# Tunisia to Iraq HS 151211 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 52/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $392.7M
- Buyer market growth: +7.6%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 33.4%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $392.7M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $767.0M
- Supplier countries observed: 7
- Average buyer imports: $125.2M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $735.5M
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +41.6%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +7.6%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: Ukraine
- Top supplier share: 33.4%
- Market concentration: 2,678
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 33.4%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 3,124 km
- Trade agreement: Reported yes
- Business entry time: 26.5 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0.6

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $5.0K
- GDP per-person growth: +8.0%
- Population: 41,179k
- GDP: $207.9B
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 19.2%
- Savings rate: 27.6%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $385.7 | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader Tunisia to Iraq route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 151211 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $61.5K | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $523.0 | -99.2% |
| 1997 | $2.0M | +386578.6% |
| 1998 | $13.7M | +576.9% |
| 1999 | $6.0M | -56.4% |
| 2000 | $32.0M | +435.0% |
| 2001 | $77.5M | +142.6% |
| 2002 | $87.8M | +13.3% |
| 2003 | $23.2M | -73.6% |
| 2004 | $27.3M | +17.8% |
| 2005 | $6.1M | -77.8% |
| 2006 | $1.8M | -70.6% |
| 2007 | $1.2M | -32.0% |
| 2008 | $6.5M | +435.4% |
| 2009 | $4.1M | -36.1% |
| 2010 | $6.6M | +59.1% |
| 2011 | $10.8M | +64.3% |
| 2012 | $11.9M | +9.7% |
| 2013 | $10.3M | -13.2% |
| 2014 | $19.2M | +86.1% |
| 2015 | $6.1M | -68.3% |
| 2016 | $5.0M | -17.8% |
| 2017 | $12.7M | +154.5% |
| 2018 | $9.3M | -26.6% |
| 2019 | $9.9M | +6.3% |
| 2020 | $10.1M | +1.9% |
| 2021 | $13.6M | +34.6% |
| 2022 | $14.8M | +8.9% |
| 2023 | $10.4M | -29.7% |
| 2024 | $12.4M | +18.9% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| Tunisia to Japan | HS 854231 | New corridor | $8.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tun-jpn-854231) |
| Tunisia to TUR | HS 870380 | New corridor | $2.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tun-tur-870380) |
| Tunisia to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 732111 | New corridor | $2.1B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tun-usa-732111) |
| Tunisia to Guatemala | HS 271019 | New corridor | $2.0B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tun-gtm-271019) |
| Tunisia to Italy | HS 850760 | New corridor | $1.8B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tun-ita-850760) |
| Tunisia to NLD | HS 841112 | New corridor | $1.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tun-nld-841112) |
| Tunisia to QAT | HS 270900 | New corridor | $1.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tun-qat-270900) |
| Tunisia to Italy | HS 300212 | New corridor | $1.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tun-ita-300212) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.
