{ "template": "new-corridor-signal", "templateName": "New Corridor Signal", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-zaf-999999", "seo": { "title": "Poland to South Africa new corridor | HS 999999 | Yugalinks", "description": "Reported new-corridor signal for Poland to South Africa in commodities not specified according to kind (HS 999999), with market demand, growth, share,...", "robots": "index, follow" }, "breadcrumbs": [ { "name": "Home", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/" }, { "name": "Trade data", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/" }, { "name": "New corridor signals", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/" }, { "name": "POL-ZAF-HS 999999", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-zaf-999999" } ], "exporter": { "iso3": "POL", "country_name": "Poland" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "hsCode": "999999", "product": "Commodities not specified according to kind", "latestYear": 2024, "signal": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "999999", "your_market_share_pct": 33.88548245590688, "your_share_change_pp": 33.88548245590688, "market_imports_usd": 792043907.2825748, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 836.9267097409389, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 122.768005, "top_supplier_iso3": "POL", "top_supplier_share_pct": 33.88548245590688, "your_share_gap_pp": 0, "num_suppliers": 34, "market_hhi": 2436.040946352765, "volatility_mean_usd": 268387899.24531624, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100 }, "market": { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "999999", "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind", "hs_chapter": "99", "hs_heading": "9999", "price_range_label": null, "trade_type_label": null, "substitution_elasticity": null, "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 792043907.2825749, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 298654104.8323737, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 1516975764.493285, "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 0.9162, "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 87.8838, "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 836.9267, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 54.1667, "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 814013224.28, "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 828996942.83, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 419946.428126, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6994, "buyer_population_latest": 60041.996, "buyer_investment_rate": 19.8, "buyer_savings_rate": 19.18, "buyer_edu_secondary": 86.3, "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 433176.51, "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 6796.3, "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": -2.83, "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 3.15, "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 6.15, "exports_latest_usd": 268387899.24531624, "exports_avg_usd": 268387899.24531624, "exports_peak_usd": 268387899.24531624, "share_latest_pct": 33.88548245590688, "share_avg_pct": 33.88548245590688, "share_peak_pct": 33.88548245590688, "share_change_1y_pp": 33.88548245590688, "share_trend_pp_per_yr": null, "cagr_full_pct": null, "yoy_avg_pct": null, "yoy_latest_pct": null, "trend_consistency_pct": null, "exports_proj_3y_usd": null, "exports_proj_5y_usd": null, "your_share_gap_pp": 0, "addressable_proj_3y_usd": null, "addressable_proj_5y_usd": null, "peer_best_share_pct": 33.885482455906875, "peer_top_exporter": "POL", "num_suppliers_latest": 34, "buyer_herfindahl_index": 2436.04, "distance_km": 9595.30859375, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.08409999310970306, "has_wto_reported_fta": 1, "buyer_is_eu_member": 0, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 40, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shares_land_border": 0, "buyer_is_wto_member": 1, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 0, "signal_flag": "Declining", "lane_data_years": 1, "lane_last_year": 2024 }, "access": { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "999999", "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind", "hs_chapter": "99", "hs_heading": "9999", "price_range_label": null, "trade_type_label": null, "substitution_elasticity": null, "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 792043907.2825749, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 298654104.8323737, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 1516975764.493285, "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 0.9162, "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 87.8838, "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 836.9267, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 54.1667, "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 814013224.28, "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 828996942.83, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 419946.428126, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6994, "buyer_population_latest": 60041.996, "buyer_investment_rate": 19.8, "buyer_savings_rate": 19.18, "buyer_edu_secondary": 86.3, "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 433176.51, "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 6796.3, "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": -2.83, "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 3.15, "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 6.15, "exports_latest_usd": 268387899.24531624, "exports_avg_usd": 268387899.24531624, "exports_peak_usd": 268387899.24531624, "share_latest_pct": 33.88548245590688, "share_avg_pct": 33.88548245590688, "share_peak_pct": 33.88548245590688, "share_change_1y_pp": 33.88548245590688, "share_trend_pp_per_yr": null, "cagr_full_pct": null, "yoy_avg_pct": null, "yoy_latest_pct": null, "trend_consistency_pct": null, "exports_proj_3y_usd": null, "exports_proj_5y_usd": null, "your_share_gap_pp": 0, "addressable_proj_3y_usd": null, "addressable_proj_5y_usd": null, "peer_best_share_pct": 33.885482455906875, "peer_top_exporter": "POL", "num_suppliers_latest": 34, "buyer_herfindahl_index": 2436.04, "distance_km": 9595.30859375, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.08409999310970306, "has_wto_reported_fta": 1, "buyer_is_eu_member": 0, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 40, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shares_land_border": 0, "buyer_is_wto_member": 1, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 0, "signal_flag": "Declining", "lane_data_years": 1, "lane_last_year": 2024, "access_data_year": 2024, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.963475213757576, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.331475398787877, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 9.235574183070709, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.0959012157171677, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5997022185294298, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.829491262325488, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4411476748953822, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.936, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.216, "current_below_peak_usd": 0, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 0, "share_change_all_pp": 0, "volatility_label": "Stable", "drawdown_label": "Near historical peak", "competition_label": "Moderately concentrated buyer market", "demand_label": "Buyer demand stable or growing", "access_label": "Reported FTA available", "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ], "risk_driver_count": 2, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "lane_access_data_available": true }, "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 