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"volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 40.66670506517369, "exporter_name": "Ukraine", "importer_name": "Germany", "published": true } ], "sections": { "overview": { "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?", "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "Pakistan", "imports": "$413.3M", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "+92.4%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "Ukraine", "routeExports": "$132.9M", "currentShare": "32.1%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$413.3M", "projectionThreeYears": "$643.7M", "supplierCount": "18", "averageImports": "$216.5M", "historicalPeak": "$1.1B", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+15.9%", "latestAnnualChange": "+92.4%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "Ukraine", "iso3": "UKR", "share": "32.1%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "2,054", "exporterShare": "32.1%", "shareGap": "0.0%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "26.8%", "mfnTariff": "26.8%", "preferentialTariff": "0.0%", "distance": "3,915 km", "tradeAgreement": "Not reported", "businessEntryTime": "16.5 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$1.5K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+9.3%", "populationThousands": "225,200", "gdp": "$346.3B", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+3.0%", "investmentRate": "16.6%", "savingsRate": "7.5%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 132860313.5076155, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 1995, "export_value_usd": 15513357.154192312, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "export_value_usd": 18095981.999999646, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.647749549873602, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "export_value_usd": 7640392.418607727, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.77851448676354, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "export_value_usd": 24325652.346314434, "yoy_growth_pct": 218.38223763311865, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.176842317250184 }, { "year": 1999, "export_value_usd": 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It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. 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