{
  "template": "new-corridor-signal",
  "templateName": "New Corridor Signal",
  "source": "api",
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-ita-160414",
  "seo": {
    "title": "South Africa to Italy new corridor | HS 160414 | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Reported new-corridor signal for South Africa to Italy in fish preparations (HS 160414), with market demand, growth, share, competition, access, and evidence.",
    "robots": "index, follow"
  },
  "breadcrumbs": [
    {
      "name": "Home",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/"
    },
    {
      "name": "Trade data",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/"
    },
    {
      "name": "New corridor signals",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/"
    },
    {
      "name": "ZAF-ITA-HS 160414",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-ita-160414"
    }
  ],
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ITA",
    "country_name": "Italy"
  },
  "hsCode": "160414",
  "product": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)",
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "signal": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "ITA",
    "hs_code": "160414",
    "your_market_share_pct": 0.001905097082353012,
    "your_share_change_pp": 0.001905097082353012,
    "market_imports_usd": 836433725.2487005,
    "market_yoy_growth_pct": 1.1352958051892514,
    "market_cagr_3y_pct": 6.587719,
    "top_supplier_iso3": "ESP",
    "top_supplier_share_pct": 45.48244300865363,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 45.48053791157128,
    "num_suppliers": 48,
    "market_hhi": 2380.4346714360368,
    "volatility_mean_usd": 15934.874495529602,
    "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
    "volatility_cv": 0,
    "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
    "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
    "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
    "anomaly_type": "",
    "anomaly_severity": "0",
    "anomaly_z_score": 0,
    "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
    "new_corridor_signal_strength": 84.04751801532542
  },
  "market": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "ITA",
    "hs_code": "160414",
    "hs_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)",
    "hs_chapter": "16",
    "hs_heading": "1604",
    "price_range_label": "Medium price range",
    "trade_type_label": "One-way trade",
    "substitution_elasticity": -14.68274,
    "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 836433725.2487004,
    "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 514134465.4880825,
    "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 836433725.2487004,
    "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 6.3482,
    "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 7.66,
    "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.1353,
    "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138,
    "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 1006055262.22,
    "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 1137842203.53,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2099880.198259,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 35551,
    "buyer_population_latest": 59066.223,
    "buyer_investment_rate": 21.25,
    "buyer_savings_rate": 22.49,
    "buyer_edu_secondary": 95.34,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 1953678.32,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 33629.24,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": -5.41,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": -6.96,
    "buyer_pop_growth_pct": -1.65,
    "exports_latest_usd": 15934.874495529602,
    "exports_avg_usd": 15934.874495529602,
    "exports_peak_usd": 15934.874495529602,
    "share_latest_pct": 0.0019050970823530117,
    "share_avg_pct": 0.0019050970823530117,
    "share_peak_pct": 0.0019050970823530117,
    "share_change_1y_pp": 0.0019050970823530117,
    "share_trend_pp_per_yr": null,
    "cagr_full_pct": null,
    "yoy_avg_pct": null,
    "yoy_latest_pct": null,
    "trend_consistency_pct": null,
    "exports_proj_3y_usd": null,
    "exports_proj_5y_usd": null,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 45.4805,
    "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 457559344.95,
    "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 517496754.75,
    "peer_best_share_pct": 45.48244300865364,
    "peer_top_exporter": "ESP",
    "num_suppliers_latest": 48,
    "buyer_herfindahl_index": 2380.43,
    "distance_km": 8460.3349609375,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.08409999310970306,
    "has_wto_reported_fta": 1,
    "buyer_is_eu_member": 1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
    "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
    "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 0,
    "signal_flag": "Declining",
    "lane_data_years": 1,
    "lane_last_year": 2024
  },
  "access": {
    "lane_access_data_available": false,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "ITA",
    "hs_code": "160414"
  },
  "productHistory": [
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "export_value_usd": 15934.874495529602,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    }
  ],
  "routeHistory": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "export_value_usd": 1861185469.9119346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "export_value_usd": 1533168214.3909993,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.62410360620621,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "export_value_usd": 1717451444.2870283,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.019765878672972,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "export_value_usd": 1561584924.2083302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.075454249211889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.682564283213676
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "export_value_usd": 2202965418.3767095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.0724056197928,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.842480513166121
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "export_value_usd": 2597924199.6673565,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.92850573122835,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.792629087673049
