# Romania to Ukraine HS 930690 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for ammunition: n.e.s. in chapter 93. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 100/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $1.6B
- Buyer market growth: +126.7%
- Current exporter share: 32.5%
- Share gap: 17.9%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $1.6B
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $3.0B
- Supplier countries observed: 18
- Average buyer imports: $95.3M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $1.6B
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +44.7%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +126.7%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: Poland
- Top supplier share: 50.4%
- Market concentration: 3,659
- Exporter share: 32.5%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 17.9%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: 6.2%
- MFN tariff: 6.7%
- Preferential tariff: 2.2%
- Approximate distance: 0 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 0 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $0.0
- GDP per-person growth: +0.0%
- Population: 0k
- GDP: $0.0
- GDP five-year CAGR: +4.4%
- Investment rate: 0.0%
- Savings rate: 0.0%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $504.8M | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader Romania to Ukraine route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 930690 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $94.7M | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $71.1M | -24.9% |
| 1997 | $87.7M | +23.4% |
| 1998 | $49.9M | -43.1% |
| 1999 | $58.0M | +16.2% |
| 2000 | $71.0M | +22.3% |
| 2001 | $38.4M | -46.0% |
| 2002 | $35.8M | -6.5% |
| 2003 | $59.1M | +64.8% |
| 2004 | $82.8M | +40.1% |
| 2005 | $191.3M | +131.2% |
| 2006 | $438.9M | +129.4% |
| 2007 | $749.3M | +70.7% |
| 2008 | $1.2B | +57.4% |
| 2009 | $470.9M | -60.1% |
| 2010 | $687.6M | +46.0% |
| 2011 | $1.1B | +60.8% |
| 2012 | $969.0M | -12.4% |
| 2013 | $1.1B | +9.8% |
| 2014 | $819.8M | -23.0% |
| 2015 | $324.5M | -60.4% |
| 2016 | $398.7M | +22.9% |
| 2017 | $487.5M | +22.3% |
| 2018 | $549.4M | +12.7% |
| 2019 | $655.3M | +19.3% |
| 2020 | $676.0M | +3.2% |
| 2021 | $819.9M | +21.3% |
| 2022 | $1.5B | +86.0% |
| 2023 | $1.6B | +8.1% |
| 2024 | $2.0B | +19.3% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| Romania to China, Hong Kong SAR | HS 710812 | New corridor | $41.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/rou-hkg-710812) |
| Romania to NLD | HS 271111 | New corridor | $6.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/rou-nld-271111) |
| Romania to Japan | HS 711319 | New corridor | $3.1B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/rou-jpn-711319) |
| Romania to CHN | HS 740319 | New corridor | $2.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/rou-chn-740319) |
| Romania to KOR | HS 880240 | New corridor | $2.0B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/rou-kor-880240) |
| Romania to Philippines | HS 260300 | New corridor | $1.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/rou-phl-260300) |
| Romania to Canada | HS 841112 | New corridor | $1.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/rou-can-841112) |
| Romania to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 710391 | New corridor | $1.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/rou-usa-710391) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.