{
  "template": "new-corridor-signal",
  "templateName": "New Corridor Signal",
  "source": "api",
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-ita-870421",
  "seo": {
    "title": "ZMB to Italy new corridor | HS 870421 | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Reported new-corridor signal for ZMB to Italy in vehicles (HS 870421), with market demand, growth, share, competition, access, and evidence.",
    "robots": "index, follow"
  },
  "breadcrumbs": [
    {
      "name": "Home",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/"
    },
    {
      "name": "Trade data",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/"
    },
    {
      "name": "New corridor signals",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/"
    },
    {
      "name": "ZMB-ITA-HS 870421",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-ita-870421"
    }
  ],
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZMB",
    "country_name": "ZMB"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ITA",
    "country_name": "Italy"
  },
  "hsCode": "870421",
  "product": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "signal": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
    "importer_iso3": "ITA",
    "hs_code": "870421",
    "your_market_share_pct": 0.00001675857071342095,
    "your_share_change_pp": 0.00001675857071342095,
    "market_imports_usd": 2600179011.6816087,
    "market_yoy_growth_pct": -0.12244822657629939,
    "market_cagr_3y_pct": 14.482976,
    "top_supplier_iso3": "TUR",
    "top_supplier_share_pct": 26.219082726749754,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 26.21906596817904,
    "num_suppliers": 47,
    "market_hhi": 1459.9476601733231,
    "volatility_mean_usd": 435.7528383481924,
    "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
    "volatility_cv": 0,
    "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
    "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
    "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
    "anomaly_type": "",
    "anomaly_severity": "0",
    "anomaly_z_score": 0,
    "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
    "new_corridor_signal_strength": 52.804714720721684
  },
  "market": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
    "importer_iso3": "ITA",
    "hs_code": "870421",
    "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
    "hs_chapter": "87",
    "hs_heading": "8704",
    "price_range_label": "Medium price range",
    "trade_type_label": "One-way trade",
    "substitution_elasticity": -15.250372,
    "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2600179011.6816077,
    "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 1557169719.5904164,
    "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 2603366788.144967,
    "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 5.507,
    "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 7.7247,
    "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -0.1224,
    "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138,
    "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 3053847170.55,
    "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 3399460501.69,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2099880.198259,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 35551,
    "buyer_population_latest": 59066.223,
    "buyer_investment_rate": 21.25,
    "buyer_savings_rate": 22.49,
    "buyer_edu_secondary": 95.34,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 1953678.32,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 33629.24,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": -5.41,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": -6.96,
    "buyer_pop_growth_pct": -1.65,
    "exports_latest_usd": 435.7528383481924,
    "exports_avg_usd": 435.7528383481924,
    "exports_peak_usd": 435.7528383481924,
    "share_latest_pct": 0.000016758570713420957,
    "share_avg_pct": 0.000016758570713420957,
    "share_peak_pct": 0.000016758570713420957,
    "share_change_1y_pp": 0.000016758570713420957,
    "share_trend_pp_per_yr": null,
    "cagr_full_pct": null,
    "yoy_avg_pct": null,
    "yoy_latest_pct": null,
    "trend_consistency_pct": null,
    "exports_proj_3y_usd": null,
    "exports_proj_5y_usd": null,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 26.2191,
    "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 800690204.21,
    "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 891306791.5,
    "peer_best_share_pct": 26.219082726749765,
    "peer_top_exporter": "TUR",
    "num_suppliers_latest": 47,
    "buyer_herfindahl_index": 1459.95,
    "distance_km": 6585.45068359375,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.04639999940991402,
    "has_wto_reported_fta": 0,
    "buyer_is_eu_member": 1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
    "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
    "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 0,
    "signal_flag": "Declining",
    "lane_data_years": 1,
    "lane_last_year": 2024
  },
  "access": {
    "lane_access_data_available": false,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
    "importer_iso3": "ITA",
    "hs_code": "870421"
  },
  "productHistory": [
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "export_value_usd": 435.7528383481924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    }
  ],
  "routeHistory": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "export_value_usd": 4482837.774976574,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "export_value_usd": 8474328.20853235,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.03936822868044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "export_value_usd": 5042736.232319084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.493970634252506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "export_value_usd": 8461784.719736798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.80145401032291,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.586106337802093
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "export_value_usd": 11480559.799983043,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.675394496920546,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.650299808258978
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "export_value_usd": 8054302.556037167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.84399109136592,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.89265665783246
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "export_value_usd": 27386168.944866456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 240.0191233732452,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.91870760359582
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "export_value_usd": 6770052.16138519,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.27930184388116,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.14229293453826