268387899.24531624, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 14872166.535158765, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 19758225.76882741, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.853715174031194, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 34645443.006671734, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.34693353556025, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 44850937.46460081, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.4569604896199, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.47712637963137 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 105747250.14331809, "yoy_growth_pct": 135.77489372832062, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.92036694079944 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 178537407.29188526, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.83408982258685, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.72732010016385 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 201647162.63375565, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.943929058009097, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.0467069020177 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 259808602.57841778, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.843172988403822, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.93609822809552 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 346642849.824455, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.42239109262295, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.75300271967731 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 344640717.38472736, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5775778847714741, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.56153718316367 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 480713471.5178882, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.48249503591326, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.765853827827232 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 599997881.6337168, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.814035217107456, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.066676738849477 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 543644238.6146883, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.392306997082201, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.40797508340901 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 628261179.2283365, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.564763608875666, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.333011529977187 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 712908038.1935563, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.473195824256967, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.915925343175532 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 635034847.685148, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.9233149770245, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.315975797005712 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 611002266.3696069, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.7844507908732172, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9242127245305043 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 713772975.1116494, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.82002087368275, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.040425380364550456 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 855027067.023845, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.789778660378722, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.423311822943626 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 885064237.8013241, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.5130081766922006, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.147246744805319 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 812570524.0728438, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.190785553438374, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.415984556076991 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 844479655.660242, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.926936880193499, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.41289457708973965 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 985739556.4594167, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.72744865460769, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.656322568091097 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 1143501492.0694509, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.004423742178318, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.062048495906108 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 1243575018.340681, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.75149940470321, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.76995838112196 } ], "relatedSignals": [ { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "271111", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000015697006283863124, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000015697006283863124, "market_imports_usd": 6885565586.610802, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -48.258039635709814, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 22.99174, "top_supplier_iso3": "USA", "top_supplier_share_pct": 67.10902840439623, "your_share_gap_pp": 67.1090268346956, "num_suppliers": 41, "market_hhi": 4720.690901103251, "volatility_mean_usd": 108.08276628098143, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 40.75512285773001, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "NLD", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "271112", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000025080214081195004, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000025080214081195004, "market_imports_usd": 3387967979.040038, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -20.931402708414083, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -3.566503, "top_supplier_iso3": "USA", "top_supplier_share_pct": 72.29075579718597, "your_share_gap_pp": 72.29075328916456, "num_suppliers": 17, "market_hhi": 5499.575304521393, "volatility_mean_usd": 84.97096221455774, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 38.687035750569294, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "KOR", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "870380", "your_market_share_pct": 0.19196975182638698, "your_share_change_pp": 0.19196975182638698, "market_imports_usd": 3191561033.7006974, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -10.794279743841562, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 66.379451, "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 62.58309938204181, "your_share_gap_pp": 62.391129630215424, "num_suppliers": 23, "market_hhi": 4344.583590759765, "volatility_mean_usd": 6126831.7957829, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "AUS", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "310420", "your_market_share_pct": 0.000005782046438799329, "your_share_change_pp": 0.000005782046438799329, "market_imports_usd": 3169051429.2104177, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -9.152551223776662, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -1.367462, "top_supplier_iso3": "CAN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 83.55291532072417, "your_share_gap_pp": 83.55290953867772, "num_suppliers": 27, "market_hhi": 7138.462995817069, "volatility_mean_usd": 183.23602530638018, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 45.307491112440196, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "120190", "your_market_share_pct": 0.000003086017682179493, "your_share_change_pp": 0.000003086017682179493, "market_imports_usd": 