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "export_value_usd": 2471801487.469298,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.854749504015842,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.542051984689323
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "export_value_usd": 3005389076.813145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.58699199951326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.908374774256725
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "export_value_usd": 3126133600.4947834,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.0176004036613255,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.363761204366858
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "export_value_usd": 1926826826.305175,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.36390018647285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.967115984190343
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "export_value_usd": 2279330767.9759135,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.294531550958816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.80545032295441
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "export_value_usd": 2528599456.075145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.936047176715213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.826837793937424
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "export_value_usd": 2142100143.0957398,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.28511413900735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5934655727173137
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "export_value_usd": 1967527403.8645694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.14960681431447,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.785195725388592
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "export_value_usd": 2150433644.3152604,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.296248687130415,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.256664855717153
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "export_value_usd": 1627170870.0539386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.332895629892302,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.757369607009801
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "export_value_usd": 1286133001.4420667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.95894628451448,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.212929154505703
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "export_value_usd": 1268489480.0100908,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3718271292466055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.133804678650975
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "export_value_usd": 1356170647.0425758,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.912250232598494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.891888185702465
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "export_value_usd": 1507376364.8993764,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.14946103475527,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.433495802887722
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "export_value_usd": 1104840431.325219,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.704407933384864,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.4998113161710425
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "export_value_usd": 1755394351.4418378,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.88216086881446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.981668363977558
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "export_value_usd": 2358970289.21798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.38406516919572,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.10036628159046
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "export_value_usd": 2043009326.9997602,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.394020419094122,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.74117134408662
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "export_value_usd": 1888919256.9248393,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.542308693284738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.473813661542068
    }
  ],
  "relatedSignals": [
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "hs_code": "300214",
      "your_market_share_pct": 1.221931956401391e-7,
      "your_share_change_pp": 1.221931956401391e-7,
      "market_imports_usd": 4373134074.980396,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 116.2798496774109,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 103.46728,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "IRL",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 57.271211240012136,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 57.27121111781894,
      "num_suppliers": 41,
      "market_hhi": 3827.3984400754543,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 5.343672275846383,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 16.046814770970567,
      "exporter_name": "South Africa",
      "importer_name": "NLD",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "hs_code": "870360",
      "your_market_share_pct": 1.5992838788681807,
      "your_share_change_pp": 1.5992838788681807,
      "market_imports_usd": 3174248586.6127777,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": -32.300365344105096,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 8.128891,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 25.768621060820806,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 24.169337181952624,
      "num_suppliers": 35,
      "market_hhi": 1232.9692665487514,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 50765245.920899235,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100,
      "exporter_name": "South Africa",
      "importer_name": "Belgium",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "870360",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.23989725188422886,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.23989725188422886,
