# Philippines to Canada HS 281820 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for aluminium oxide: other than artificial corundum. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 35/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $2.2B
- Buyer market growth: +28.8%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 70.7%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $2.2B
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $2.6B
- Supplier countries observed: 35
- Average buyer imports: $1.2B
- Historical buyer-import peak: $2.2B
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +4.4%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +28.8%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: BRA
- Top supplier share: 70.7%
- Market concentration: 5,671
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 70.7%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 13,226 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 1.5 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0.5

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $52.1K
- GDP per-person growth: +3.2%
- Population: 38,246k
- GDP: $2.0T
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 22.9%
- Savings rate: 21.8%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $56.4 | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader Philippines to Canada route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 281820 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $270.7M | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $364.1M | +34.5% |
| 1997 | $461.4M | +26.7% |
| 1998 | $552.7M | +19.8% |
| 1999 | $617.4M | +11.7% |
| 2000 | $787.9M | +27.6% |
| 2001 | $551.7M | -30.0% |
| 2002 | $635.1M | +15.1% |
| 2003 | $614.0M | -3.3% |
| 2004 | $660.3M | +7.5% |
| 2005 | $662.0M | +0.3% |
| 2006 | $738.2M | +11.5% |
| 2007 | $593.1M | -19.7% |
| 2008 | $630.7M | +6.3% |
| 2009 | $512.3M | -18.8% |
| 2010 | $700.2M | +36.7% |
| 2011 | $775.6M | +10.8% |
| 2012 | $858.4M | +10.7% |
| 2013 | $952.5M | +11.0% |
| 2014 | $1.0B | +5.6% |
| 2015 | $1.0B | +2.4% |
| 2016 | $951.6M | -7.6% |
| 2017 | $1.0B | +6.3% |
| 2018 | $1.1B | +5.4% |
| 2019 | $1.2B | +8.7% |
| 2020 | $842.5M | -27.2% |
| 2021 | $1.0B | +24.5% |
| 2022 | $1.4B | +30.2% |
| 2023 | $1.4B | +5.4% |
| 2024 | $1.1B | -20.4% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| Philippines to Germany | HS 870380 | New corridor | $7.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-deu-870380) |
| Philippines to Germany | HS 300214 | New corridor | $6.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-deu-300214) |
| Philippines to Japan | HS 880240 | New corridor | $4.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-jpn-880240) |
| Philippines to Romania | HS 300490 | New corridor | $3.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-rou-300490) |
| Philippines to Austria | HS 300212 | New corridor | $3.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-aut-300212) |
| Philippines to Germany | HS 300220 | New corridor | $3.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-deu-300220) |
| Philippines to CHN | HS 283691 | New corridor | $2.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-chn-283691) |
| Philippines to Canada | HS 880240 | New corridor | $2.0B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/phl-can-880240) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.