# TKM to South Africa HS 999999 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for commodities not specified according to kind. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 75/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $792.0M
- Buyer market growth: +836.9%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 33.9%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $792.0M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $814.0M
- Supplier countries observed: 34
- Average buyer imports: $298.7M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $1.5B
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +0.9%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +836.9%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: Poland
- Top supplier share: 33.9%
- Market concentration: 2,436
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 33.9%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 9,002 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 40 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $7.0K
- GDP per-person growth: -2.8%
- Population: 60,042k
- GDP: $419.9B
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 19.8%
- Savings rate: 19.2%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $5.6K | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader TKM to South Africa route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 999999 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2000 | $56.4K | +0.0% |
| 2001 | $75.3K | +33.6% |
| 2002 | $51.9K | -31.1% |
| 2003 | $63.7K | +22.8% |
| 2004 | $55.2K | -13.4% |
| 2005 | $3.1K | -94.4% |
| 2006 | $110.5 | -96.4% |
| 2007 | $368.8 | +233.7% |
| 2008 | $608.6 | +65.0% |
| 2009 | $1.3K | +115.8% |
| 2010 | $41.1 | -96.9% |
| 2011 | $281.3 | +584.2% |
| 2012 | $2.5K | +793.2% |
| 2013 | $323.2K | +12764.9% |
| 2014 | $19.6K | -93.9% |
| 2015 | $94.2K | +381.6% |
| 2016 | $44.5K | -52.7% |
| 2017 | $49.1K | +10.2% |
| 2018 | $3.1K | -93.6% |
| 2019 | $430.8 | -86.2% |
| 2020 | $5.0K | +1067.8% |
| 2021 | $15.9K | +215.4% |
| 2022 | $32.6K | +105.7% |
| 2023 | $10.4K | -68.0% |
| 2024 | $7.4K | -29.3% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| TKM to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 854370 | New corridor | $15.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tkm-usa-854370) |
| TKM to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 842139 | New corridor | $6.1B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tkm-usa-842139) |
| TKM to India | HS 847130 | New corridor | $5.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tkm-ind-847130) |
| TKM to CHN | HS 848180 | New corridor | $4.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tkm-chn-848180) |
| TKM to CHN | HS 261000 | New corridor | $4.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tkm-chn-261000) |
| TKM to India | HS 851762 | New corridor | $3.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tkm-ind-851762) |
| TKM to Ecuador | HS 271019 | New corridor | $3.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tkm-ecu-271019) |
| TKM to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 640391 | New corridor | $3.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tkm-usa-640391) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.