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"anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100, "exporter_name": "South Africa", "importer_name": "Thailand", "published": true } ], "sections": { "overview": { "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?", "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "Belgium", "imports": "$3.2B", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "-32.3%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "South Africa", "routeExports": "$50.8M", "currentShare": "1.6%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$3.2B", "projectionThreeYears": "$6.2B", "supplierCount": "35", "averageImports": "$665.6M", "historicalPeak": "$4.7B", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+38.1%", "latestAnnualChange": "-32.3%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "Germany", "iso3": "DEU", "share": "25.8%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "1,233", "exporterShare": "1.6%", "shareGap": "24.2%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "1.7%", "mfnTariff": "5.9%", "preferentialTariff": "1.3%", "distance": "9,536 km", "tradeAgreement": "Reported yes", "businessEntryTime": "5 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$51.8K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+2.0%", "populationThousands": "11,588", "gdp": "$599.9B", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+4.6%", "investmentRate": "23.7%", "savingsRate": "24.9%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 50765245.920899235, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 1178216460.0470269, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 912930647.1712751, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.515880729179692, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 920372556.7081001, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8151670184239901, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 1068382791.124372, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.08155668457354, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2092326798038417 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 1351138458.7042642, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.465763949859067, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.960415257285064 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 1500958940.6815252, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.08846254890401, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.706844484093676 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 1555714246.075182, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6480215354055323, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.344638465372217 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 2111229637.27984, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.70806095053345, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.041109526377852 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 2419206457.584449, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.587556695225912, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.24690130540878 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 1484291011.7530003, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.64554192555154, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5543774693522971 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 1582989792.3243668, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.649557249208149, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.152242096538387 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 1946613639.6465726, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.970700700999625, "cagr_3y_pct": 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It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. 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Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. 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