      "market_imports_usd": 2100272095.3600585,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 81.72088506849282,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 83.974303,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 76.05289137739413,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 75.8129941255099,
      "num_suppliers": 20,
      "market_hhi": 5862.917552220231,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 5038495.038860091,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100,
      "exporter_name": "South Africa",
      "importer_name": "BRA",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "SVK",
      "hs_code": "850760",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000017908808380072729,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000017908808380072729,
      "market_imports_usd": 986329995.9476455,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": -40.95306194619579,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": -14.365891,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 33.62981428608132,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 33.62981249520048,
      "num_suppliers": 62,
      "market_hhi": 2297.698570550958,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 17.663994896944295,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 25.42009214084333,
      "exporter_name": "South Africa",
      "importer_name": "Slovakia",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "722592",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000017987236183440868,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000017987236183440868,
      "market_imports_usd": 820317764.464447,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": -8.816391374970067,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 2.171424,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "AUT",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 44.42889891481754,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 44.42889711609392,
      "num_suppliers": 32,
      "market_hhi": 2784.5439138022875,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 14.755249374894223,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 23.948505631994564,
      "exporter_name": "South Africa",
      "importer_name": "Germany",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "382600",
      "your_market_share_pct": 5.710046506050638e-7,
      "your_share_change_pp": 5.710046506050638e-7,
      "market_imports_usd": 785556790.6832476,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": -45.73616678944244,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 5.14942,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "USA",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 96.12210013603828,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 96.12209956503364,
      "num_suppliers": 23,
      "market_hhi": 9254.213972098103,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 4.485565807945231,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 14.784428589336722,
      "exporter_name": "South Africa",
      "importer_name": "Canada",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "040510",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.006837785787304234,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.006837785787304234,
      "market_imports_usd": 710745344.3431957,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 22.969649735105314,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 14.486347,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "NZL",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 80.00473935873674,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 79.99790157294944,
      "num_suppliers": 30,
      "market_hhi": 6506.346219172431,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 48599.24413942557,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 93.7327690182249,
      "exporter_name": "South Africa",
      "importer_name": "CHN",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "841112",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.25191434121862166,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.25191434121862166,
      "market_imports_usd": 707912899.9814761,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": -6.369551333067136,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 56.831506,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "USA",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 45.75162410924936,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 45.49970976803074,
      "num_suppliers": 16,
      "market_hhi": 3604.368837002304,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 1783334.1183899757,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100,
      "exporter_name": "South Africa",
      "importer_name": "Thailand",
      "published": true
    }
  ],
  "sections": {
    "overview": {
      "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?",
      "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.",
      "reportedMarket": {
        "buyerMarket": "Italy",
        "imports": "$836.4M",
        "year": 2024,
        "annualChange": "+1.1%"
      },
      "exporterPosition": {
        "exporter": "South Africa",
        "routeExports": "$15.9K",
        "currentShare": "0.0%"
      }
    },
    "signal": {
      "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view",
      "type": "New corridor",
      "strength": "84/100",
      "reportedPeriod": 2024,
      "marketMomentum": "+0.0%",
      "availableProductHistoryYears": "1"
    },
    "market": {
      "latestImports": "$836.4M",
      "projectionThreeYears": "$1.0B",
      "supplierCount": "48",
      "averageImports": "$514.1M",
      "historicalPeak": "$836.4M",
      "fullHistoryGrowth": "+6.3%",
      "latestAnnualChange": "+1.1%"
    },
    "competition": {
      "topSupplier": {
        "country": "Spain",
        "iso3": "ESP",
        "share": "45.5%"
      },
      "marketConcentrationHhi": "2,380",
      "exporterShare": "0.0%",
      "shareGap": "45.5%"
    },
    "access": {
      "appliedTariff": "Not reported",
      "mfnTariff": "Not reported",
      "preferentialTariff": "Not reported",
      "distance": "8,460 km",
      "tradeAgreement": "Reported yes",
      "businessEntryTime": "11 days",
      "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0.1"
    },