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "export_value_usd": 3761071.9911892703,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.44545032250188,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.417952764081473
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "export_value_usd": 10579942.0083795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 181.30123627423757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.16882195244683
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "export_value_usd": 32799969.478367954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 210.02031440616403,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 69.21043486442878
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "export_value_usd": 168817788.8019815,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 414.6888594311627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 255.38753166162715
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "export_value_usd": 212408117.5430627,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.820933356858156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 171.7873719645945
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "export_value_usd": 182337895.84934282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.156813798617451,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 77.1472846395257
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "export_value_usd": 47420132.41875097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.99326552614605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.50901561532251
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "export_value_usd": 20842550.722113773,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.04704234467265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -53.8760401232063
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "export_value_usd": 222883612.0774181,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 969.3682124085726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.921998141386609
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "export_value_usd": 172748472.41588855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.493865383030144,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.868770815489775
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "export_value_usd": 198607907.46637276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.96941459964296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 112.00619726896024
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "export_value_usd": 171134551.61964342,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.832961737125693,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.430005524668605
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "export_value_usd": 163810339.63831928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.279797336076607,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7553224240240195
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "export_value_usd": 34032033.71843039,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.22473404696521,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.45685644499259
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "export_value_usd": 53509655.741893835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.23320029773931,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.12682709570151
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "export_value_usd": 42179425.14936902,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.174179567098474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.381057091269476
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "export_value_usd": 37528610.163463615,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.026264510328387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3137659907574557
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "export_value_usd": 26126606.54489195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.38216328531188,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.25609477766408
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "export_value_usd": 62391265.706945546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 138.8035568252692,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.939518501775282
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "export_value_usd": 136871854.05465505,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 119.37662668609418,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.927856978350896
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "export_value_usd": 43617627.94582296,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.13250741207482,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.62958548129161
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "export_value_usd": 49114724.71482072,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.602924615308408,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.665789659756895
    }
  ],
  "relatedSignals": [
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "870829",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.00000605486707853275,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.00000605486707853275,
      "market_imports_usd": 20563001425.949093,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 3.219253164214053,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 9.012307,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "MEX",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 41.415031365103225,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 41.415025310236146,
      "num_suppliers": 102,
      "market_hhi": 2471.6035009802886,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 1245.0624036980116,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 61.91079585293255,
      "exporter_name": "ZMB",
      "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "your_market_share_pct": 1.0193790444636449e-7,
      "your_share_change_pp": 1.0193790444636449e-7,
      "market_imports_usd": 19171045683.569927,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": -19.03775715442515,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 6.61705,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "NLD",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 54.272680969795594,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 54.27268086785769,
      "num_suppliers": 116,
      "market_hhi": 3246.4015753268573,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 19.542562230286396,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 26.253092225415653,
      "exporter_name": "ZMB",
      "importer_name": "Germany",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "870324",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.000060842406325528,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.000060842406325528,
