated average
MFN tariff context0.1%Calculated average
Tariff advantage+0.1 ppPreferential vs MFN

Exposure context

Signals to examine alongside export scale

Calculated or classified route and country context. Not predictions or recommendations.

Attention share73%

Covered value under attention

Critical share7.5%

Covered value marked critical

Below historical peak39.8%

Distance below route peaks

FTA-covered exports14.4%

Covered value with FTA context

Weighted tariff context0.1%

Export-weighted tariff

Macro contextMacro trend resilient

Primary attention driver: Market access exposure.

Momentum score-18.1

History-based indicator

Partner concentration1,352.2

Partner HHI

Product concentration1,274.7

Product HHI

Country attention level: Watch. Missing fields remain unavailable.

Complete country valuesOpen the full profile evidenceFull history, sectors, HS4, destinations, risk, opportunities, and source fields.

Profile fields

Year2,024
Country Iso3TJK
Exports Usd$1.3B
Imports Usd$5.4B
Trade Balance Usd-$4.1B
Yoy Exports Growth Pct-23.6%
Yoy Imports Growth Pct-24.7%
Exports Cagr 3y Pct-5.3%
Imports Cagr 3y Pct4.7%
Export Partner Hhi1,352.2
Export Product Hhi1,274.7
Momentum Score-18.1
Risk Score13.1
Gdp Million Usd14,204.58 million USD
Gdp Per Capita Usd$1.3K
Population10,590,927
Labor ForceNot reported
Investment Rate PctNot reported
Savings Rate PctNot reported
Secondary Education PctNot reported
Tertiary Education PctNot reported
Total Factor ProductivityNot reported
Trade Openness PctNot reported
Exports Gdp PctNot reported
Num Active Partners270
Num Fta Partners10
Num Wto Partners169
Num Eu Partners28
Num Shared Border Partners4
Num Shared Language Partners0
Avg Partner Distance Km7,406 km
Avg Partner Gdp Million Usd533,678,518.33 million USD
Avg Partner Gdp Per Capita Usd$15.8
Avg Buyer Biz Entry DaysNot reported
Avg Buyer Biz Entry Cost PctNot reported
Pct Partners With Fta4
Pct Partners Shared Language0
Pct Partners Shared Border1
Avg Applied Tariff Pct0.1%
Avg Mfn Tariff Pct0.1%
Avg Preferential Tariff Pct0%
Tariff Advantage Pp+0.1 pp
Avg Distance All Partners Km7,480
Num Border Partners100
Num Colonial Partners25
Avg Substitution Elasticity-8.2
Pct Products High Elasticity63
Pct Products Low Elasticity6
Real Market Potential14,877,225.4
Foreign Market Potential230,218.4

Exposure fields

Country Iso3TJK
All History Lane Count1,314
Current Lane Count147
Critical Lane Count4
High Attention Lane Count42
High Volatility Lane Count63
Unrecovered Drawdown Lane Count56
Declining Demand Lane Count2
Concentrated Market Lane Count93
Access Friction Lane Count4
Buyer Macro Weakness Lane Count2
Monitored Exports Current Usd$1.2B
Attention Exports Usd$904.6M
Critical Exports Usd$92.8M
High Volatility Exports Usd$743.8M
Unrecovered Drawdown Exports Usd$706.8M
Non Fta Exports Usd$1.1B
Monitored Attention Share Pct73%
Monitored Critical Share Pct7.5%
Fta Covered Exports Share Pct14.4%
Export Weighted Volatility Cv1.1
Export Weighted Below Peak Pct39.8%
Export Weighted Distance Km3,899 km
Export Weighted Tariff Pct0.1%
Latest Data Year2,024
First Data Year1,995
Country Years Count30
Total Exports Latest Usd$1.3B
Total Imports Latest Usd$5.4B
Trade Balance Latest Usd-$4.1B
Exports Yoy Latest Pct-23.6%
Exports Cagr 3y Latest Pct-5.3%
Gdp Latest Million Usd14,204.58 million USD
Gdp Per Capita Latest Usd$1.3K
Population Latest10,590,927
Investment Rate Latest PctNot reported
Savings Rate Latest PctNot reported
Trade Openness Latest PctNot reported
Exports Gdp Latest PctNot reported
Active Partners Latest270
Fta Partners Latest10
Foreign Market Potential Latest230,218.4
Gdp 5y Cagr Pct11.3%
Gdp Per Capita 5y Cagr Pct9%
Population 5y Cagr Pct2.1%
Partner Hhi Latest1,352.2
Partner Top1 Share Latest Pct25.7%
Partner Top3 Share Latest Pct54.1%
Partner Hhi All Avg1,202.6
Partner Hhi All Max2,691.4
Product Hhi Latest1,274.7
Product Top1 Share Latest Pct26%
Product Top3 Share Latest Pct55%
Product Hhi All Avg1,928.9
Product Hhi All Max3,940.2
Total Exports Attention Share Pct69.2%
Total Exports Critical Share Pct7.1%
Attention LevelWatch
Primary Risk DriverMarket access exposure
Macro Resilience LabelMacro trend resilient