2978497269.9673777, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -18.186215710774746, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -3.244285, "top_supplier_iso3": "USA", "top_supplier_share_pct": 76.12914135138983, "your_share_gap_pp": 76.12913826537215, "num_suppliers": 14, "market_hhi": 6351.127059367457, "volatility_mean_usd": 91.91695241442675, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 39.36189913851253, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "Mexico", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "870340", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0036666519580815763, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0036666519580815763, "market_imports_usd": 2835917622.1888866, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 1.6134038503236248, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 2.180423, "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU", "top_supplier_share_pct": 42.85900782811753, "your_share_gap_pp": 42.85534117615944, "num_suppliers": 25, "market_hhi": 2715.8982826663214, "volatility_mean_usd": 103983.22902356929, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "KOR", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "848630", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0016614392196830697, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0016614392196830697, "market_imports_usd": 2369483344.0508285, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 31.70762512440144, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -23.682003, "top_supplier_iso3": "JPN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 52.54671773207327, "your_share_gap_pp": 52.54505629285359, "num_suppliers": 18, "market_hhi": 3917.7322934133854, "volatility_mean_usd": 39367.52558191839, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 91.90298300059125, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "CHN", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "870380", "your_market_share_pct": 0.25486413480579045, "your_share_change_pp": 0.25486413480579045, "market_imports_usd": 1849844267.966481, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -15.178842941757098, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 14.773738, "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 58.448838948044944, "your_share_gap_pp": 58.19397481323915, "num_suppliers": 30, "market_hhi": 4346.280652657034, "volatility_mean_usd": 4714589.588807279, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "KOR", "published": true } ], "sections": { "overview": { "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?", "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "South Africa", "imports": "$792.0M", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "+836.9%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "Poland", "routeExports": "$268.4M", "currentShare": "33.9%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$792.0M", "projectionThreeYears": "$814.0M", "supplierCount": "34", "averageImports": "$298.7M", "historicalPeak": "$1.5B", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+0.9%", "latestAnnualChange": "+836.9%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "Poland", "iso3": "POL", "share": "33.9%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "2,436", "exporterShare": "33.9%", "shareGap": "0.0%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "10.0%", "mfnTariff": "11.3%", "preferentialTariff": "9.2%", "distance": "9,595 km", "tradeAgreement": "Reported yes", "businessEntryTime": "40 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0.1" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$7.0K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "-2.8%", "populationThousands": "60,042", "gdp": "$419.9B", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+0.6%", "investmentRate": "19.8%", "savingsRate": "19.2%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 268387899.24531624, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 14872166.535158765, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 19758225.76882741, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.853715174031194, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 34645443.006671734, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.34693353556025, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 44850937.46460081, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.4569604896199, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.47712637963137 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 105747250.14331809, "yoy_growth_pct": 135.77489372832062, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.92036694079944 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 178537407.29188526, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.83408982258685, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.72732010016385 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 201647162.63375565, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.943929058009097, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.0467069020177 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 259808602.57841778, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.843172988403822, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.93609822809552 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 346642849.824455, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.42239109262295, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.75300271967731 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 344640717.38472736, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5775778847714741, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.56153718316367 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 480713471.5178882, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.48249503591326, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.765853827827232 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 599997881.6337168, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.814035217107456, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.066676738849477 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 543644238.6146883, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.392306997082201, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.40797508340901 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 628261179.2283365, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.564763608875666, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.333011529977187 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 712908038.1935563, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.473195824256967, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.915925343175532 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 635034847.685148, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.9233149770245, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.315975797005712 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 611002266.3696069, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.7844507908732172, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9242127245305043 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 713772975.1116494, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.82002087368275, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.040425380364550456 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 855027067.023845, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.789778660378722, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.423311822943626 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 885064237.8013241, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.5130081766922006, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.147246744805319 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 