# ZMB to Italy HS 870421 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 53/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $2.6B
- Buyer market growth: -0.1%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 26.2%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $2.6B
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $3.1B
- Supplier countries observed: 47
- Average buyer imports: $1.6B
- Historical buyer-import peak: $2.6B
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +5.5%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: -0.1%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: TUR
- Top supplier share: 26.2%
- Market concentration: 1,460
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 26.2%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 6,585 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 11 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $35.6K
- GDP per-person growth: -5.4%
- Population: 59,066k
- GDP: $2.1T
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 21.3%
- Savings rate: 22.5%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $435.8 | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader ZMB to Italy route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 870421 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $4.5M | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $8.5M | +89.0% |
| 1997 | $5.0M | -40.5% |
| 1998 | $8.5M | +67.8% |
| 1999 | $11.5M | +35.7% |
| 2000 | $8.1M | -29.8% |
| 2001 | $27.4M | +240.0% |
| 2002 | $6.8M | -75.3% |
| 2003 | $3.8M | -44.4% |
| 2004 | $10.6M | +181.3% |
| 2005 | $32.8M | +210.0% |
| 2006 | $168.8M | +414.7% |
| 2007 | $212.4M | +25.8% |
| 2008 | $182.3M | -14.2% |
| 2009 | $47.4M | -74.0% |
| 2010 | $20.8M | -56.0% |
| 2011 | $222.9M | +969.4% |
| 2012 | $172.7M | -22.5% |
| 2013 | $198.6M | +15.0% |
| 2014 | $171.1M | -13.8% |
| 2015 | $163.8M | -4.3% |
| 2016 | $34.0M | -79.2% |
| 2017 | $53.5M | +57.2% |
| 2018 | $42.2M | -21.2% |
| 2019 | $37.5M | -11.0% |
| 2020 | $26.1M | -30.4% |
| 2021 | $62.4M | +138.8% |
| 2022 | $136.9M | +119.4% |
| 2023 | $43.6M | -68.1% |
| 2024 | $49.1M | +12.6% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| ZMB to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 870829 | New corridor | $20.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-usa-870829) |
| ZMB to Germany | HS 271019 | New corridor | $19.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-deu-271019) |
| ZMB to Canada | HS 870324 | New corridor | $6.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-can-870324) |
| ZMB to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 851830 | New corridor | $5.1B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-usa-851830) |
| ZMB to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 220421 | New corridor | $4.8B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-usa-220421) |
| ZMB to Indonesia + Timor-Leste | HS 851712 | New corridor | $3.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-idn-851712) |
| ZMB to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 902110 | New corridor | $2.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-usa-902110) |
| ZMB to Germany | HS 190590 | New corridor | $2.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-deu-190590) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.