# Ukraine to South Africa HS 390110 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 96/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $171.0M
- Buyer market growth: +60.7%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 43.8%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $171.0M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $213.2M
- Supplier countries observed: 42
- Average buyer imports: $127.5M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $200.4M
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +7.6%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +60.7%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: Saudi Arabia
- Top supplier share: 43.8%
- Market concentration: 2,235
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 43.8%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 9,462 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 40 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $7.0K
- GDP per-person growth: -2.8%
- Population: 60,042k
- GDP: $419.9B
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 19.8%
- Savings rate: 19.2%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $61.2K | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader Ukraine to South Africa route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 390110 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2000 | $9.0M | +0.0% |
| 2001 | $3.5M | -61.1% |
| 2002 | $14.7M | +318.3% |
| 2003 | $15.8M | +7.2% |
| 2004 | $27.7M | +76.0% |
| 2005 | $32.3M | +16.4% |
| 2006 | $12.7M | -60.7% |
| 2007 | $14.8M | +16.2% |
| 2008 | $43.6M | +195.1% |
| 2009 | $28.8M | -33.9% |
| 2010 | $37.3M | +29.5% |
| 2011 | $96.6M | +158.6% |
| 2012 | $170.4M | +76.5% |
| 2013 | $162.3M | -4.7% |
| 2014 | $116.4M | -28.3% |
| 2015 | $60.5M | -48.1% |
| 2016 | $57.1M | -5.5% |
| 2017 | $99.8M | +74.7% |
| 2018 | $44.6M | -55.3% |
| 2019 | $50.0M | +12.1% |
| 2020 | $34.1M | -31.9% |
| 2021 | $37.6M | +10.5% |
| 2022 | $32.3M | -14.2% |
| 2023 | $12.8M | -60.5% |
| 2024 | $19.2M | +50.4% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| Ukraine to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 300215 | New corridor | $67.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ukr-usa-300215) |
| Ukraine to CHN | HS 470329 | New corridor | $8.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ukr-chn-470329) |
| Ukraine to Italy | HS 870340 | New corridor | $7.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ukr-ita-870340) |
| Ukraine to BRA | HS 870840 | New corridor | $2.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ukr-bra-870840) |
| Ukraine to Italy | HS 870350 | New corridor | $2.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ukr-ita-870350) |
| Ukraine to Indonesia + Timor-Leste | HS 270112 | New corridor | $2.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ukr-idn-270112) |
| Ukraine to Belgium | HS 090111 | New corridor | $2.0B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ukr-bel-090111) |
| Ukraine to Germany | HS 271020 | New corridor | $1.8B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ukr-deu-271020) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.