      "market_imports_usd": 6612447513.94623,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": -20.38696426013964,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": -5.128318,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "USA",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 73.23075644161634,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 73.23069559921001,
      "num_suppliers": 56,
      "market_hhi": 5506.09958100387,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 4023.17218449744,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 72.09353109690814,
      "exporter_name": "ZMB",
      "importer_name": "Canada",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "851830",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.00004498294216134242,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.00004498294216134242,
      "market_imports_usd": 5136408373.394465,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 22.188369169104515,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 7.145484,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 46.41090827990065,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 46.41086329695849,
      "num_suppliers": 105,
      "market_hhi": 3634.7080612046257,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 2310.5076077743815,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 67.27790654305714,
      "exporter_name": "ZMB",
      "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.000042852801831112265,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.000042852801831112265,
      "market_imports_usd": 4808938878.698117,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 4.764434317584643,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 0.379576,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "FRA",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 33.60223853732346,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 33.602195684521625,
      "num_suppliers": 91,
      "market_hhi": 2287.550525604058,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 2060.7650478678165,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 66.28478345921879,
      "exporter_name": "ZMB",
      "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.00000603891477251961,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.00000603891477251961,
      "market_imports_usd": 3561108167.8968635,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 9.952096845657255,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 17.597389,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 59.63319753433974,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 59.633191495424974,
      "num_suppliers": 63,
      "market_hhi": 4823.335751204433,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 215.05228721652614,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 46.691177365757596,
      "exporter_name": "ZMB",
      "importer_name": "Indonesia + Timor-Leste",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "902110",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.00002156065099223835,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.00002156065099223835,
      "market_imports_usd": 2884016044.5666738,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 8.707677074055798,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 2.708227,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "CHE",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 27.165093709290794,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 27.1650721486398,
      "num_suppliers": 80,
      "market_hhi": 1640.0031117776123,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 621.8126339291778,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 55.88714827541925,
      "exporter_name": "ZMB",
      "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "190590",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.000001224222066739774,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.000001224222066739774,
      "market_imports_usd": 2691150638.914656,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 0.3424338265979321,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 9.383431,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "FRA",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 17.084435169347444,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 17.084433945125376,
      "num_suppliers": 117,
      "market_hhi": 1146.0908157133288,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 32.945659970801636,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 30.615685132732047,
      "exporter_name": "ZMB",
      "importer_name": "Germany",
      "published": true
    }
  ],
  "sections": {
    "overview": {
      "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?",
      "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.",
      "reportedMarket": {
        "buyerMarket": "Italy",
        "imports": "$2.6B",
        "year": 2024,
        "annualChange": "-0.1%"
      },
      "exporterPosition": {
        "exporter": "ZMB",
        "routeExports": "$435.8",
        "currentShare": "0.0%"
      }
    },
    "signal": {
      "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view",
      "type": "New corridor",
      "strength": "53/100",
      "reportedPeriod": 2024,
      "marketMomentum": "+0.0%",
      "availableProductHistoryYears": "1"
    },
    "market": {
      "latestImports": "$2.6B",
      "projectionThreeYears": "$3.1B",
      "supplierCount": "47",
      "averageImports": "$1.6B",
      "historicalPeak": "$2.6B",
      "fullHistoryGrowth": "+5.5%",
      "latestAnnualChange": "-0.1%"
    },
    "competition": {
      "topSupplier": {
        "country": "TUR",
        "iso3": "TUR",
        "share": "26.2%"
      },
      "marketConcentrationHhi": "1,460",
      "exporterShare": "0.0%",
      "shareGap": "26.2%"
    },
    "access": {
      "appliedTariff": "Not reported",
      "mfnTariff": "Not reported",
      "preferentialTariff": "Not reported",
      "distance": "6,585 km",
      "tradeAgreement": "Not reported",
      "businessEntryTime": "11 days",
      "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0"
    },
    "economy": {
      "gdpPerPerson": "$35.6K",
      "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "-5.4%",
      "populationThousands": "59,066",
      "gdp": "$2.1T",
      "gdpFiveYearCagr": "Not reported",
      "investmentRate": "21.3%",
      "savingsRate": "22.5%"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "productHistory": [
        {
          "year": 2024,
          "export_value_usd": 435.7528383481924,
          "yoy_growth_pct": null,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        }
      ],
      "routeHistory": [
        {
          "year": 1995,
