{ "template": "new-corridor-signal", "templateName": "New Corridor Signal", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-aus-180310", "seo": { "title": "Papua New Guinea to AUS new corridor | HS 180310 | Yugalinks", "description": "Reported new-corridor signal for Papua New Guinea to AUS in cocoa (HS 180310), with market demand, growth, share, competition, access, and evidence.", "robots": "index, follow" }, "breadcrumbs": [ { "name": "Home", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/" }, { "name": "Trade data", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/" }, { "name": "New corridor signals", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/" }, { "name": "PNG-AUS-HS 180310", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-aus-180310" } ], "exporter": { "iso3": "PNG", "country_name": "Papua New Guinea" }, "importer": { "iso3": "AUS", "country_name": "AUS" }, "hsCode": "180310", "product": "Cocoa: paste, not defatted", "latestYear": 2024, "signal": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "180310", "your_market_share_pct": 0.12619314371114929, "your_share_change_pp": 0.12619314371114929, "market_imports_usd": 133766737.99759114, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 76.39812163436936, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 20.81716, "top_supplier_iso3": "SGP", "top_supplier_share_pct": 41.73865917279612, "your_share_gap_pp": 41.61246602908497, "num_suppliers": 25, "market_hhi": 2641.108777085828, "volatility_mean_usd": 168804.45191901672, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100 }, "market": { "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "180310", "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, not defatted", "hs_chapter": "18", "hs_heading": "1803", "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade", "substitution_elasticity": -14.136556, "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 133766737.99759114, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 47756613.68103202, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 133766737.99759114, "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 6.9953, "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 10.4762, "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 76.3981, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 163848563.37, "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 187573855.53, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1542659.899993, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 59934, "buyer_population_latest": 25739.256, "buyer_investment_rate": 27.2, "buyer_savings_rate": 24.91, "buyer_edu_secondary": 95.7, "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 1755108.09, "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 64401.67, "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 7.45, "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 13.77, "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 5.88, "exports_latest_usd": 168804.45191901672, "exports_avg_usd": 168804.45191901672, "exports_peak_usd": 168804.45191901672, "share_latest_pct": 0.12619314371114929, "share_avg_pct": 0.12619314371114929, "share_peak_pct": 0.12619314371114929, "share_change_1y_pp": 0.12619314371114929, "share_trend_pp_per_yr": null, "cagr_full_pct": null, "yoy_avg_pct": null, "yoy_latest_pct": null, "trend_consistency_pct": null, "exports_proj_3y_usd": null, "exports_proj_5y_usd": null, "your_share_gap_pp": 41.6125, "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 68181427.77, "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 78054106.91, "peer_best_share_pct": 41.73865917279612, "peer_top_exporter": "SGP", "num_suppliers_latest": 25, "buyer_herfindahl_index": 2641.11, "distance_km": 2745.25830078125, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.48500001430511475, "has_wto_reported_fta": 1, "buyer_is_eu_member": 0, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 2, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shares_land_border": 0, "buyer_is_wto_member": 1, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 0, "signal_flag": "Declining", "lane_data_years": 1, "lane_last_year": 2024 }, "access": { "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "180310", "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, not defatted", "hs_chapter": "18", "hs_heading": "1803", "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade", "substitution_elasticity": -14.136556, "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 133766737.99759114, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 47756613.68103202, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 133766737.99759114, "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 6.9953, "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 10.4762, "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 76.3981, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 163848563.37, "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 187573855.53, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1542659.899993, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 59934, "buyer_population_latest": 25739.256, "buyer_investment_rate": 27.2, "buyer_savings_rate": 24.91, "buyer_edu_secondary": 95.7, "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 1755108.09, "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 64401.67, "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 7.45, "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 13.77, "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 5.88, "exports_latest_usd": 168804.45191901672, "exports_avg_usd": 168804.45191901672, "exports_peak_usd": 168804.45191901672, "share_latest_pct": 0.12619314371114929, "share_avg_pct": 0.12619314371114929, "share_peak_pct": 0.12619314371114929, "share_change_1y_pp": 0.12619314371114929, "share_trend_pp_per_yr": null, "cagr_full_pct": null, "yoy_avg_pct": null, "yoy_latest_pct": null, "trend_consistency_pct": null, "exports_proj_3y_usd": null, "exports_proj_5y_usd": null, "your_share_gap_pp": 41.6125, "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 68181427.77, "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 78054106.91, "peer_best_share_pct": 41.73865917279612, "peer_top_exporter": "SGP", "num_suppliers_latest": 25, "buyer_herfindahl_index": 2641.11, "distance_km": 2745.25830078125, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.48500001430511475, "has_wto_reported_fta": 1, "buyer_is_eu_member": 0, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 2, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shares_land_border": 0, "buyer_is_wto_member": 1, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 0, "signal_flag": "Declining", "lane_data_years": 1, "lane_last_year": 2024, "access_data_year": 2024, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.024621393516403, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.872936858989895, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.3051514016987475, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.567785457291148, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.672430715538289, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.1982410002894257, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4285027544653106, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.404000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.023999999999997, "current_below_peak_usd": 0, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 0, "share_change_all_pp": 0, "volatility_label": "Stable", "drawdown_label": "Near historical peak", "competition_label": "Concentrated buyer market", "demand_label": "Buyer demand stable or growing", "access_label": "Reported FTA available", "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ], "risk_driver_count": 2, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "lane_access_data_available": true }, "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 168804.45191901672, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 1995, "export_value_usd": 842303495.5940155, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "export_value_usd": 898252549.4460266, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.642386520378185, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "export_value_usd": 527522589.34672284, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.272352672746834, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "export_value_usd": 456391446.46387905, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.483999419045102, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.475220821994743 }, { "year": 1999, "export_value_usd": 