Trade route overview

New Zealand exports to China
route risk review

See the latest reported exports, the products that need a closer look, and the conditions that may make this route harder to plan.

NZL-CHN2024 reported exports282 product typesCritical attention review level
Latest reported exports$11.0B2024 route total
Highest-priority products11Need the closest review
Products needing review73High-attention product types
Exports needing review86.1%Share of route exports
Overall review levelCritical attentionBased on available indicators

What this page shows

What should a business review on this route?

In 2024, New Zealand reported $11.0B in goods exports to China. 73 product types are marked for closer review, covering 86.1% of reported exports. This is not a forecast and does not mean trade will stop. It shows where to look more closely at demand, annual changes, product mix, tariffs, and buyer-market conditions.

How to read this page

Three simple ideas explain the route

This page separates the size of the trade from the conditions worth checking and the product types that make up the route.

01 - Trade value

How much is traded?

This is the reported value of goods exported from New Zealand to China in the latest available year.

$11.0B in 2024
02 - Review level

What does "high attention" mean?

It marks product types where one or more conditions deserve a closer look. It is not a prediction, a guaranteed loss, or a warning that trade will stop.

86.1% needs review
03 - Product code

What is a product type?

Each row is one HS6 product code. HS6 is the international six-digit code used to describe and compare traded goods.

282 product types

Start with the products

See the product rows behind the review level.

Compare the products, their buyer-market size, and the conditions that deserve a closer look.

Export history

How much was exported each year?

The latest twelve years of reported exports from New Zealand to China. Bar lengths are relative to the highest year shown.

Latest annual total$11.2B2024 annual history
Highest year$14.5B2021 annual history
Latest below highest22.8%Difference from the highest year

Why this route needs review

What is behind the review signal?

A dollar amount can appear in more than one row. These rows show the conditions linked to the route; they are not separate losses.

What to reviewBar shows relative sizeExport value linked to it
Large year-to-year swings
$9.4B
Still below the previous high
$2.9B
Buyer demand is falling
$145.5K
Product mix is concentrated
$9.4B
Tariffs and access rules
$0.0
Buyer economy is under pressure
$0.0

How to read the numbers

What do these measures tell us?

These measures describe yearly swings, the gap from the route's highest year, and how concentrated the product mix is.

Export volatility1.2Higher means bigger yearly swings
Below highest year24.8%Compared with the route's best year
Product concentration (HHI)606.90-10,000 scale; higher means fewer products dominate
Largest product share14.8%Share from the biggest product

Largest product

Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated, of which the smallest cross-sectional dimension is 15 cm or more

Product code HS6 440321 makes up 14.8% of exports from New Zealand to China. The main reason to review it is: Trade has varied substantially across reported years

See product rows
Exports of this product$1.6B2024 reported value

Products to review

Which product types need a closer look?

Each row is one six-digit HS6 product code. Compare the buyer market's imports, the product's fall from its highest year, annual variation, and review level.

Top product types10 shown - 2024 values
Top product types for New Zealand exports to China
RankProduct and codeBuyer-market importsBelow product highYearly variationReview level
1Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated, of which the smallest cross-sectional dimension is 15 cm or moreHS6 440321 - six-digit product code$1.8B29.2%1High attention
2Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content exceeding 1.5% (by weight)HS6 040221 - six-digit product code$1.6B53.1%1Critical attention
3Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for infant use, put up for retail saleHS6 190110 - six-digit product code$3.6B0%1.3High attention
4Dairy produce: milk and cream, not concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, of a fat content, by weight, exceeding 10%HS6 040150 - six-digit product code$990.2M0%1.6High attention
5Dairy produce: derived from milk, butterHS6 040510 - six-digit product code$710.7M0%1.3High attention
6Fruit, edible: kiwifruit, freshHS6 081050 - six-digit product code$542.3M0%1.2High attention
7Meat: of sheep (including lamb), cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses), frozenHS6 020442 - six-digit product code$906.5M58.3%1.2Critical attention
8Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated or containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content not exceeding 1.5% (by weight)HS6 040210 - six-digit product code$703.3M17.8%0.9High attention
9Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozenHS6 020230 - six-digit product code$10.7B58.8%1.5Critical attention
10Crustaceans: live, fresh or chilled, rock lobsters and other sea crawfish (Palinurus spp., Panulirus spp., Jasus spp.), in shell or notHS6 030631 - six-digit product code$717.4M12.1%1Stable

Buyer-market imports are total imports of that product into the buyer market, not only exports from New Zealand. "Below product high" compares current exports with that product's highest reported year. Yearly variation is a calculated measure. Swipe sideways on a small screen to see every column.

Trade route conditions

What else can affect this route?

Distance, tariffs, trade agreements, the buyer economy, and business rules add context to the export total.

Distance between markets11,041 kmApproximate route distance
Trade agreement (FTA)YesReported agreement coverage
Average import tariff28.6%Average tax applied to imports
Buyer economy size$17.7T2024 gross domestic product
Buyer GDP per person$12.6KCurrent-dollar measure
Buyer economy outlookResilientAvailable buyer-economy context
Shared land borderNoDo the markets share a border?
Shared official languageNoReported common official language
Similar legal systemNoReported legal similarity
Shared religionNoReported cultural similarity
Language similarityNot reportedCommon spoken-language score
Business setup time9 daysDays to register a business

Questions about this page

Simple answers about this route

Definitions and limits for the figures above.

What does "high attention" mean?

High attention means one or more conditions on these product types deserve a closer look. It is not a prediction that trade will stop or that a loss is certain.

How much did New Zealand export to China?

New Zealand reported $11.0B in goods exports to China in 2024.

What does "exports needing review" mean?

86.1% of reported route exports are linked to product types marked for closer review. This points to where to investigate further.

What is an HS6 code?

An HS6 code is the international six-digit code used to describe and compare traded goods.

What conditions are shown?

The page shows yearly export changes, product concentration, tariffs, distance, trade-agreement coverage, buyer-economy context, and business setup time where reported.

Is this a forecast?

No. These are reported or calculated observations, not forecasts or guarantees.

Continue your research

Compare this route with products and markets.

Use the workspace to investigate which products, buyer conditions, and routes deserve attention.

Data source

OECD trade statistics with CEPII context

OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29). OECD BIMTS is the primary trade series for this view. Supporting bilateral trade context uses CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601) under Etalab 2.0 Open Licence. Yugalinks presents derived views of reported observations and calculated indicators. Data terms: OECD Terms & Conditions.