# South Africa to IRN HS 020410 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for meat: of sheep, lamb carcasses and half-carcasses, fresh or chilled. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 100/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $144.5M
- Buyer market growth: +202.6%
- Current exporter share: 7.7%
- Share gap: 77.9%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $144.5M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $282.2M
- Supplier countries observed: 10
- Average buyer imports: $32.5M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $144.5M
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +94.6%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +202.6%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: AUS
- Top supplier share: 85.6%
- Market concentration: 7,396
- Exporter share: 7.7%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 77.9%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: 57.0%
- MFN tariff: 57.0%
- Preferential tariff: 0.0%
- Approximate distance: 8,471 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 72.5 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $2.8K
- GDP per-person growth: +11.9%
- Population: 85,029k
- GDP: $231.5B
- GDP five-year CAGR: +6.4%
- Investment rate: 39.4%
- Savings rate: 41.0%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $11.1M | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader South Africa to IRN route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 020410 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2000 | $84.2M | +0.0% |
| 2001 | $67.4M | -20.0% |
| 2002 | $43.9M | -34.8% |
| 2003 | $50.7M | +15.4% |
| 2004 | $47.4M | -6.5% |
| 2005 | $110.0M | +132.2% |
| 2006 | $194.9M | +77.2% |
| 2007 | $162.1M | -16.8% |
| 2008 | $148.4M | -8.5% |
| 2009 | $79.9M | -46.1% |
| 2010 | $134.7M | +68.5% |
| 2011 | $89.0M | -33.9% |
| 2012 | $55.8M | -37.4% |
| 2013 | $18.2M | -67.4% |
| 2014 | $33.3M | +83.1% |
| 2015 | $22.4M | -32.5% |
| 2016 | $33.6M | +49.9% |
| 2017 | $91.6M | +172.3% |
| 2018 | $104.7M | +14.3% |
| 2019 | $19.3M | -81.6% |
| 2020 | $5.3M | -72.4% |
| 2021 | $6.6M | +24.4% |
| 2022 | $19.0M | +186.3% |
| 2023 | $25.4M | +34.1% |
| 2024 | $24.9M | -2.3% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| South Africa to NLD | HS 300214 | New corridor | $4.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-nld-300214) |
| South Africa to Belgium | HS 870360 | New corridor | $3.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-bel-870360) |
| South Africa to BRA | HS 870360 | New corridor | $2.1B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-bra-870360) |
| South Africa to Slovakia | HS 850760 | New corridor | $986.3M | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-svk-850760) |
| South Africa to Italy | HS 160414 | New corridor | $836.4M | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-ita-160414) |
| South Africa to Germany | HS 722592 | New corridor | $820.3M | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-deu-722592) |
| South Africa to Canada | HS 382600 | New corridor | $785.6M | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-can-382600) |
| South Africa to CHN | HS 040510 | New corridor | $710.7M | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-chn-040510) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.