564641133.7494948, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.718605623381926, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.337380333891348 }, { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 817280036.8406758, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.7432693069197, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.7115229827824 }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 639727451.6459507, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.724816120687652, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.91436382247797 }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 661632244.0963104, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4240819889784335, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.426077810613217 }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 985143022.2411898, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.895860356193225, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.424789109022999 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 1181756637.4467719, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.957875228947785, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.699941114183698 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 1519008851.2599072, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.538211940301107, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.921186131289137 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 1706198058.4829862, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.323114975124682, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.090887013044735 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 2108732963.8439763, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.5925075262887, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.291726767610175 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 2452458270.441985, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.300086947540173, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.31326102816397 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 2299945861.8305326, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.218756520736502, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.466193713545824 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 2762086171.638175, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.093529916387844, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.41374388996663 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 3735859516.355454, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.25499510899548, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.061395434185453 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 3496489833.693963, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.407352353950657, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.984213467422425 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 2247552440.689338, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.719749017120705, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.640710761949375 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 3202277435.002986, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.478430181625825, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.007466032154606 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 2165261302.2942586, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.383706713648955, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.763420221789826 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 1761728064.4213738, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.636699295614378, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.7974328575633916 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 3230464609.3063397, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.36908371652474, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2925508864553228 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 1823142142.2535627, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.56408867624041, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.571431663181969 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 2836534030.8612924, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.58490833606034, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.205963272097446 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 2303279565.3189816, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.799508828046463, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.66385205869631 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 1079762656.5495389, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.12064272145781, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.021278657001826 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 1723412461.3595102, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.610304255826165, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.303185442864919 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 1946161798.6988537, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.924900007026064, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.461052503302765 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 1694284461.4906046, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.942260883789148, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.203535449255835 } ], "relatedSignals": [ { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "260600", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000014211690186040856, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000014211690186040856, "market_imports_usd": 8801719409.936241, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 22.234259298941804, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 35.230287, "top_supplier_iso3": "GIN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 75.22531216113623, "your_share_gap_pp": 75.22531073996721, "num_suppliers": 40, "market_hhi": 6076.660305286489, "volatility_mean_usd": 125.08730935847619, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 42.01342754384224, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "CHN", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "854231", "your_market_share_pct": 0.00018651918690324273, "your_share_change_pp": 0.00018651918690324273, "market_imports_usd": 7105695334.588195, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -29.013094739650292, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -1.70654, "top_supplier_iso3": "TWN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 24.963424061975463, "your_share_gap_pp": 24.96323754278856, "num_suppliers": 125, "market_hhi": 1120.2059259492787, "volatility_mean_usd": 13253.485161895554, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 82.44725726576519, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "Germany", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "253090", "your_market_share_pct": 0.000051270559971129716, "your_share_change_pp": 0.000051270559971129716, "market_imports_usd": 4403094598.16229, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -68.6341792084197, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 43.012449, "top_supplier_iso3": "AUS", "top_supplier_share_pct": 67.44813679378461, "your_share_gap_pp": 67.44808552322465, "num_suppliers": 111, "market_hhi": 4755.839295209728, "volatility_mean_usd": 2257.4912565363697, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 67.07636827168872, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "CHN", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "852351", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0020612053633537034, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0020612053633537034, "market_imports_usd": 4158947952.790811, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 41.852072192785194, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -3.468822, "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 32.47801890363659, "your_share_gap_pp": 32.475957698273234, "num_suppliers": 83, "market_hhi": 1932.893406608687, "volatility_mean_usd": 85724.45826201326, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 98.66219630796634, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "China, Hong Kong SAR", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "851712", "your_market_share_pct": 0.00011408224288564616, "your_share_change_pp": 0.00011408224288564616, "market_imports_usd": 2986410416.9297514, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 11.558842277219505, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 