          "export_value_usd": 4482837.774976574,
          "yoy_growth_pct": null,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 1996,
          "export_value_usd": 8474328.20853235,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 89.03936822868044,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 1997,
          "export_value_usd": 5042736.232319084,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -40.493970634252506,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 1998,
          "export_value_usd": 8461784.719736798,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 67.80145401032291,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 23.586106337802093
        },
        {
          "year": 1999,
          "export_value_usd": 11480559.799983043,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 35.675394496920546,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 10.650299808258978
        },
        {
          "year": 2000,
          "export_value_usd": 8054302.556037167,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -29.84399109136592,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 16.89265665783246
        },
        {
          "year": 2001,
          "export_value_usd": 27386168.944866456,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 240.0191233732452,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 47.91870760359582
        },
        {
          "year": 2002,
          "export_value_usd": 6770052.16138519,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -75.27930184388116,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -16.14229293453826
        },
        {
          "year": 2003,
          "export_value_usd": 3761071.9911892703,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -44.44545032250188,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -22.417952764081473
        },
        {
          "year": 2004,
          "export_value_usd": 10579942.0083795,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 181.30123627423757,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -27.16882195244683
        },
        {
          "year": 2005,
          "export_value_usd": 32799969.478367954,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 210.02031440616403,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 69.21043486442878
        },
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "export_value_usd": 168817788.8019815,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 414.6888594311627,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 255.38753166162715
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "export_value_usd": 212408117.5430627,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 25.820933356858156,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 171.7873719645945
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "export_value_usd": 182337895.84934282,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -14.156813798617451,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 77.1472846395257
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "export_value_usd": 47420132.41875097,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -73.99326552614605,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -34.50901561532251
        },
        {
          "year": 2010,
          "export_value_usd": 20842550.722113773,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -56.04704234467265,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -53.8760401232063
        },
        {
          "year": 2011,
          "export_value_usd": 222883612.0774181,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 969.3682124085726,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 6.921998141386609
        },
        {
          "year": 2012,
          "export_value_usd": 172748472.41588855,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -22.493865383030144,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 53.868770815489775
        },
        {
          "year": 2013,
          "export_value_usd": 198607907.46637276,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 14.96941459964296,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 112.00619726896024
        },
        {
          "year": 2014,
          "export_value_usd": 171134551.61964342,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -13.832961737125693,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -8.430005524668605
        },
        {
          "year": 2015,
          "export_value_usd": 163810339.63831928,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -4.279797336076607,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7553224240240195
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "export_value_usd": 34032033.71843039,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -79.22473404696521,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -44.45685644499259
        },
        {
          "year": 2017,
          "export_value_usd": 53509655.741893835,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 57.23320029773931,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -32.12682709570151
        },
        {
          "year": 2018,
          "export_value_usd": 42179425.14936902,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -21.174179567098474,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -36.381057091269476
        },
        {
          "year": 2019,
          "export_value_usd": 37528610.163463615,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -11.026264510328387,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3137659907574557
        },
        {
          "year": 2020,
          "export_value_usd": 26126606.54489195,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -30.38216328531188,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -21.25609477766408
        },
        {
          "year": 2021,
          "export_value_usd": 62391265.706945546,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 138.8035568252692,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 13.939518501775282
        },
        {
          "year": 2022,
          "export_value_usd": 136871854.05465505,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 119.37662668609418,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 53.927856978350896
        },
        {
          "year": 2023,
          "export_value_usd": 43617627.94582296,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -68.13250741207482,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 18.62958548129161
        },
        {
          "year": 2024,
          "export_value_usd": 49114724.71482072,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 12.602924615308408,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -7.665789659756895
        }
      ],
      "routeHistoryScope": "Broader ZMB to Italy route exports, not only HS 870421."