Annual country history

YearExportsImportsTrade balanceExports YoYExports CAGR 3Y
1995$267.9M$762.6M-$494.8MNot reportedNot reported
1996$328.4M$641.8M-$313.4M+22.6%Not reported
1997$270.4M$711.2M-$440.8M-17.6%Not reported
1998$258.0M$643.4M-$385.4M-4.6%-1.2%
1999$202.9M$568.5M-$365.6M-21.4%-14.8%
2000$595.2M$594.0M$1.2M+193.4%+30.1%
2001$261.3M$587.3M-$326.0M-56.1%+0.4%
2002$435.5M$656.7M-$221.2M+66.7%+29%
2003$575.6M$905.3M-$329.7M+32.1%-1.1%
2004$656.7M$1.2B-$566.0M+14.1%+36%
2005$808.2M$1.4B-$633.7M+23.1%+22.9%
2006$917.7M$1.3B-$340.6M+13.5%+16.8%
2007$1.1B$2.1B-$945.6M+20.4%+18.9%
2008$1.0B$3.4B-$2.4B-6.4%+8.5%
2009$890.5M$2.6B-$1.7B-13.8%-1%
2010$930.5M$2.6B-$1.7B+4.5%-5.6%
2011$1.2B$4.1B-$2.9B+28.1%+4.9%
2012$1.2B$4.2B-$3.0B+2.9%+11.3%
2013$1.2B$4.5B-$3.3B-4.8%+7.9%
2014$1.0B$5.3B-$4.3B-10.6%-4.3%
2015$1.0B$3.9B-$2.9B-3.3%-6.3%
2016$942.2M$3.6B-$2.7B-6.7%-6.9%
2017$1.2B$3.3B-$2.1B+29.6%+5.4%
2018$1.4B$3.7B-$2.2B+17.3%+12.4%
2019$1.2B$3.9B-$2.8B-18.6%+7.4%
2020$1.5B$3.6B-$2.2B+25.6%+6.3%
2021$1.5B$4.7B-$3.2B+4.8%+2.4%
2022$2.2B$6.2B-$4.1B+40.2%+22.7%
2023$1.7B$7.2B-$5.5B-20.6%+5.3%
2024$1.3B$5.4B-$4.1B-23.6%-5.3%

Top export sectors

RankHS2SectorExportsShareExport partnersActive HS6
171Precious stones and metals$346.2M26.5%1619
281Other base metals$276.9M21.2%2123
326Ores, slag and ash$231.4M17.7%59
476Aluminium$175.9M13.5%1634
552Cotton$81.2M6.2%1451
674Copper$38.8M3%825
727Mineral fuels$26.9M2.1%622
838Miscellaneous chemical products$23.5M1.8%1047
908Edible fruit and nuts$20.6M1.6%3054
1062Non-knitted clothing$17.0M1.3%45102

Detailed HS4 export lines

RankHS4Parent HS2ExportsShareActive HS6
17108Precious stones and metals (71)$340.0M26%1
28110Other base metals (81)$276.9M21.2%2
37601Aluminium (76)$160.5M12.3%2
42616Ores, slag and ash (26)$112.4M8.6%2
55201Cotton (52)$71.7M5.5%1
62607Ores, slag and ash (26)$48.0M3.7%1
72608Ores, slag and ash (26)$47.7M3.6%1
87403Copper (74)$30.4M2.3%2
93808Miscellaneous chemical products (38)$23.3M1.8%9
102701Mineral fuels (27)$19.6M1.5%2
112617Ores, slag and ash (26)$15.4M1.2%1
127604Aluminium (76)$14.0M1.1%3

Top export destinations

RankDestinationISO3ExportsShareYoYCAGR 3Y
1Switzerland, LiechtensteinCHE$336.5M25.7%-22.8%+28.3%
2ChinaCHN$191.8M14.7%-12%+9.1%
3TurkeyTUR$178.1M13.6%+35.8%-4.2%
4FranceFRA$109.7M8.4%+82.2%+24.3%
5KazakhstanKAZ$107.4M8.2%-57.9%-32.3%
6BelgiumBEL$107.2M8.2%+223.6%+43%
7UzbekistanUZB$95.9M7.3%-31%-4.6%
8ItalyITA$49.1M3.8%+12.4%+1.5%
9Iran (Islamic Republic of)IRN$41.4M3.2%-56.1%+4.2%
10TaiwanTWN$21.2M1.6%+729.5%+26.6%