40.068399, "top_supplier_iso3": "CZE", "top_supplier_share_pct": 42.26738198239914, "your_share_gap_pp": 42.26726790015625, "num_suppliers": 88, "market_hhi": 2423.346544892334, "volatility_mean_usd": 3406.9639854040374, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 70.64989993185253, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "Hungary", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "851762", "your_market_share_pct": 0.00014428059341203435, "your_share_change_pp": 0.00014428059341203435, "market_imports_usd": 1939039327.0677497, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 6.915904786369698, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -1.474654, "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 19.481104118760022, "your_share_gap_pp": 19.480959838166612, "num_suppliers": 145, "market_hhi": 884.2568756199486, "volatility_mean_usd": 2797.657447586067, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 68.93899489160037, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "Hungary", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "hs_code": "870899", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000026800448974154352, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000026800448974154352, "market_imports_usd": 1626638236.0832918, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -11.777624958553378, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 0.869118, "top_supplier_iso3": "FRA", "top_supplier_share_pct": 20.485881194066696, "your_share_gap_pp": 20.4858785140218, "num_suppliers": 117, "market_hhi": 1028.2289072346737, "volatility_mean_usd": 43.594635045558704, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 32.98565228175076, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "Belgium", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "hs_code": "610910", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000032723765383969137, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000032723765383969137, "market_imports_usd": 1522830031.462634, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -2.360762653672288, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 1.229334, "top_supplier_iso3": "BGD", "top_supplier_share_pct": 40.42385505774271, "your_share_gap_pp": 40.423851785366175, "num_suppliers": 128, "market_hhi": 1976.4426053357506, "volatility_mean_usd": 49.83273266924558, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 34.122869143207744, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "Spain", "published": true } ], "sections": { "overview": { "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?", "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "AUS", "imports": "$133.8M", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "+76.4%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "Papua New Guinea", "routeExports": "$168.8K", "currentShare": "0.1%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$133.8M", "projectionThreeYears": "$163.8M", "supplierCount": "25", "averageImports": "$47.8M", "historicalPeak": "$133.8M", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+7.0%", "latestAnnualChange": "+76.4%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "SGP", "iso3": "SGP", "share": "41.7%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "2,641", "exporterShare": "0.1%", "shareGap": "41.6%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "6.0%", "mfnTariff": "7.9%", "preferentialTariff": "2.3%", "distance": "2,745 km", "tradeAgreement": "Reported yes", "businessEntryTime": "2 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0.5" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$59.9K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+7.5%", "populationThousands": "25,739", "gdp": "$1.5T", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+4.7%", "investmentRate": "27.2%", "savingsRate": "24.9%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 168804.45191901672, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 1995, "export_value_usd": 842303495.5940155, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "export_value_usd": 898252549.4460266, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.642386520378185, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "export_value_usd": 527522589.34672284, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.272352672746834, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "export_value_usd": 456391446.46387905, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.483999419045102, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.475220821994743 }, { "year": 1999, "export_value_usd": 564641133.7494948, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.718605623381926, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.337380333891348 }, { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 817280036.8406758, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.7432693069197, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.7115229827824 }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 639727451.6459507, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.724816120687652, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.91436382247797 }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 661632244.0963104, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4240819889784335, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.426077810613217 }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 985143022.2411898, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.895860356193225, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.424789109022999 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 1181756637.4467719, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.957875228947785, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.699941114183698 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 1519008851.2599072, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.538211940301107, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.921186131289137 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 1706198058.4829862, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.323114975124682, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.090887013044735 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 2108732963.8439763, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.5925075262887, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.291726767610175 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 2452458270.441985, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.300086947540173, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.31326102816397 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 2299945861.8305326, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.218756520736502, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.466193713545824 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 2762086171.638175, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.093529916387844, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.41374388996663 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 3735859516.355454, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.25499510899548, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.061395434185453 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 3496489833.693963, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.407352353950657, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.984213467422425 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 2247552440.689338, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.719749017120705, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.640710761949375 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 3202277435.002986, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.478430181625825, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.007466032154606 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 2165261302.2942586, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.383706713648955, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.763420221789826 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 1761728064.4213738, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.636699295614378, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.7974328575633916 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 3230464609.3063397, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.36908371652474, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2925508864553228 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 