812570524.0728438, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.190785553438374, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.415984556076991 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 844479655.660242, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.926936880193499, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.41289457708973965 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 985739556.4594167, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.72744865460769, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.656322568091097 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 1143501492.0694509, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.004423742178318, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.062048495906108 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 1243575018.340681, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.75149940470321, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.76995838112196 } ], "routeHistoryScope": "Broader Poland to South Africa route exports, not only HS 999999." }, "relatedSignals": [ { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "271111", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000015697006283863124, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000015697006283863124, "market_imports_usd": 6885565586.610802, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -48.258039635709814, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 22.99174, "top_supplier_iso3": "USA", "top_supplier_share_pct": 67.10902840439623, "your_share_gap_pp": 67.1090268346956, "num_suppliers": 41, "market_hhi": 4720.690901103251, "volatility_mean_usd": 108.08276628098143, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 40.75512285773001, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "NLD", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-nld-271111" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "271112", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000025080214081195004, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000025080214081195004, "market_imports_usd": 3387967979.040038, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -20.931402708414083, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -3.566503, "top_supplier_iso3": "USA", "top_supplier_share_pct": 72.29075579718597, "your_share_gap_pp": 72.29075328916456, "num_suppliers": 17, "market_hhi": 5499.575304521393, "volatility_mean_usd": 84.97096221455774, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 38.687035750569294, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "KOR", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-kor-271112" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "870380", "your_market_share_pct": 0.19196975182638698, "your_share_change_pp": 0.19196975182638698, "market_imports_usd": 3191561033.7006974, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -10.794279743841562, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 66.379451, "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 62.58309938204181, "your_share_gap_pp": 62.391129630215424, "num_suppliers": 23, "market_hhi": 4344.583590759765, "volatility_mean_usd": 6126831.7957829, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "AUS", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-aus-870380" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "310420", "your_market_share_pct": 0.000005782046438799329, "your_share_change_pp": 0.000005782046438799329, "market_imports_usd": 3169051429.2104177, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -9.152551223776662, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -1.367462, "top_supplier_iso3": "CAN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 83.55291532072417, "your_share_gap_pp": 83.55290953867772, "num_suppliers": 27, "market_hhi": 7138.462995817069, "volatility_mean_usd": 183.23602530638018, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 45.307491112440196, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-usa-310420" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "120190", "your_market_share_pct": 0.000003086017682179493, "your_share_change_pp": 0.000003086017682179493, "market_imports_usd": 2978497269.9673777, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -18.186215710774746, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -3.244285, "top_supplier_iso3": "USA", "top_supplier_share_pct": 76.12914135138983, "your_share_gap_pp": 76.12913826537215, "num_suppliers": 14, "market_hhi": 6351.127059367457, "volatility_mean_usd": 91.91695241442675, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 39.36189913851253, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "Mexico", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-mex-120190" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "870340", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0036666519580815763, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0036666519580815763, "market_imports_usd": 2835917622.1888866, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 1.6134038503236248, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 2.180423, "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU", "top_supplier_share_pct": 42.85900782811753, "your_share_gap_pp": 42.85534117615944, "num_suppliers": 25, "market_hhi": 2715.8982826663214, "volatility_mean_usd": 103983.22902356929, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "KOR", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-kor-870340" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "848630", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0016614392196830697, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0016614392196830697, "market_imports_usd": 2369483344.0508285, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 31.70762512440144, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -23.682003, "top_supplier_iso3": "JPN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 52.54671773207327, "your_share_gap_pp": 52.54505629285359, "num_suppliers": 18, "market_hhi": 3917.7322934133854, "volatility_mean_usd": 39367.52558191839, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 91.90298300059125, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "CHN", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-chn-848630" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "870380", "your_market_share_pct": 0.25486413480579045, "your_share_change_pp": 0.25486413480579045, "market_imports_usd": 1849844267.966481, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -15.178842941757098, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 14.773738, "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 58.448838948044944, "your_share_gap_pp": 58.19397481323915, "num_suppliers": 30, "market_hhi": 4346.280652657034, "volatility_mean_usd": 4714589.588807279, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100, "exporter_name": "Poland", "importer_name": "KOR", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-kor-870380" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does a new corridor signal mean?", "answer": "It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-09-02" } ] } }, "links": { "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "trade": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/", "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/999999", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app?hs=999999", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-zaf-999999/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-zaf-999999/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/pol-zaf-999999/index.ld.json" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported trade observations and calculated signal indicators are shown separately. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-09-02" } ] }, "generatedAt": "2026-09-02T11:48:37.755Z" }