    "economy": {
      "gdpPerPerson": "$35.6K",
      "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "-5.4%",
      "populationThousands": "59,066",
      "gdp": "$2.1T",
      "gdpFiveYearCagr": "Not reported",
      "investmentRate": "21.3%",
      "savingsRate": "22.5%"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "productHistory": [
        {
          "year": 2024,
          "export_value_usd": 15934.874495529602,
          "yoy_growth_pct": null,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        }
      ],
      "routeHistory": [
        {
          "year": 2000,
          "export_value_usd": 1861185469.9119346,
          "yoy_growth_pct": null,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 2001,
          "export_value_usd": 1533168214.3909993,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -17.62410360620621,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 2002,
          "export_value_usd": 1717451444.2870283,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 12.019765878672972,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 2003,
          "export_value_usd": 1561584924.2083302,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -9.075454249211889,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -5.682564283213676
        },
        {
          "year": 2004,
          "export_value_usd": 2202965418.3767095,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 41.0724056197928,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 12.842480513166121
        },
        {
          "year": 2005,
          "export_value_usd": 2597924199.6673565,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 17.92850573122835,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 14.792629087673049
        },
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "export_value_usd": 2471801487.469298,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -4.854749504015842,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 16.542051984689323
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "export_value_usd": 3005389076.813145,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 21.58699199951326,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 10.908374774256725
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "export_value_usd": 3126133600.4947834,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 4.0176004036613255,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 6.363761204366858
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "export_value_usd": 1926826826.305175,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -38.36390018647285,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -7.967115984190343
        },
        {
          "year": 2010,
          "export_value_usd": 2279330767.9759135,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 18.294531550958816,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -8.80545032295441
        },
        {
          "year": 2011,
          "export_value_usd": 2528599456.075145,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 10.936047176715213,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -6.826837793937424
        },
        {
          "year": 2012,
          "export_value_usd": 2142100143.0957398,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -15.28511413900735,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5934655727173137
        },
        {
          "year": 2013,
          "export_value_usd": 1967527403.8645694,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -8.14960681431447,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -4.785195725388592
        },
        {
          "year": 2014,
          "export_value_usd": 2150433644.3152604,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 9.296248687130415,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -5.256664855717153
        },
        {
          "year": 2015,
          "export_value_usd": 1627170870.0539386,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -24.332895629892302,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -8.757369607009801
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "export_value_usd": 1286133001.4420667,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -20.95894628451448,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -13.212929154505703
        },
        {
          "year": 2017,
          "export_value_usd": 1268489480.0100908,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3718271292466055,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -16.133804678650975
        },
        {
          "year": 2018,
          "export_value_usd": 1356170647.0425758,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 6.912250232598494,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -5.891888185702465
        },
        {
          "year": 2019,
          "export_value_usd": 1507376364.8993764,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 11.14946103475527,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 5.433495802887722
        },
        {
          "year": 2020,
          "export_value_usd": 1104840431.325219,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -26.704407933384864,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -4.4998113161710425
        },
        {
          "year": 2021,
          "export_value_usd": 1755394351.4418378,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 58.88216086881446,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 8.981668363977558
        },
        {
          "year": 2022,
          "export_value_usd": 2358970289.21798,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 34.38406516919572,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 16.10036628159046
        },
        {
          "year": 2023,
          "export_value_usd": 2043009326.9997602,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -13.394020419094122,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 22.74117134408662
        },
        {
          "year": 2024,
          "export_value_usd": 1888919256.9248393,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -7.542308693284738,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 2.473813661542068
        }
      ],
      "routeHistoryScope": "Broader South Africa to Italy route exports, not only HS 160414."