Destination risk context

RankDestinationAttentionAttention shareBelow peakApplied tariffPrimary reason
1Kazakhstan (KAZ)Critical attention96.4%65.9%5.3%Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure
2Uzbekistan (UZB)High attention93.9%35.7%6.1%Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure
3China (CHN)Watch16.9%38%16.8%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
4Switzerland, Liechtenstein (CHE)High attention99.7%53.4%3.1%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
5France (FRA)High attention99%0%2.4%Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure
6Belgium (BEL)High attention100%0%2.4%Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure
7Turkey (TUR)Watch43%44.8%8.5%Current trade remains materially below historical peaks
8Italy (ITA)High attention70.3%50.2%2.4%Current trade remains materially below historical peaks
9Taiwan (TWN)High attention100%70.7%Not reportedCurrent trade remains materially below historical peaks
10Bulgaria (BGR)High attention93.6%59.9%12%Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure

Emerging corridor signals

RankDestinationHS6SignalMarket importsCurrent shareStrength
1Uzbekistan (UZB)380892new$9.3M4.7%100
2Italy (ITA)600622new$90.8M0.2%100
3France (FRA)190219new$470.7M0.2%100
4France (FRA)081310new$40.9M0.7%100
5Uzbekistan (UZB)481890new$924.5K11.7%100
6Uzbekistan (UZB)380891new$38.3M39.5%100
7Japan (JPN)293890new$47.3M0.9%100
8Kazakhstan (KAZ)281700new$3.0M49.2%100
9Japan (JPN)210690new$854.1M0%100
10Switzerland, Liechtenstein (CHE)901580new$42.0M0.8%100

Market opportunity signals

RankMarketHS6Buyer importsAddressable 3-year valueCurrent shareSignal
1China (CHN)260111$111.0B$119.1B0%Declining (-2.6%)
2China (CHN)854231$158.0B$93.1B0%Accelerating (+10.5%)
3China (CHN)854232$80.6B$65.7B0%Growing (+20.6%)
4China (CHN)710812$80.8B$64.6B0.2%Accelerating (+2.4%)
5China (CHN)854239$81.8B$61.4B0%Growing (+4%)
6USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA)851712$53.9B$53.8B0%Declining (-8.8%)
7USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA)847150$53.9B$45.6B0%Declining (+60.2%)
8China (CHN)260300$62.6B$35.3B0%Declining (+11%)

How to read this page

Separate reported scale from calculated context.

Reported exports, imports, trade balance, sector rows, destination rows, and annual history describe merchandise trade observations for the stated country and year.

CAGR, shares, concentration measures, tariff context, exposure shares, and momentum are calculated indicators built from the available observations. They help organize research but are not additional reported trade or forecasts.

Coverage runs from 1995 through 2024 for this profile. Missing values are shown as Not reported. Read the full methodology ↗

Reported observations

OECD BIMTS merchandise trade values are the primary series for this view.

Calculated indicators

Growth, share, HHI, tariff, and exposure fields are derived from available reported values.

Coverage limits

Unavailable values remain unavailable. No company sales, shipment records, or forecasts are implied.

Questions about this profile

Tajikistan export capability, in context

Short answers for readers comparing country export scale, partner breadth, and calculated trade indicators.

What does the Tajikistan export profile measure?

It combines reported exports, imports, history, destinations, HS2 sectors, partner context, and calculated indicators for Tajikistan.

What is the latest reported export value for Tajikistan?

Tajikistan recorded $1.3B in reported exports in 2024.

Which markets receive the most exports from Tajikistan?

Switzerland, Liechtenstein leads by reported export value at $336.5M in 2024. Five destination lanes are highlighted.

Which sectors lead Tajikistan's exports?

Precious stones and metals leads by reported value at $346.2M. Five HS2 chapters are highlighted.

How many years of Tajikistan trade history are available?

This sample contains 30 observed annual rows covering 1995 through 2024. Missing observations are not estimated.

Are the growth and exposure values forecasts?

No. They are calculated or classified from reported observations, not forecasts or market-access guarantees.

Continue your research

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Compare countries, products, sectors, and routes using the available trade evidence and definitions.

Data source

OECD trade statistics with CEPII context

OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-28). OECD BIMTS is the primary trade series for this view. Supporting bilateral trade context uses CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601) under Etalab 2.0 Open Licence. Yugalinks presents derived views of reported observations and calculated indicators. Data terms: OECD Terms & Conditions.