# Tajikistan to ARE HS 841950 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for heat exchange units: not used for domestic purposes. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 65/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $283.7M
- Buyer market growth: +91.7%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 19.4%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $283.7M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $374.1M
- Supplier countries observed: 69
- Average buyer imports: $133.1M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $421.9M
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +9.7%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +91.7%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: KOR
- Top supplier share: 19.4%
- Market concentration: 1,104
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 19.4%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 2,083 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 3.8 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $36.3K
- GDP per-person growth: +11.2%
- Population: 9,991k
- GDP: $358.9B
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 26.4%
- Savings rate: 61.5%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $1.8K | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader Tajikistan to ARE route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 841950 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1999 | $662.2K | +0.0% |
| 2000 | $184.7K | -72.1% |
| 2001 | $3.4M | +1755.1% |
| 2002 | $40.2K | -98.8% |
| 2003 | $3.6M | +8842.5% |
| 2004 | $1.1M | -69.1% |
| 2005 | $13.7K | -98.8% |
| 2006 | $154.4K | +1027.7% |
| 2007 | $204.6K | +32.5% |
| 2008 | $546.2K | +167.0% |
| 2009 | $1.6M | +184.5% |
| 2010 | $485.2K | -68.8% |
| 2011 | $26.3M | +5321.1% |
| 2012 | $29.7M | +12.9% |
| 2013 | $30.6M | +3.0% |
| 2014 | $30.0M | -1.8% |
| 2015 | $30.7M | +2.1% |
| 2016 | $29.2M | -4.7% |
| 2017 | $7.5M | -74.3% |
| 2018 | $2.6M | -64.8% |
| 2019 | $424.1K | -84.0% |
| 2020 | $3.0M | +615.2% |
| 2021 | $11.9M | +292.1% |
| 2022 | $12.1M | +1.6% |
| 2023 | $30.2M | +150.1% |
| 2024 | $7.3M | -75.7% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| Tajikistan to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 847150 | New corridor | $53.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tjk-usa-847150) |
| Tajikistan to SGP | HS 848690 | New corridor | $4.0B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tjk-sgp-848690) |
| Tajikistan to CHN | HS 260200 | New corridor | $3.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tjk-chn-260200) |
| Tajikistan to CHN | HS 999999 | New corridor | $2.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tjk-chn-999999) |
| Tajikistan to SGP | HS 854233 | New corridor | $2.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tjk-sgp-854233) |
| Tajikistan to BRA | HS 870840 | New corridor | $2.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tjk-bra-870840) |
| Tajikistan to Canada | HS 848180 | New corridor | $2.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tjk-can-848180) |
| Tajikistan to KOR | HS 382499 | New corridor | $2.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/tjk-kor-382499) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.