    },
    "relatedSignals": [
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
        "importer_iso3": "NLD",
        "hs_code": "300214",
        "your_market_share_pct": 1.221931956401391e-7,
        "your_share_change_pp": 1.221931956401391e-7,
        "market_imports_usd": 4373134074.980396,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 116.2798496774109,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 103.46728,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "IRL",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 57.271211240012136,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 57.27121111781894,
        "num_suppliers": 41,
        "market_hhi": 3827.3984400754543,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 5.343672275846383,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 16.046814770970567,
        "exporter_name": "South Africa",
        "importer_name": "NLD",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-nld-300214"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
        "importer_iso3": "BEL",
        "hs_code": "870360",
        "your_market_share_pct": 1.5992838788681807,
        "your_share_change_pp": 1.5992838788681807,
        "market_imports_usd": 3174248586.6127777,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": -32.300365344105096,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 8.128891,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 25.768621060820806,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 24.169337181952624,
        "num_suppliers": 35,
        "market_hhi": 1232.9692665487514,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 50765245.920899235,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100,
        "exporter_name": "South Africa",
        "importer_name": "Belgium",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-bel-870360"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
        "importer_iso3": "BRA",
        "hs_code": "870360",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.23989725188422886,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.23989725188422886,
        "market_imports_usd": 2100272095.3600585,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 81.72088506849282,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 83.974303,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 76.05289137739413,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 75.8129941255099,
        "num_suppliers": 20,
        "market_hhi": 5862.917552220231,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 5038495.038860091,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100,
        "exporter_name": "South Africa",
        "importer_name": "BRA",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-bra-870360"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
        "importer_iso3": "SVK",
        "hs_code": "850760",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000017908808380072729,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000017908808380072729,
        "market_imports_usd": 986329995.9476455,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": -40.95306194619579,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": -14.365891,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 33.62981428608132,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 33.62981249520048,
        "num_suppliers": 62,
        "market_hhi": 2297.698570550958,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 17.663994896944295,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 25.42009214084333,
        "exporter_name": "South Africa",
        "importer_name": "Slovakia",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-svk-850760"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
        "importer_iso3": "DEU",
        "hs_code": "722592",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000017987236183440868,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000017987236183440868,
        "market_imports_usd": 820317764.464447,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": -8.816391374970067,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 2.171424,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "AUT",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 44.42889891481754,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 44.42889711609392,
        "num_suppliers": 32,
        "market_hhi": 2784.5439138022875,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 14.755249374894223,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 23.948505631994564,
        "exporter_name": "South Africa",
        "importer_name": "Germany",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-deu-722592"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
        "importer_iso3": "CAN",
        "hs_code": "382600",
        "your_market_share_pct": 5.710046506050638e-7,
        "your_share_change_pp": 5.710046506050638e-7,
        "market_imports_usd": 785556790.6832476,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": -45.73616678944244,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 5.14942,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "USA",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 96.12210013603828,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 96.12209956503364,
        "num_suppliers": 23,
        "market_hhi": 9254.213972098103,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 4.485565807945231,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 14.784428589336722,
        "exporter_name": "South Africa",
        "importer_name": "Canada",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-can-382600"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
        "importer_iso3": "CHN",
        "hs_code": "040510",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.006837785787304234,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.006837785787304234,
        "market_imports_usd": 710745344.3431957,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 22.969649735105314,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 14.486347,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "NZL",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 80.00473935873674,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 79.99790157294944,
        "num_suppliers": 30,
        "market_hhi": 6506.346219172431,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 48599.24413942557,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 93.7327690182249,
        "exporter_name": "South Africa",
        "importer_name": "CHN",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-chn-040510"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
        "importer_iso3": "THA",
        "hs_code": "841112",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.25191434121862166,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.25191434121862166,
        "market_imports_usd": 707912899.9814761,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": -6.369551333067136,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 56.831506,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "USA",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 45.75162410924936,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 45.49970976803074,
        "num_suppliers": 16,
        "market_hhi": 3604.368837002304,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 1783334.1183899757,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100,
        "exporter_name": "South Africa",
        "importer_name": "Thailand",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-tha-841112"
      }
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "question": "What does a new corridor signal mean?",
        "answer": "It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales."
      },
      {
        "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?",
        "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast."
      },
      {
        "question": "What should exporters check next?",
        "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route."
      }
    ],
    "dataSources": {
      "publisher": "OECD",
      "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
      "year": 2025,
      "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)",
      "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
      "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
      "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
      "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
      "accessed": "2026-09-02",
      "supportingSources": [
        {
          "publisher": "CEPII",
          "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
          "release": "202601",
          "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
          "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
          "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
          "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
          "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
          "accessed": "2026-09-02"
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "links": {
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "trade": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/",
    "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/160414",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app?hs=160414",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-ita-160414/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-ita-160414/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-ita-160414/index.ld.json"
  },
  "methodology": {
    "summary": "Reported trade observations and calculated signal indicators are shown separately. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-09-02",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-09-02"
      }
    ]
  },
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-02T11:52:18.546Z"
}