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"title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?", "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "IRN", "imports": "$144.5M", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "+202.6%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "South Africa", "routeExports": "$11.1M", "currentShare": "7.7%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$144.5M", "projectionThreeYears": "$282.2M", "supplierCount": "10", "averageImports": "$32.5M", "historicalPeak": "$144.5M", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+94.6%", "latestAnnualChange": "+202.6%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "AUS", "iso3": "AUS", "share": "85.6%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "7,396", "exporterShare": "7.7%", "shareGap": "77.9%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "57.0%", "mfnTariff": "57.0%", "preferentialTariff": "0.0%", "distance": "8,471 km", "tradeAgreement": "Not reported", "businessEntryTime": "72.5 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$2.8K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+11.9%", "populationThousands": "85,029", "gdp": "$231.5B", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+6.4%", "investmentRate": "39.4%", "savingsRate": "41.0%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 11101749.698856069, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 84234552.10988024, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 67383669.19259338, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.004715992679145, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 43919881.04184498, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.82117912529387, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 50682667.016910434, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.398006129894037, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.577852301473527 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 47370146.376769155, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.535805700666941, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.08329573007304 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 110014343.83402222, "yoy_growth_pct": 132.2440445064246, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.8092609565912 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 194932344.16422805, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.18811690439288, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.678046641758485 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 162112376.98764518, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.83659390507942, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.69672552127899 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 148393439.51733625, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.462609533727628, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.489700442073001 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 79931594.61455971, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.13535822436301, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.707519794557964 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 134650856.5528349, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.45761329063733, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.999322825734909 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 89044131.9644, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.87035608684712, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.654185879126603 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 55750636.45341027, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.389881597476325, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.316304076906935 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 18159103.147311468, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.427989521722, "cagr_3y_pct": -48.71837738361363 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 33257625.310629297, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.14574811781512, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.984058328811578 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 22441003.84922633, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.52373361108836, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.164681913821365 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 33634723.62229656, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.8806552874244, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.809271729906943 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 91575695.04956673, "yoy_growth_pct": 172.26534125245774, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.16179880280512 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 104688884.50129122, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.319508516563006, "cagr_3y_pct": 67.09088682122655 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 19305714.850860953, "yoy_growth_pct": 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It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. 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The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-09-02" } ] } }, "links": { "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "trade": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/", "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/020410", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app?hs=020410", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-irn-020410/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-irn-020410/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/zaf-irn-020410/index.ld.json" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported trade observations and calculated signal indicators are shown separately. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. 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