# Portugal to Ukraine HS 930690 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for ammunition: n.e.s. in chapter 93. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 98/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $1.6B
- Buyer market growth: +126.7%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 50.4%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $1.6B
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $3.0B
- Supplier countries observed: 18
- Average buyer imports: $95.3M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $1.6B
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +44.7%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +126.7%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: Poland
- Top supplier share: 50.4%
- Market concentration: 3,659
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 50.4%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 3,352 km
- Trade agreement: Reported yes
- Business entry time: 6.5 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $4.6K
- GDP per-person growth: -20.2%
- Population: 43,815k
- GDP: $200.1B
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 22.6%
- Savings rate: 11.1%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $76.0K | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader Portugal to Ukraine route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 930690 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $3.9M | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $5.5M | +40.3% |
| 1997 | $3.4M | -38.4% |
| 1998 | $2.8M | -17.2% |
| 1999 | $3.1M | +9.6% |
| 2000 | $4.5M | +47.4% |
| 2001 | $6.1M | +35.1% |
| 2002 | $7.8M | +27.6% |
| 2003 | $12.1M | +54.7% |
| 2004 | $22.7M | +87.3% |
| 2005 | $22.9M | +1.1% |
| 2006 | $26.7M | +16.6% |
| 2007 | $33.3M | +24.8% |
| 2008 | $51.3M | +54.0% |
| 2009 | $35.8M | -30.4% |
| 2010 | $41.2M | +15.3% |
| 2011 | $50.3M | +22.1% |
| 2012 | $53.7M | +6.7% |
| 2013 | $56.8M | +5.8% |
| 2014 | $43.2M | -23.9% |
| 2015 | $32.9M | -24.0% |
| 2016 | $38.7M | +17.8% |
| 2017 | $48.5M | +25.1% |
| 2018 | $53.5M | +10.4% |
| 2019 | $56.1M | +4.8% |
| 2020 | $56.1M | +0.1% |
| 2021 | $68.1M | +21.4% |
| 2022 | $48.9M | -28.1% |
| 2023 | $64.5M | +31.8% |
| 2024 | $79.8M | +23.7% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| Portugal to Canada | HS 870380 | New corridor | $7.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/prt-can-870380) |
| Portugal to CHN | HS 870340 | New corridor | $5.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/prt-chn-870340) |
| Portugal to Poland | HS 870340 | New corridor | $5.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/prt-pol-870340) |
| Portugal to BGR | HS 270900 | New corridor | $2.8B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/prt-bgr-270900) |
| Portugal to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 151419 | New corridor | $2.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/prt-usa-151419) |
| Portugal to ARE | HS 870340 | New corridor | $1.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/prt-are-870340) |
| Portugal to QAT | HS 270900 | New corridor | $1.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/prt-qat-270900) |
| Portugal to South Africa | HS 282200 | New corridor | $1.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/prt-zaf-282200) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.