    },
    "relatedSignals": [
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
        "importer_iso3": "USA",
        "hs_code": "870829",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.00000605486707853275,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.00000605486707853275,
        "market_imports_usd": 20563001425.949093,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 3.219253164214053,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 9.012307,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "MEX",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 41.415031365103225,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 41.415025310236146,
        "num_suppliers": 102,
        "market_hhi": 2471.6035009802886,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 1245.0624036980116,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 61.91079585293255,
        "exporter_name": "ZMB",
        "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-usa-870829"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
        "importer_iso3": "DEU",
        "hs_code": "271019",
        "your_market_share_pct": 1.0193790444636449e-7,
        "your_share_change_pp": 1.0193790444636449e-7,
        "market_imports_usd": 19171045683.569927,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": -19.03775715442515,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 6.61705,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "NLD",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 54.272680969795594,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 54.27268086785769,
        "num_suppliers": 116,
        "market_hhi": 3246.4015753268573,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 19.542562230286396,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 26.253092225415653,
        "exporter_name": "ZMB",
        "importer_name": "Germany",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-deu-271019"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
        "importer_iso3": "CAN",
        "hs_code": "870324",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.000060842406325528,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.000060842406325528,
        "market_imports_usd": 6612447513.94623,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": -20.38696426013964,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": -5.128318,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "USA",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 73.23075644161634,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 73.23069559921001,
        "num_suppliers": 56,
        "market_hhi": 5506.09958100387,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 4023.17218449744,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 72.09353109690814,
        "exporter_name": "ZMB",
        "importer_name": "Canada",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-can-870324"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
        "importer_iso3": "USA",
        "hs_code": "851830",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.00004498294216134242,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.00004498294216134242,
        "market_imports_usd": 5136408373.394465,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 22.188369169104515,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 7.145484,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 46.41090827990065,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 46.41086329695849,
        "num_suppliers": 105,
        "market_hhi": 3634.7080612046257,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 2310.5076077743815,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 67.27790654305714,
        "exporter_name": "ZMB",
        "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-usa-851830"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
        "importer_iso3": "USA",
        "hs_code": "220421",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.000042852801831112265,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.000042852801831112265,
        "market_imports_usd": 4808938878.698117,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 4.764434317584643,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 0.379576,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "FRA",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 33.60223853732346,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 33.602195684521625,
        "num_suppliers": 91,
        "market_hhi": 2287.550525604058,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 2060.7650478678165,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 66.28478345921879,
        "exporter_name": "ZMB",
        "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-usa-220421"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
        "importer_iso3": "IDN",
        "hs_code": "851712",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.00000603891477251961,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.00000603891477251961,
        "market_imports_usd": 3561108167.8968635,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 9.952096845657255,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 17.597389,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 59.63319753433974,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 59.633191495424974,
        "num_suppliers": 63,
        "market_hhi": 4823.335751204433,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 215.05228721652614,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 46.691177365757596,
        "exporter_name": "ZMB",
        "importer_name": "Indonesia + Timor-Leste",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-idn-851712"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
        "importer_iso3": "USA",
        "hs_code": "902110",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.00002156065099223835,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.00002156065099223835,
        "market_imports_usd": 2884016044.5666738,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 8.707677074055798,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 2.708227,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "CHE",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 27.165093709290794,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 27.1650721486398,
        "num_suppliers": 80,
        "market_hhi": 1640.0031117776123,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 621.8126339291778,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 55.88714827541925,
        "exporter_name": "ZMB",
        "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-usa-902110"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
        "importer_iso3": "DEU",
        "hs_code": "190590",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.000001224222066739774,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.000001224222066739774,
        "market_imports_usd": 2691150638.914656,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 0.3424338265979321,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 9.383431,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "FRA",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 17.084435169347444,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 17.084433945125376,
        "num_suppliers": 117,
        "market_hhi": 1146.0908157133288,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 32.945659970801636,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 30.615685132732047,
        "exporter_name": "ZMB",
        "importer_name": "Germany",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-deu-190590"
      }
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "question": "What does a new corridor signal mean?",
        "answer": "It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales."
      },
      {
        "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?",
        "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast."
      },
      {
        "question": "What should exporters check next?",
        "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route."
      }
    ],
    "dataSources": {
      "publisher": "OECD",
      "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
      "year": 2025,
      "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)",
      "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
      "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
      "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
      "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
      "accessed": "2026-09-02",
      "supportingSources": [
        {
          "publisher": "CEPII",
          "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
          "release": "202601",
          "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
          "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
          "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
          "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
          "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
          "accessed": "2026-09-02"
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "links": {
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "trade": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/",
    "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/870421",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app?hs=870421",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-ita-870421/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-ita-870421/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zmb-ita-870421/index.ld.json"
  },
  "methodology": {
    "summary": "Reported trade observations and calculated signal indicators are shown separately. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-09-02",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-09-02"
      }
    ]
  },
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-02T11:53:16.169Z"
}