1823142142.2535627, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.56408867624041, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.571431663181969 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 2836534030.8612924, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.58490833606034, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.205963272097446 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 2303279565.3189816, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.799508828046463, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.66385205869631 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 1079762656.5495389, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.12064272145781, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.021278657001826 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 1723412461.3595102, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.610304255826165, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.303185442864919 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 1946161798.6988537, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.924900007026064, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.461052503302765 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 1694284461.4906046, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.942260883789148, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.203535449255835 } ], "routeHistoryScope": "Broader Papua New Guinea to AUS route exports, not only HS 180310." }, "relatedSignals": [ { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "260600", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000014211690186040856, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000014211690186040856, "market_imports_usd": 8801719409.936241, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 22.234259298941804, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 35.230287, "top_supplier_iso3": "GIN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 75.22531216113623, "your_share_gap_pp": 75.22531073996721, "num_suppliers": 40, "market_hhi": 6076.660305286489, "volatility_mean_usd": 125.08730935847619, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 42.01342754384224, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "CHN", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-chn-260600" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "854231", "your_market_share_pct": 0.00018651918690324273, "your_share_change_pp": 0.00018651918690324273, "market_imports_usd": 7105695334.588195, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -29.013094739650292, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -1.70654, "top_supplier_iso3": "TWN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 24.963424061975463, "your_share_gap_pp": 24.96323754278856, "num_suppliers": 125, "market_hhi": 1120.2059259492787, "volatility_mean_usd": 13253.485161895554, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 82.44725726576519, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "Germany", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-deu-854231" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "253090", "your_market_share_pct": 0.000051270559971129716, "your_share_change_pp": 0.000051270559971129716, "market_imports_usd": 4403094598.16229, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -68.6341792084197, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 43.012449, "top_supplier_iso3": "AUS", "top_supplier_share_pct": 67.44813679378461, "your_share_gap_pp": 67.44808552322465, "num_suppliers": 111, "market_hhi": 4755.839295209728, "volatility_mean_usd": 2257.4912565363697, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 67.07636827168872, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "CHN", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-chn-253090" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "852351", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0020612053633537034, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0020612053633537034, "market_imports_usd": 4158947952.790811, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 41.852072192785194, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -3.468822, "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 32.47801890363659, "your_share_gap_pp": 32.475957698273234, "num_suppliers": 83, "market_hhi": 1932.893406608687, "volatility_mean_usd": 85724.45826201326, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 98.66219630796634, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "China, Hong Kong SAR", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-hkg-852351" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "851712", "your_market_share_pct": 0.00011408224288564616, "your_share_change_pp": 0.00011408224288564616, "market_imports_usd": 2986410416.9297514, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 11.558842277219505, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 40.068399, "top_supplier_iso3": "CZE", "top_supplier_share_pct": 42.26738198239914, "your_share_gap_pp": 42.26726790015625, "num_suppliers": 88, "market_hhi": 2423.346544892334, "volatility_mean_usd": 3406.9639854040374, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 70.64989993185253, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "Hungary", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-hun-851712" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "hs_code": "851762", "your_market_share_pct": 0.00014428059341203435, "your_share_change_pp": 0.00014428059341203435, "market_imports_usd": 1939039327.0677497, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 6.915904786369698, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -1.474654, "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN", "top_supplier_share_pct": 19.481104118760022, "your_share_gap_pp": 19.480959838166612, "num_suppliers": 145, "market_hhi": 884.2568756199486, "volatility_mean_usd": 2797.657447586067, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 68.93899489160037, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "Hungary", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-hun-851762" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "hs_code": "870899", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000026800448974154352, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000026800448974154352, "market_imports_usd": 1626638236.0832918, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -11.777624958553378, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 0.869118, "top_supplier_iso3": "FRA", "top_supplier_share_pct": 20.485881194066696, "your_share_gap_pp": 20.4858785140218, "num_suppliers": 117, "market_hhi": 1028.2289072346737, "volatility_mean_usd": 43.594635045558704, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 32.98565228175076, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "Belgium", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-bel-870899" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PNG", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "hs_code": "610910", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000032723765383969137, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000032723765383969137, "market_imports_usd": 1522830031.462634, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -2.360762653672288, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 1.229334, "top_supplier_iso3": "BGD", "top_supplier_share_pct": 40.42385505774271, "your_share_gap_pp": 40.423851785366175, "num_suppliers": 128, "market_hhi": 1976.4426053357506, "volatility_mean_usd": 49.83273266924558, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 34.122869143207744, "exporter_name": "Papua New Guinea", "importer_name": "Spain", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-esp-610910" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does a new corridor signal mean?", "answer": "It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-09-02" } ] } }, "links": { "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "trade": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/", "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/180310", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app?hs=180310", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-aus-180310/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-aus-180310/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/png-aus-180310/index.ld.json" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported trade observations and calculated signal indicators are shown separately. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-09-02" } ] }, "generatedAt": "2026-09-02T11:49:20.012Z" }