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"title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?", "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "Philippines", "imports": "$173.5M", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "+185.6%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "South Africa", "routeExports": "$389.8K", "currentShare": "0.2%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$173.5M", "projectionThreeYears": "$248.3M", "supplierCount": "6", "averageImports": "$49.2M", "historicalPeak": "$248.9M", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+12.7%", "latestAnnualChange": "+185.6%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "Poland", "iso3": "POL", "share": "82.9%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "6,959", "exporterShare": "0.2%", "shareGap": "82.6%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "19.4%", "mfnTariff": "19.4%", "preferentialTariff": "0.0%", "distance": "12,058 km", "tradeAgreement": "Not reported", "businessEntryTime": "33 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0.2" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$3.5K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+28.1%", "populationThousands": "111,047", "gdp": "$394.1B", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+4.1%", "investmentRate": "21.2%", "savingsRate": "15.0%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 389762.4361563868, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 42709482.83441684, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 42699030.61816254, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.024472823271626254, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 33807333.4795726, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.824119446889156, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 36514809.21359432, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.008545647818256, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.089358731831428 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 49748483.07048455, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.24193619492715, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.225405757587875 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 61223988.44878472, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.067045807289176, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.890605266245156 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 36791909.95196721, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.9060549889779, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.25232021179908415 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 48740335.70762753, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.475687647798935, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6801112434133727 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 59431506.618419915, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.93495542362318, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.985596863869076 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 67323867.78039485, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.27975952662257, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.312893891018604 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 70826965.25242057, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.203351482200258, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.266993392190084 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 93210371.41276711, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.602943992551722, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.18476025639466 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 67992152.99198666, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.05516353872858, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.32979195459406085 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 75575901.99069916, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.153859180788551, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.18682409965254 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 55535120.491304465, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.517422844468385, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.853802889206047 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 57814483.11305666, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.1043624315339144, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.261620630140551 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 47795552.871932164, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.329447054871018, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.164280837656984 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 64380541.250961296, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.69985674915925, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.049897989234675 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 61391358.53668642, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.6429909662032305, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0211463066583946 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 67188678.23025505, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.443217794413616, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.021883192283077 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 50750806.4514593, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.465240590778247, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.623229595846626 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 74023962.02826625, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.857705924469585, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.435954889021955 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 55157174.71548766, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.487405423630605, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.365627367523119 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 74698754.454493, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.428899032274465, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.7514140743499 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 81862867.88460213, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.59067320790945, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.41214415479274 } ], "routeHistoryScope": "Broader South Africa to Philippines route exports, not only HS 880212." }, "relatedSignals": [ { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "300214", "your_market_share_pct": 1.221931956401391e-7, "your_share_change_pp": 1.221931956401391e-7, 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It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. 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The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-09-02" } ] } }, "links": { "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "trade": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/", "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/880212", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app?hs=880212", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-phl-880212/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-phl-880212/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-phl-880212/index.ld.json" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported trade observations and calculated signal indicators are shown separately. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. 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