# Philippines to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands HS 860630 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for railway or tramway goods vans and wagons: self-discharging, not self-propelled, excluding those of item no. 8606.10. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 71/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $420.3M
- Buyer market growth: +226.4%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 98.1%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $420.3M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $821.0M
- Supplier countries observed: 4
- Average buyer imports: $135.7M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $420.3M
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +27.4%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +226.4%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: Mexico
- Top supplier share: 98.1%
- Market concentration: 9,621
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 98.1%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 13,681 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 4.2 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0.5

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $69.3K
- GDP per-person growth: +7.6%
- Population: 331,894k
- GDP: $23.0T
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 21.9%
- Savings rate: 17.5%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $3.7K | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader Philippines to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 860630 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $6.8B | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $8.6B | +26.4% |
| 1997 | $10.7B | +24.0% |
| 1998 | $11.6B | +8.8% |
| 1999 | $11.4B | -1.9% |
| 2000 | $12.6B | +10.8% |
| 2001 | $10.4B | -17.7% |
| 2002 | $9.8B | -5.4% |
| 2003 | $8.6B | -11.9% |
| 2004 | $8.0B | -7.0% |
| 2005 | $8.3B | +3.6% |
| 2006 | $9.2B | +9.9% |
| 2007 | $8.9B | -3.2% |
| 2008 | $7.9B | -10.5% |
| 2009 | $5.9B | -25.3% |
| 2010 | $6.8B | +15.4% |
| 2011 | $7.5B | +9.3% |
| 2012 | $7.9B | +5.0% |
| 2013 | $7.9B | +1.1% |
| 2014 | $8.6B | +8.2% |
| 2015 | $8.6B | +0.6% |
| 2016 | $8.3B | -4.1% |
| 2017 | $9.6B | +15.3% |
| 2018 | $10.5B | +10.0% |
| 2019 | $11.5B | +9.9% |
| 2020 | $9.9B | -14.0% |
| 2021 | $12.3B | +24.4% |
| 2022 | $13.8B | +11.8% |
| 2023 | $11.7B | -15.5% |
| 2024 | $12.3B | +5.5% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| Philippines to Germany | HS 870380 | New corridor | $7.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-deu-870380) |
| Philippines to Germany | HS 300214 | New corridor | $6.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-deu-300214) |
| Philippines to Japan | HS 880240 | New corridor | $4.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-jpn-880240) |
| Philippines to Romania | HS 300490 | New corridor | $3.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-rou-300490) |
| Philippines to Austria | HS 300212 | New corridor | $3.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-aut-300212) |
| Philippines to Germany | HS 300220 | New corridor | $3.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-deu-300220) |
| Philippines to CHN | HS 283691 | New corridor | $2.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-chn-283691) |
| Philippines to Canada | HS 281820 | New corridor | $2.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-can-281820) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.