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      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 34.122869143207744,
      "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea",
      "importer_name": "Spain",
      "published": true
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  ],
  "sections": {
    "overview": {
      "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?",
      "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.",
      "reportedMarket": {
        "buyerMarket": "CHN",
        "imports": "$752.3M",
        "year": 2024,
        "annualChange": "+20.9%"
      },
      "exporterPosition": {
        "exporter": "Papua New Guinea",
        "routeExports": "$224.4",
        "currentShare": "0.0%"
      }
    },
    "signal": {
      "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view",
      "type": "New corridor",
      "strength": "47/100",
      "reportedPeriod": 2024,
      "marketMomentum": "+0.0%",
      "availableProductHistoryYears": "1"
    },
    "market": {
      "latestImports": "$752.3M",
      "projectionThreeYears": "$1.3B",
      "supplierCount": "57",
      "averageImports": "$207.7M",
      "historicalPeak": "$985.2M",
      "fullHistoryGrowth": "+19.9%",
      "latestAnnualChange": "+20.9%"
    },
    "competition": {
      "topSupplier": {
        "country": "IRL",
        "iso3": "IRL",
        "share": "54.1%"
      },
      "marketConcentrationHhi": "3,294",
      "exporterShare": "0.0%",
      "shareGap": "54.1%"
    },
    "access": {
      "appliedTariff": "Not reported",
      "mfnTariff": "Not reported",
      "preferentialTariff": "Not reported",
      "distance": "6,344 km",
      "tradeAgreement": "Not reported",
      "businessEntryTime": "8.5 days",
      "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0"
    },
    "economy": {
      "gdpPerPerson": "$12.6K",
      "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+30.3%",
      "populationThousands": "1,412,360",
      "gdp": "$17.7T",
      "gdpFiveYearCagr": "Not reported",
      "investmentRate": "44.5%",
      "savingsRate": "45.8%"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "productHistory": [
        {
          "year": 2024,
          "export_value_usd": 224.42464265867218,
          "yoy_growth_pct": null,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
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      "routeHistory": [
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        {
          "year": 1996,
          "export_value_usd": 90538756.41418706,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 28.39695880052915,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 1997,
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          "yoy_growth_pct": -38.39478640366239,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 1998,
          "export_value_usd": 31572244.042617004,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -43.3951741726188,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -23.497571598284072
        },
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          "year": 1999,
          "export_value_usd": 68331255.4976958,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 116.42825073016847,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -8.953841761678838
        },
        {
          "year": 2000,
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          "yoy_growth_pct": 167.1544126583601,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 48.471553675272425
        },
        {
          "year": 2001,
          "export_value_usd": 110095637.86019978,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -39.69013453919988,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 51.64271577703572
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        {
          "year": 2002,
          "export_value_usd": 141885822.56455094,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 28.875062920039184,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 27.57723947871582
        },
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          "year": 2003,
          "export_value_usd": 204941800.21306142,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 44.44135186221525,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9320750222095358
        },
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          "year": 2004,
          "export_value_usd": 216054577.86476466,
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          "year": 2013,
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        {
          "year": 2014,
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          "yoy_growth_pct": -5.773026312083108,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 29.710666314990487
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        {
          "year": 2017,
          "export_value_usd": 1785787652.0871344,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 21.77867527661237,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 8.185659131262767
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        {
          "year": 2018,
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          "yoy_growth_pct": 22.216796843779573,
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        {
          "year": 2019,
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          "yoy_growth_pct": 11.242362305631538,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 18.301644516522096
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        {
          "year": 2020,
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          "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0579822059208395
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      "routeHistoryScope": "Broader Papua New Guinea to CHN route exports, not only HS 300290."
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    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "question": "What does a new corridor signal mean?",
        "answer": "It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales."
      },
      {
        "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?",
        "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast."
      },
      {
        "question": "What should exporters check next?",
        "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route."
      }
    ],
    "dataSources": {
      "publisher": "OECD",
      "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
      "year": 2025,
      "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)",
      "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
      "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
      "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
      "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
      "accessed": "2026-09-02",
      "supportingSources": [
        {
          "publisher": "CEPII",
          "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
          "release": "202601",
          "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
          "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
          "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
          "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
          "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
          "accessed": "2026-09-02"
        }
      ]
    }
  },
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